LAKLEMS Latest developments in KLEMS Latin America

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Presentation transcript:

LAKLEMS Latest developments in KLEMS Latin America The idea of this presentation is to bring interested parties up-to-date with the KLEMS iniative in Latin America. To invite researchers, either Latin American or from other countries, to include Latin American countries in their analysis using the LAKLEMS database. André Hofman WorldKLEMS Conference 4-5 June 2018, Boston

OUTLINE 1. Introduction 2. Background LAKLEMS 3. Participating countries 4. New developments New web page of LAKLEMS Project (laklems.net) - New countries - Initial countries - Database 5 countries 5. Future Initial countries New countries New countries South-south cooperation One of the objectives of the Project is to generate south-south cooperation. At this moment we have 2 missions of technical cooperation in the field. In both an important component is the assistance that INEGO-Mexico provides through relating thheir experience with the implementatioon of the KLEMS methodology. Initial countries

BACKGROUND LAKLEMS The project “LA-KLEMS: Economic Growth and Productivity in Latin America” was approved in October 2016 by the Regional Public Goods Program (RPG) of the Inter American Development Bank. Its objective is strengthening capacities in national statistics institutes and central banks to produce better production statistics with the KLEMS methodology for decision-making on economic policies in the countries. Based on official data of the national accounts (SNA 2008) the project will create a new base that corresponds with the methodological requirements of LA-KLEMS. This database will be the same among participating countries both in structure and methodologies and will enable the comparative study of productivity in Latin America and other countries participating in the project WORLD-KLEMS. The process of collection and statistical analysis is done in the National Institutes of Statistics and the Central Banks of the participating countries. The project is coordinated by IDB and University of Santiago de Chile with support from the University of Groningen (Netherlands), Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas (IVIE) and Harvard University.

BACKGROUND LAKLEMS This project aims to create a database for measuring economic growth, productivity, employment creation, capital formation and technological change at the sectoral level, initially for four Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico) from 1990 onwards. This work will provide a critical input for the analysis and evaluation of policy, in particular those related to competitiveness, innovation and the role of ICTs (Information and Communication Technologies) on economic growth. The database should facilitate the production of high quality statistics based on the methodologies of national accounts and input-output matrices. The measurements include the categories of inputs: capital, labor, energy, materials and services, identifying each ICT component. The productivity measurement is carried out with growth accounting techniques (Jorgenson, Gollop and Fraumeni, 1987).

PARTICIPATING COUNTRIES 1th Stage Argentina (INDEC)) Brazil (LAKLEMS Consultant) Chile (National Statistic Office of Chile, Central Bank of Chile) Colombia (DANE) Mexico (INEGI) 2th Stage Costa Rica (National Statistic Office of Costa Rica, Central Bank of Costa Rica) Peru (INEI) 3th Stage Dominican Republic (Central Bank of the Dominican Republic) El Salvador (Central Bank of El Salvador) Honduras (Central Bank of Honduras)

NEW DEVELOPMENTS The webpage Update of LAKLEMS database by topic Introduction of new themes - Analysis of TFP - Knowledge capital - Informal capital Paralel to the LAKLEMS project data base at the USACH data center which has all kind of background data for analysis on productivity and economic growth as well as other empirical research.

The new web site: WWW.LAKLEMS.NET NEW DEVELOPMENTS The new web site: WWW.LAKLEMS.NET

NEW DEVELOPMENTS

Update of LAKLEMS database by topic NEW DEVELOPMENTS Update of LAKLEMS database by topic COUNTRY COVERAGE TIME Brazil 1995-2013 Chile 1990-2015 Colombia 1990-2014 México 1990-2016

Update of LAKLEMS database by topic NEW DEVELOPMENTS Update of LAKLEMS database by topic Values Variable Brasil Chile Colombia México Gross output at current basic prices GO 1995-2013 1990-2015 1990-2014 1990-2016 Intermediate inputs at current purchasers' prices II Gross value added at current basic prices VA Compensation of employees COMP Number of persons engaged EMP Number of employees EMPE NA Total hours worked by persons engaged H_EMP Total hours worked by employees H_EMPE Prices Gross output, price indices, 2010 = 100 GO_P 1995-2011 Intermediate inputs, price indices, 2010 = 100 II_P 1995-2012 Gross value added, price indices, 2010 = 100 VA_P Volumes Gross output, volume indices, 2010 = 100 GO_QI Intermediate inputs, volume indices, 2010 = 100 II_QI Gross value added, volume indices, 2010 = 100 VA_QI Gross value added per hour worked, volume indices, 2010 = 100 LP_I

New Update of LAKLEMS database by topic NEW DEVELOPMENTS New Update of LAKLEMS database by topic Growth accounting Variable Brasil Chile Colombia México Labour compensation LAB 1995-2013 1990-2015 1990-2014 1990-2016 Capital compensation CAP Labour services, volume indices, 2010 = 100 LAB_QI Capital services, volume indices, 2010 = 100 CAP_QI 1996-2013 1991-2015 1991-2014 1991-2016 Growth rate of value added volume (% per year) VA_Q Contribution of hours worked to value added growth (percentage points) VAConH Contribution of labour composition change to value added growth (percentage points) VAConLC Contribution of ICT capital services to value added growth (percentage points) VAConKIT Contribution of non-ICT capital services to value added growth (percentage points) VAConKNIT Contribution of TFP to value added growth (percentage points) VAConTFP TFP (value added based) growth, 2010 = 100 TFPva_I Additional variables Labour compensation per hour worked LAB_AVG Average number of hours worked H_AVG Other Additional variables Gross value added per hour worked LP 1995-2012 1991-2010 ICT Capital compensation, volume indices, 2010 = 100 CAPIT_QI 1990-2010 Non-ICT capital services, volume indices, 2010 = 100 CAPNIT_QI ICT capital services per hour worked, 2010 = 100 CAPIT_QPH 1995-2009 Capital compensation adjusted for negative rental prices CAP_GFCF 1990-2012 Non-ICT capital services per hour worked, 2010 = 100 CAPNIT_QPH 1990-2009 ICT capital compensation (share in total capital compensation) CAPIT 1995-2014 Non-ICT capital compensation (share in total capital compensation) CAPNIT 1995-2015 1990-2011

FUTURE By mid-2019 Functioning data base in 10 countries of Latin America. Initial countries Disaggregation of the variables by Energy (E), Materials(M) and Services (S) for Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia. New Countries Construction of “historical series” of output, capital and labor 1990-2015. Disaggregation of the series by more (at least nine) economic sector for the main variables. Disaggregation of the variables by Energy (E), Materials(M) and Services (S). After mid-2019 - Next LAKLEMS? Inclusion of additional countries. Analysis on productivity developments in the 10 countries Introduction of new themes such as: - Intangibles - Global value change Logical options are Uruguay, Ecuador, Venezuela and some other Central American or Caribbean countries.

LAKLEMS Latest developments in KLEMS Latin America André Hofman WorldKLEMS Conference 4-5 June 2018, Boston