Kharif Review Rabi Prospects Strategies Dr. S. K. Malhotra

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NATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURE FOR RABI CAMPAIGN 2017-18 (19-20th September, 2017) Kharif Review Rabi Prospects Strategies Dr. S. K. Malhotra Agriculture Commissioner Department of Agriculture, Cooperation and Farmers Welfare, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare

RAINFALL IN KHARIF 2017 South West Monsoon: Deficient States % Departure Upto June 9 +2% Upto July 9 -4% Upto August 8 -6% Rainfall (1st June - 18th Sep) : Actual : 781.7 mm Normal : 829.7 mm Deficit : - 6% Deficient (-20% to -59%) rainfall States: M. P., Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Nagaland, Manipur, Goa

2016 2016 2016 2017 Total subdivisions : 36 Excess/ Normal : 24 Deficit : 12 Total subdivisions : 36 Excess/ Normal : 29 Deficit : 7 Incidence of floods: Assam, Bihar, WB, MP, Rajasthan, parts of UP & Maharashtra

REGION WISE PERCENT LIVE STORAGE OF WATER IN MAJOR RESERVOIRS (2017 & 2016) Region 2016 2017 Northern Region 79 86 Eastern Region 78 62 Western Region 74 71 Central Region 59 Southern Region 42 41 All India 68 10 Year Average 73 Live Storage (in BCM) 107.21 92.51 Total live storage capacity Full Reservoir Level=157.8 (BCM) Last 10 Year Average: 114.46 BCM Total reservoirs: 91 52 reservoirs : >80% capacity of normal storage 39 reservoirs : <80% capacity of normal storage (-) 19% Departure from 10 years Avg. Source: CWC, GOI. As on 14.09.2017

AREA COVERAGE: KHARIF -2017 Increase / Decrease over 2016 (As on 14.09.17) Crop Normal Area * (million hectare) Area Sown during Kharif Increase / Decrease over 2016 2016 2017 Rice 39.59 37.91 37.40 - 0.51 Pulses 10.56 14.55 14.04 Coarse Cereals 19.22 18.84 18.45 - 0.39 Oilseeds 18.40 18.86 17.20 - 1.66 Sugarcane 5.00 4.56 4.99 + 0.43 Jute & Mesta 0.84 0.76 0.71 - 0.05 Cotton 12.25 10.22 12.15 + 1.93 Total 105.86 105.71 104.94 - 0.77 * DES: Avg. 2011-12 to 2015-16

AREA COVERAGE : PULSE CROPS Increase / Decrease over 2016 Kharif Season (in million ha as on 14.09.17) Increase / Decrease over 2016  Crop Normal Area* 2015 2016 2017 Red gram 3.92 3.73 5.24 4.30 -0.94 Black gram 2.48 2.76 3.51 4.26 +0.75 Green gram 2.34 2.54 3.44 3.16 -0.28 Other Pulses 1.81 2.08 2.37 2.32 -0.05 Total Kharif pulses 10.56 11.11 14.56 14.04 -0.52 Source: SDA *DES Avg. 2011-12 to 2015-16

AREA COVERAGE : OILSEED CROPS Increase / Decrease over 2016 Kharif Season (in million ha as on 14.09.17) Increase / Decrease over 2016  Crop Normal Area* 2015 2016 2017 Groundnut 4.15 3.65 4.68 4.14 - 0.54 Soybean 11.04 11.62 11.47 10.58 - 0.89 Other Oilseeds 3.21 2.96 2.71 2.48 -0.23 Total Kharif Oilseeds 18.40 18.23 18.86 17.20 - 1.66 Source: SDA * DES: Avg. 2011-12 to 2015-16 .

AREA COVERAGE: COMMERCIAL CROPS Increase / Decrease over 2016 Kharif Season (in million ha as on 14.09.17) Increase / Decrease over 2016  Crop Normal Area* 2015 2016 2017 Cotton 12.24 11.42 10.17 12.10 + 1.93 Jute & Mesta 0.84 0.77 0.76 0.71 - 0.05 Sugarcane 5.00 4.96 4.56 4.99 + 0.43 Source: SDAs * DES: Avg. 2011-12 to 2015-16

CROP PRODUCTION TARGETS 2017-18 million tonnes/bales Crops 2016-17(4th Adv. Estimate) 2017-18 (Targets) Kharif Rabi Total Rice 96.39 13.76 110.15 94.50 14.00 108.50 Wheat - 98.38 97.50 Maize 19.24 7.02 26.26 19.00 7.00 26.00 Coarse cereals 32.71 11.48 44.19 33.75 11.90 45.65 Total Pulses 9.42 13.53 22.95 8.75 14.15 22.90 Total Foodgrains 138.52 137.16 275.68 137.00 137.55 276.55 Oilseeds 22.40 9.70 32.10 25.40 10.10 35.50 Sugarcane 306.72 355.00 Cotton (170 kg bales) 33.09 Jute & Mesta (180 kg bales) 10.60 11.80

STRATEGIES FOR RABI 2017-18 Region specific crop planning based on moisture availability Pre-positioning of Inputs: seeds, fertilizers, micro-nutrients, bio-agents/agro- chemicals, soil ameliorants etc. Moisture conservation practices and use of farm machinery for timely sowing Judicious use of water for irrigation (scheduling, micro- irrigation, etc.) Focus on rice fallow area for sowing of pulses and oilseeds Promotion of relay cropping / inter-cropping to enhance production and profit per unit area and risk management Application of fertilizers and micronutrients (sulphur, molybdenum, zinc, boron, etc) as per Soil Health Card

REQUIREMENT AND AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS (Rabi 2017-18) Crop Requirement (lakh quintal) Availability (lakh quintal) Deficit/ Surplus Wheat 121.26 149.77 +28.51 Rabi Sorghum 1.05 1.07 +0.02 Chickpea 17.16 19.26 +2.10 Blackgram 0.83 0.99 +0.16 Greengram 0.49 0.71 +0.22 Lentil 1.37 1.36 -0.01 Rapeseed - Mustard 2.18 2.42 +0.24 Source: Seed Division, DAC, GOI.

REQUIREMENT AND SALES OF FERTILIZERS Rabi: 2017-18 (As on 14.09.2017) Assessed Requirement (lakh tonne) Total Consumption (lakh tonne) Urea 160.93 152.58 162.35 DAP 49.72 47.68 50.83 MOP 17.03 15.20 16.70 NPK (Complex) 49.61 43.42 50.46 SSP 33.38 21.49 29.48 Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI

SPECIFIC ISSUES Wheat blast in Bangaldesh Yellow Rust & Karnal Bunt in Northern states: Each state should have strategy to manage these diseases. Enforcement of Seed Certification Standards: Promotion of seed production during off season to meet the demand Enforcement of alternate management of crop residues and avoid burning

INITIATIVES FOR PULSES AND OILSEEDS 150 Seed Hubs in Pulses Proposal for seed hubs on oilseeds is under process Enhanced targets of breeder seed production of pulses and oilseeds by ICAR / SAUs. Increased number of seed minikits of pulses and oilseeds. Scaling up of ‘Seed Village’ program from 30, 000 to 60,000

INITIATIVES FOR PULSES & OILSEEDS (contd.) Cluster FLDs of pulses and oilseeds involving more number of KVKs. Special scheme for increasing pulse production. Promotion of pulses & oilseeds as alternate crop in: a) Targeting Rice Fellow Area – Eastern states b) Wheat blast areas - West Bengal Promotion of greengram & sunflower during summer Additional area coverage of 75,000 ha under oil palm during next 2 years (2017-18 & 2018-19) Bee keeping in oilseeds & other crops

WE NEED TO PROMOTE PULSES & OILSEEDS IN RICE FALLOWS Eastern States: Paddy Fallow – 8 million ha (Eastern), 3 mil ha (south) West Bengal, Bihar, Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Assam Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka Options: Pulses: Lentil, lathyrus and chickpea Oil seeds: Mustard, safflower and linseed Identification of potential districts with rice fallows Promote timely sowing of pulses in residual moistures Availability of seeds of suitable varieties Use of natural resources: tanks/watersheds for life saving irrigation (PMKSY) Pooling of resources : NFSM, NMOOP, ATMA, RKVY and other schemes. Motivating large number of farmers in a village

Appropriate strategy will help to address the constraints and achieve the target THANK YOU