Alternative scenarios

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Presentation transcript:

Alternative scenarios

Alternative scenarios

Three windows on the energy transition

Economic backdrop

Three windows on the energy transition

Energy demand by sector

Energy demand in buildings

Energy demand in buildings and transport sector

Three windows on the energy transition

Regional energy demand

Energy mix by region

Three windows on the energy transition

Global energy by fuel

Diversified fuel mix

Three windows on the energy transition

Five key questions

Five key questions

Penetration of electric cars in 2040

Penetration of electric cars in 2040

Electric cars, shared mobility and autonomy

Liquid fuel demand from passenger cars

Global ban on internal-combustion engine (ICE) cars

Impact of ICE ban

Impact of ICE ban

Five key questions

Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

Demand for oil and other liquid fuels

US tight oil: alternative scenarios

US tight oil: alternative scenarios

US tight oil: alternative scenarios

Five key questions

Rapid growth in renewable energy

‘Renewables push’ scenario

‘Renewables push’ scenario

Five key questions

Growth in natural gas demand

Possible risks to the outlook for natural gas

Possible risks to the outlook for natural gas

Five key questions

Carbon emissions continue to rise in the ET scenario

Impact of faster transition on global energy system

Conclusion

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