Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences

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Presentation transcript:

Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences 2007 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc 3.6 At current fertility levels, a woman in Jordan will have an average of 3.6 children in her lifetime. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Fertility Trends TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Fertility Differentials TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Trends in Fertility by Region

Fertility by Governorate Irbid 3.8 Ajloun 3.7 Jarash 3.8 Mafraq 4.0 Balqa 3.7 Zarqa 3.8 Madaba 3.6 Amman 3.4 Fertility by Governorate Karak 3.2 Tafiela 3.7 Ma’an 4.0 Aqaba 4.1 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Fertility by Education TFR for women age 15-49 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Fertility By Wealth TFR for women age 15-49 Poorest households Fertility decreases as wealth increases. Poorest households Wealthiest households 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Birth Intervals In addition to their impact on fertility, birth intervals may also affect the health of mothers and their children. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Length of Birth Intervals 33% of births occur less than 24 months after the preceding birth. Infants born less than 2 years after a sibling have the highest rate of mortality. Doctors recommend a birth interval of at least 36 months 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29 Less than 50% of the women had a birth before age 25) 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Trends in Percent of Women Pregnant

Teenage Pregnancy and Motherhood 3% of women between the ages of 15-19 are already mothers and another 1% are pregnant with their first child. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Current Marital Status: Women 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Irbid 4% Ajloun 3% Jarash 6% Mafraq 10% Balqa 7% Zarqa 4% Madaba 5% Amman 4% Polygyny by Governorate Percent of currently married women who are married to a man who has more than 1 wife Karak 6% Tafiela 6% Ma’an 11% National average: 5% Aqaba 7% 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Consanguinity Percent of all ever-married women by their relationship to their current or first husband 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Age at First Marriage by Education Median age at first marriage among women 25-49 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Fertility Preferences of Married Women 78% either want no more children or want to delay childbearing by at least 2 years, or are already sterilised or infecund. Almost half of women want no more children. More than three-quarters either want no more children, want to wait at least 2 years before their next birth or are already sterilised or are infecund. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Overall, more than 7 in 10 women either want to delay having another child or stop childbearing altogether. These women are potential contraceptive users for spacing and limiting. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Women are considered as having an unmet need for family planning if they are fecund and wish: to space their next birth OR to limit childbearing altogether BUT are not using contraception 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc 12 percent of currently married women have an unmet need for family planning: 5% for spacing 7% for limiting 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Demand for Family Planning among Currently Married Women 89% of the demand for FP is satisfied in Namibia. (Met need + unmet need) (Currently using) (Met need/ total demand) 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Ideal Family Size Women report an ideal family size of 3.9 children. Women want an average of 3.1 children, while men would like 3.9 children. Ideal family size is slightly higher in rural than in urban areas. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Birth Planning Distribution of births in the 5 years preceding the survey by birth planning status 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

Gap Between Wanted and Actual Fertility Rates 3.6 3.6 3.7 2.6 3.9 4.5 3.9 3.2 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc Key Findings Women have on average 3.6 children. TFR has dropped dramatically in the last 20 years, but has remained relatively stable since 2002. Women have their first birth at a median age of 23.9. 73% of currently married women either want no more children or want to wait at least 2 years before their next child and 5% are already sterilized or infecund. 11% of married women have an unmet need for family planning. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc