How to Analyse Data Martin Rusnak, MD, PhD prof. of Public Health

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Presentation transcript:

How to Analyse Data Martin Rusnak, MD, PhD prof. of Public Health Trnava University in Slovakia

“When you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meager and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely, in your thoughts advanced to the stage of science.” William Thomson, 1st Baron Kelvin Observing reality: From a question or questions to results Definition of a problem Methodology Results Discussion How to start? rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

What does observation of reality lead to? What does it mean to solve the problem? Who is affected by the problem? What is the basic question- is it an open or closed one? How to develop an answer to the question and formulate goals? What is the nature of the research - more fundamental or more oriented to practice? What would be the most appropriate methodology? Which methods and techniques should be used to collect data? How to define your own role and position in this research? In looking at reality, a researcher constantly asks new questions: what do certain events mean? Why did they occur? rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Avoid datism by well defined problem Definition of the problem provides reliable and objective reasons for research and its goals; Definition of the problem is clearly related to the study field (when public health, not physiology); The concepts of plan, construction-design and execution of research actually can contribute to finding answers for the question; Research is feasible in relation to the environment in which it is implemented and the necessary resources are available; Research is justified, meaning that what is disputed and what is mutually consistent are clearly, completely and accurately defined. Avoid datism by well defined problem rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Methodology should lead to answers to questions or hypotheses Methodology should be simple, straightforward and clearly connected to the stated objectives : Begin with estimating the required sample size (see specifics in books on bio statistics and epidemiology) Think of potential confounding and bias (the same as above) Consider ethical and legal restrictions , such as data protection and privacy, informed consent, research on human embryos and foetuses, dual-use goods, animal research and research conducted in developing countries . Familiarise with methodologies for creating and analysing questionnaires Statistics should be appropriate to research objectives, begin with simple descriptive and continue with hypothesis testing. Avoid complicated, multivariant, etc if you are not well aware how to interpret results. Methodology should lead to answers to questions or hypotheses rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Based on the results, we either confirm or negate hypotheses and thus achieve the research objectives. When a research objective is not clearly described right from the start, the results can neither confirm nor negate it. Display results in black and white, two-dimensional and without ornamentation (this particularly relates to graphs and tables). Results should be clear, understandable and unambiguous. Note well: statistical results are not equivalent to certainty, but only talk of probabilities relating to the events observed. On results rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Avoid Use rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Be careful with Decimal places should match input data. Percentages shown in a row or a column, it should be obvious how they have been derived (% of what?). Percentage (per hundred) is a whole number, one decimal place used refers to a permille (per thousand). When a table with multiple variables indicates that the differences were statistically significant, you should specify which of them were (or were not) significant. Using line graph to describe discrete variable is inappropriate, use the bar graph instead. Be careful with rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

If daily values were recorded and the graph reports them by days, then the graph is correct. If sums pre year were recorded and reported, the use of line graph is not correct If sums pre year were recorded and reported, the use of bar graph is appropriate. rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Elements to Include in the Discussion Things to Avoid in the Discussion State the study’s major findings Explain the meaning and importance of the findings Relate the findings to those of similar studies Consider alternative explanations of the findings State the clinical relevance of the findings Acknowledge the study’s limitations Make suggestions for further research Over-presentation of the results Unwarranted speculation Inflation of the importance of the findings Tangential issues The “bully pulpit” Conclusions that are not supported by the data Inclusion of the “take-home message”; save this for the conclusions section Discussion describes the critical thinking skills obtained / applied in the analysis rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Data analysis Leads to knowledge and involves a lot of thinking. It is not straightforward, but often revolves in circles. Tt brings with it the joy of exploration, of discovering something new, and becoming a member of a community of exceptional people with specific and shared interests. Completing an analysis does not end with a publication, but marks the start of a lifelong journey of discovery. Data analysis rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018

Welcome to the world of science and ideas! rusnakm@truni.sk 16. 11. 2018