International Conference “Safeguarding cultural heritage from natural disasters” Pécs, Hungary 12 September 2018 Decision support tool for vulnerability.

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Presentation transcript:

International Conference “Safeguarding cultural heritage from natural disasters” Pécs, Hungary 12 September 2018 Decision support tool for vulnerability criticalities of Cultural Heritage Ing. Riccardo Cacciotti/Institute of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics (ITAM AV ČR)

V= Susceptibility + Exposure CULTURAL HERITAGE VULNERABILITY “...the extent to which a system is susceptible to damaging action…” [Green 2004] V= Susceptibility + Exposure - Resilience

CULTURAL HERITAGE VULNERABILITY Vulnerability is fundamental to establish risk. Climate change and vulnerability. Physical flood model Troja Basin, Prague (CZ)

RESILIENCE “ …the ability of a system to absorb changes without a transition to a different state…” [Cloete 2012] Cultural heritage and disasters: - Physical resilience. - Emotional resilience. - Cultural resilience. Resilience and vulnerability reduction.

PROTECHT2SAVE Transnational approach: Resilience building. - Common problems common solutions. - Critical mass. - Transnational structures for future cooperation. Resilience building. Vulnerability assessment : - Strategies for strengthening resilience.

2. MANAGERIAL CRITICALITIES PROTECHT2SAVE- VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Criticalities in CH systems: A factor or aspect of a CH system, crucial for its resilience against natural disasters and climate change actions. Controllable features which can be adjusted by appropriate measures. PHYSICAL CRITICALITIES Material composition and structural conditions of a cultural heritage system. 2. MANAGERIAL CRITICALITIES Related to the operation, administration and care of cultural heritage systems.

PROTECHT2SAVE- VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Real-life examples: Damage. Lack of maintenance, property issues. Inappropriate repair, lack of knowledge.

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL WHAT WHY HOW Ranking of data related to CH vulnerability. Criticalities specific to transnational issues in central Europe. Hazards: Floods, fire due to drought, heavy rain. WHY To support PPs and other stakeholders to assess vulnerabilities in CH systems. To allow prioritization of criticalities to be addressed in decision making. HOW Tables relate the controllable criticalities to the impact on CH assets exposed to specific hazard situations and possible measures which can be adopted.

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL MANAGERIAL CRITICALITIES PHYSICAL CRITICALITIES MC1. Information on CH assets. MC2. Funding. MC3. Knowledge and awareness. MC4. CH protection planning. MC5. Policy and regulation. PHYSICAL CRITICALITIES PC1. Flood. PC2. Fire due to drought. PC3. (Wind). PC4. Heavy rain.

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL Example- St. Mary´s Church (UK)

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL

DECISION SUPPORT TOOL WARNINGS Tool for reference only (traffic light-like). Preliminary assessment of criticalities. Professional support is required for accurate assessment and detailed design of measures. It does not consider synergies of multiple actions. Sum of effects of combined action is always larger!

CONCLUSIONS Guide for stakeholders in preliminary vulnerability assessment. Central Europe specific criticalities. Central Europe specific hazards. Resilience building approach. Specific measures and technical guidelines will be developed in ProteCHt2SAVE project.

THANK YOU Ing. Riccardo Cacciotti cacciotti@itam.cas.cz