Seasonal Prediction with the CCSM

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Presentation transcript:

Seasonal Prediction with the CCSM Ben Kirtman, Dugong Min and Dan Paolino, COLA CCSM Advisory Board Meeting 28 February 2007

CCSM3.0 Prediction Experiments Testing IPCC-Class Model on the Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Problem Toward Multi-Model Prediction in the NOAA Climate Test-Bed Using Ocean Initial Conditions from MOM3 in POP Global Atmosphere and Land Surface Initial Conditions

CCSM3.0 Jan 1982 IC CFS Jan 1982 IC Upper left for each set of 8 plots is observational estimates from IOSST and Upper right for each set of 8 plots is the ensemble mean of 6 cases.

CCSM3.0 Jan 1983 IC CFS Jan 1983 IC Upper left for each set of 8 plots is observational estimates from IOSST and Upper right for each set of 8 plots is the ensemble mean of 6 cases.

CCSM3.0 Jan 1988 IC CFS Jan 1988 IC Upper left for each set of 8 plots is observational estimates from IOSST and Upper right for each set of 8 plots is the ensemble mean of 6 cases.