Human Resource Management MBA & BBA Human Resource Planning Course Lecturer: Farhan Mir

Objectives After studying this chapter, you should be able to: Identify the advantages of integrating human resources planning and strategic planning. Describe the basic approaches to human resources planning. Identify the tools and techniques of HR planning Overview the emerging role of HR Information Systems

Human Resources Planning Human Resources Planning (HRP) Process of anticipating and making provision for the movement (flow) of people into, within, and out of an organization. HRP’s purpose is the effective deployment of human resources through: Anticipating organizational labor supply and demand. Providing expanded employment opportunities for women, minorities, and the disabled. Guiding the development and training the workforce.

What Is Planning? Defining the organization’s goals Desired outcomes for individuals, groups, or entire organizations Establishing an overall strategy for achieving those goals How shall we achieve the goals? Developing a comprehensive set of plans to integrate and coordinate organizational work Who is going to do what? How will resources be allocated?

The Relationships Between Goals and Plans

Purposes of Planning - Provides direction - Reduces uncertainty - Minimizes waste and redundancy - Sets the standards for controlling

Four Phases to HR Planning “What will we need?” Determine future HR requirements “What’s available?” Determine future HR availabilities Internally Externally Reconcile requirements and availabilities Anticipate “gaps” Develop action plans Control and evaluate 66

Strategic Human Resource Management The acknowledgement that HR policies and practices have critical linkages with an organization’s overall strategy Central premise is that HR policies will have direct effects on an organization’s profitability HR must “fit” strategically with the mission of the organization

HRP and Strategic Planning Strategic Analysis What human resources are needed and what are available? Strategic Formulation What is required and necessary in support of human resources? Strategic Implementation How will the human resources be allocated? Human Resources Planning Strategic Planning

The Strategic Management Process

Linking the Processes of HRP and Strategic Planning Strategic Analysis Establish the context: Business goals Company strengths/weaknesses External opportunities/threats Source of competitive advantage Strategy Formulation Clarify performance expectations and future management method: Values, guiding principles Business mission Objectives and priorities Resource allocations Strategy Implementation Implement processes to achieve desired results: Business goals Company strengths/weaknesses External opportunities/threats Source of competitive advantage Identify people-related business issues Define HR strategies, objectives, and action plans Implement HR processes, policies, and practices Source: Adapted from James W. Walker, “Integrating the Human Resource Function with the Business,” Human Resource Planning 14, no. 2 (1996): 59–77. Reprinted with permission. Presentation Slide 4–1 Figure 4.1

Human Resource Planning

Strategic Planning & HR Planning at IBM Remember IBM World Leader in Computer Hardware & Pioneer in Personal Computers Divided itself into 14 autonomous divisions worldwide At IBM Strategic Planning begins at Top and then translated downwards Executives in different business areas develop strategies Then divisions create functional strategies for development, manufacturing, marketing and service The linkage between Business Plans & HR Plans The HR Department plays a crucial role HR concerns and objectives are inserted into the plans by HR specialists at divisional plans in coordination with divisional managers

Human Resource Planning Model FORECASTING DEMAND Considerations Product/service demand Technology Financial resources Absenteeism/turnover Organizational growth Management philosophy Techniques Trend analysis Managerial estimates Delphi technique BALANCING SUPPLY AND DEMAND (Shortage) Recruitment Full-time Part-time Recalls Techniques Staffing tables Markov analysis Skills inventories Management inventories Replacement charts Succession Planning External Considerations Demographic changes Education of the workforce Labor Mobility Government policies Unemployment rate (Surplus) Reductions Layoffs Terminations Demotions Retirements FORECASTING SUPPLY

The Human Resource Planning Process Strategic Planning Technology forecasts Economic forecasts Market forecasts Organizational planning Investment planning Annual operating plans HR Demand Annual employment requirements: numbers skills occupation categories HR Supply Existing employment inventory: After application of expected loss and attrition rates Compared with If none Variances End If Surplus If Shortage Action decisions Layoff Retirement Termination Overtime Recruitment Contractors End End

