Lecture 4: How Trade Creates Wealth

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Lecture 4: How Trade Creates Wealth   Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Housekeeping Sections meet this week. Homework 1 will go up on my website tonight. Why start with supply and demand? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Reading Quiz (1) The modern understanding of how trade creates wealth is based on: A. The principle of the least-cost buyer B. The principle of the highest-cost buyer C. The principle of absolute advantage D. The principle of comparative advantage Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Reading Quiz (2) Autarky is: A. Complete trade openness B. The absence of trade C. Mercantilism on steroids D. Mercantilism lite Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Reading Quiz (3) If two countries have different resources and workers with different skills, then trade between these two countries will lead to: A. A decrease in total wealth B. specialization C. Both A and B D. Neither A nor B Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Quick review Suppose that cold temperatures cause the quantity of tea harvested to decrease. What should happen in the market for coffee? A. Decrease both the equilibrium price and quantity B. Increase both the equilibrium price and quantity C. Decrease the equilibrium price and increase the equilibrium quantity D. Increase the equilibrium price and decrease the equilibrium quantity. Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham The Big Puzzles Economists tell us that completely free trade will maximize global wealth. Why do we still see so many barriers to trade? Removing (or implementing) trade barriers creates both winners and losers. Who wins, who loses? Why start with supply and demand? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Taking a Step Back How does trade create wealth? Today: The principle of comparative advantage “Name me one proposition in all of the social sciences which is both true and non-trivial.” – Stanislaw Ulam Why start with supply and demand? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Factors of Production Inputs Anything that is used to produce a good (or service) is called a factor of production. Primary factors: Land Farm land, space to set up a factory, etc. (acres) Labor Person-hours of work. Capital Anything that helps you make more product with less land and labor Money, equipment, tools “Human capital” = education, knowledge Why start with supply and demand? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Absolute Advantage A country has absolute advantage when it can make a good using less inputs (labor, land, capital) than another country can. Adam Smith says: if two countries each have absolute advantage over the other in at least one thing, they can trade productively. Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Absolute Advantage A country has absolute advantage when it can make a good using less inputs (labor, land, capital) than another country can. Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Absolute Advantage Trade and specialization makes us better off: US makes 40 yards of cloth UK makes 30 bottles of wine They trade 10 bottles of wine for 15 yards of cloth Now the US has 10 bottles and 25 yards of cloth and the UK has 20 bottles and 15 yards of cloth. Both are better off. Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Principal of Comparative Advantage Two countries can both benefit from trade EVEN IF one of them has an absolute advantage in everything. What matters is the marginal rate of transformation (MRT) How many bottles of wine do I have to give up to make an extra yard of cloth? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Marginal Rate of Transformation The US MRT from wine to cloth is 40/40 = 1 The US would have to make 1 less bottle of wine in order to make one extra yard of cloth The UK MRT from wine to cloth is 20/2 = 2 The UK has to give up 2 bottles to make 1 extra yard of cloth Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Clicker Question What is the MRT from steel to TVs for the US? A. 1/3 of a ton per TV B. 3 tons per TV C. 5 tons per TV D. 1/2 of a ton per TV Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Clicker Question If these were the only two countries in the world (and the only two products), who should specialize in what? A. The UK should specialize in wine, the US should specialize in cloth B. The US should specialize in wine, the UK should specialize in cloth C. The UK should specialize in wine, it doesn’t matter for the US D. The UK should specialize in cloth, it doesn’t matter for the US Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Comparative Advantage Trade and specialization makes us better off: US makes 60 yards of cotton and 20 bottles of wine UK makes 40 bottles of wine UK trades 20 bottles of wine for 15 yards of cloth Now the US has 40 bottles and 45 yards of cloth and the UK has 20 bottles and 15 yards of cloth. Both are b˜etter off. Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Clicker Question The UK has a comparative advantage in: A. Steel B. Televisions C. Neither D. Both Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Clicker Question If the world had only two countries and two products, the US should specialize in producing: A. Steel B. Televisions C. Neither D. Both Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Clicker Question Mutually advantageous trade will occur between the United States and the United Kingdom so long as one ton of steel trades for: a. At least 1 television, but no more than 2 televisions b. At least 2 televisions, but no more than 3 televisions c. At least 3 televisions, but no more than 4 televisions d. At least 4 televisions, but no more than 5 televisions Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

There are more than two products, yo Rank the products by the degree of comparative cost Each country produces (and exports) the products in which they have the greatest comparative advantage Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

There are more than two countries, yo Multilateral trade Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Who wins, who loses? If the UK and the US decided to start trading with each other, who loses out? A. Winemakers in the US and clothmakers in the UK B. Clothmakers in the US and winemakers in the UK C. Clothmakers in the UK only D. Everyone in the UK Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

What determines comparative advantage? Factor endowments -- land, natural resources, weather... Saudi Arabia has a comparative advantage in producing oil Florida has a comparative advantage producing oranges Past investments -- how much of what type of capital you have Education, infrastructure, factories, machinery Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham

Lecture 2: Supply, Demand, etc. Benjamin Graham From last week: An aid organization buys grain in the US and ships it to a village in a developing country that is experiencing a drought. What happens to the price of grain in the area? What happens to the price of corn in that area? What happens to the price of grain back in the US? Which of the following actors gain, and who loses? Consumers of food in the drought-stricken region Producers of food (i.e. farmers) in the drought-stricken region Consumers of food in the US Producers of food in the US Lecture 2: Supply, Demand, etc. Benjamin Graham

Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham Group Question Draw on the concepts from the last two lectures to answer this question: Assume there are no barriers to trade. I am a wealthy investor. Where should I build factories and place new equipment (i.e. where should I invest my capital)? Country A, with lots of land and labor and no capital of any kind Country B, with lots of capital of all kinds already in place Why? Lecture 3: Comparative Advantage Benjamin Graham