Do We Need Fewer or More Dentists in the U.S. in the Coming Years? Thank you for joining! You will be on hold until the call begins at 12:00 p.m. Central time Please remember to mute your phone unless you are speaking. This webinar will be recorded. If you’d like to call in to listen to the audio via phone, dial (877) 612-6725 and enter conference ID: 668876

Today PRESENTERS Marko Vujicic, Ph.D., Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Policy Institute Brad Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute

Today PANELISTS Richard Valachovic, DMD, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association Jerold Goldberg, DDS, Former Dean, Case Western Reserve University School of Dental Medicine

Today ADA.org/HPI

Key Messages We monitor key dentist labor supply decisions and we concluded we needed to revise our future supply of dentist projections. Big picture, in the most probable scenario, the per capita supply of dentists is still projected to increase through 2037. The issue of provider adequacy is more complex; further research is needed.

Methodology Graduates Retired Foreign-trained Practicing Dentists Moved out Re-licensure Death Un-retirement License lapse Exit labor force Emigration

Inflows

Outflows

Modeling Assumptions

Results of Three Outflow Assumptions

Gender Mix

Age Mix

Hours Worked Adjustment

Patient Visits Adjustment

Results (2016 model)

Results (2018 update)

Results

Results

Roundtable Marko Vujicic, PhD, Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Institute Brad Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute Richard Valachovic, DMD, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association Jerold Goldberg, DDS, Former Dean, Case Western Reserve University School of Dental Medicine

@ADAHPI ADA.org/HPI hpi@ada.org Thank You! @ADAHPI ADA.org/HPI hpi@ada.org