Human Resource Planning (HRP) Six steps of effective HRP environmental scanning—identify and anticipate sources of threats and opportunities, scanning the external environment (competitors, regulation) and internal environment ( strategy, technology, culture) labor analysis—project how business needs will affect HR needs, using qualitative methods (e.g., Delphi, nominal) and quantitative methods (trend analysis, simple and multiple linear regression analysis) supply analysis—project resource availability from internal and external sources gap analysis—reconcile the forecast of labor supply and demand action programming—implement the recommended solution from the gap analysis evaluation—monitor the effects of the HRP by defining and measuring critical criteria (e.g., turnover costs, break-even costs of new hires)

HRP and Environmental Scanning The systematic monitoring of the major external forces influencing the organization. Economic factors: general and regional conditions Competitive trends: new processes, services, and innovations Technological changes: robotics and office automation Political and legislative issues: laws and administrative rulings Social concerns: child care and educational priorities Demographic trends: age, composition,and literacy

Forecasting Demand for Employees Quantitative Methods Qualitative Methods Forecasting Demand

Qualitative Approaches to Demand Forecasting Management Forecasts The opinions (judgments) of supervisors, department managers, experts, or others knowledgeable about the organization’s future employment needs. Delphi Technique An attempt to decrease the subjectivity of forecasts by soliciting and summarizing the judgments of a preselected group of individuals. The final forecast represents a composite group judgment.

Quantitative Approach: Trend Analysis Forecasting labor demand based on an organizational index such as sales: Select a business factor that best predicts human resources needs. Plot the business factor in relation to the number of employees to determine the labor productivity ratio. Compute the productivity ratio for the past five years. Calculate human resources demand by multiplying the business factor by the productivity ratio. Project human resources demand out to the target year(s).

Example of Trend Analysis of HR Demand BUSINESS  LABOR = HUMAN RESOURCES FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY DEMAND YEAR (SALES IN THOUSANDS) (SALES/EMPLOYEE) (NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES) 1997 $2,351 14.33 164 1998 $2,613 11.12 235 1999 $2,935 8.34 352 2000 $3,306 10.02 330 2001 $3,613 11.12 325 2002 $3,748 11.12 337 2003 $3,880 12.52 310 2004* $4,095 12.52 327 2005* $4,283 12.52 342 2006* $4,446 12.52 355 *Projected figures Figure 4.4

Forecasting Supply of Employees: Internal Labor Supply Staffing Tables Markov Analysis Skill Inventories Replacement Charts Succession Planning

Forecasting Internal Labor Supply Staffing Tables Graphic representations of all organizational jobs, along with the numbers of employees currently occupying those jobs and future (monthly or yearly) employment requirements. Markov Analysis A method for tracking the pattern of employee movements through various jobs.

Forecasting Labor Supply Succession Planning Technique that identifies specific people to fill future openings in key positions throughout the organization Organizational Replacement Charts Charts that shows both incumbents and potential replacements for given positions within the organization Commitment Manpower Planning Systematic approach to HR planning designed to get managers and their subordinates thinking about and involved in human resource planning

Action Plans Managers must develop complete action plan to accomplish HR objectives Adding Human Resources Ad hoc Placement Temporary & Outsourcing Permanent Reducing Human Resources Downsizing Layoffs, termination Other approaches Reclassification Transfers Work Sharing

Internal Methods of Locating Qualified Job Candidates Human Resources Information Systems (HRIS) Database systems containing the records and qualifications of each employee that can be accessed to identify and screen candidates for an internal job opening. Job Posting and Bidding Posting vacancy notices and maintaining lists of employees looking for upgraded positions.

Human Resource Information Systems (HRIS) Integrated approach to acquiring, storing, analyzing, and controlling the flow of information about an organization Useful in nearly all HRM functions Can increase efficiency and response times of labor/time intensive human resource activities

HRIS Applications Clerical Applications Applicant information Basic Employee Records Job Database Sub Modules based on functions Training Turnover Analysis Succession Planning Benefits Management Monitoring functions Attendance

A Common HRIS