Erosion of the rule of law in the Eastern members of EU

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Presentation transcript:

Erosion of the rule of law in the Eastern members of EU 19.3.2018 Katalin Miklóssy ‘Current Trends in European Politics’ – lecture series 12.03.2018 - 09.05.2018

INTRODUCTION Problems of the master narrative Problems of the concept Problems of explanatory frames Structure of the lecture What is the situation? Why? What is Russia’s role? What next?

WHAT? Illiberal Democracy

‘The most stable political system’ (Orbán) Freedom of the Media NGOs Constitutional Court Public Prosecutor Party-loyal economic entourage Corruption Nationalisation, extra taxation Culture, education

WHY? Back to Europe - Euphoria Mind-set The power of the Western model (‘End of History’) National path Mind-set Weak democratic experience Bipolarism Incompatible concepts

ILLIBERAL OR UNDEMOCRATIC? Political system Market Economy Civil Society

PERCEIVING RUSSIA TODAY Memory of the Soviet Empire is fading Coming to terms with the past is about chasing domestic culprits Anti-Russian rhetoric is replaced by anti-EU Business is more important - energy supply is vital Ukraine is complex issue – difficult to blame on one side

NEW AFFINITY TO RUSSIA Threat to sovereignty – EU Development model - Illiberal democracy Considerable resource

EU-CRITICISM IS GROWING EU-Enlargement as new colonialism New markets Cheap labour Tax reduction Unfair competition Double standard EU is interfering in domestic affairs Domestic firms can not be supported Restrictions on Russia Continuous criticism on policy Refugees

Strong leadership Democratic processes take too much time and hence they are inefficient Crisis demands extraordinary measures Nationalism and conservative values protect ‘our’ culture against forced multiculturalism compelled by transnational powers

Energy-security Russia: pipeline passage to the Western markets - Poland and Slovakia The ECE countries are differently dependent on Russia in gas supply Hungary: 45 %/81 % Poland: 15 % - own 5%; from 10%/83 % Czech Republic: 30%/66 % Slovakia: 50%/98 %

Conclusion Solidarity is overrated Orban has proved that standing up against the EU can work Visegrad resistance will continue and perhaps find new ways EU is helpless Refugee crisis can potentially become the crisis of the EU