Quantifying errors in model chemical forecasts during TRACE-P I

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

GEOS-CHEM Near-Real Time Full-Chemistry Simulations S. Turquety, D. J. Jacob, R. M. Yantosca, R. C. Hudman, L. Jaeglé, S. Wu Objectives : 1.ICARTT campaign.

Advertisements

Using beryllium-7 to assess stratosphere-to- troposphere transport in global models 4 th GEOS-Chem Users’ Meeting Harvard University, April 7-10, 2009.

Impact of Seasonal Variation of Long-Range Transport on the Middle Eastern O 3 Maximum Jane Liu, Dylan B. Jones, Mark Parrington, Jay Kar University of.

Exploiting Satellite Observations of Tropospheric Trace Gases Ross N. Hoffman, Thomas Nehrkorn, Mark Cerniglia Atmospheric and Environmental Research,

1 Radiative Effect of Clouds on Tropospheric Chemistry in a Global 3-D Chemical Transport Model Hongyu Liu ( National Institute.

GEOS Meteorological and Chemical Data Assimilation Steven Pawson Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA GSFC.

Effects of Siberian forest fires on regional air quality and meteorology in May 2003 Rokjin J. Park with Daeok Youn, Jaein Jeong, Byung-Kwon Moon Seoul.

INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT OF AIR POLLUTION WITH GMI AND PLANS FOR THE NEW HEMISPHERIC TRANSPORT OF AIR POLLUTANTS (HTAP) MODEL INTERCOMPARISON STUDY ROKJIN.

Isoprene emissions in Africa inferred from OMI HCHO ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: This work was funded by the NASA ACMAP program and the South African National Research.

TOP-DOWN CONSTRAINTS ON REGIONAL CARBON FLUXES USING CO 2 :CO CORRELATIONS FROM AIRCRAFT DATA P. Suntharalingam, D. J. Jacob, Q. Li, P. Palmer, J. A. Logan,

GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model: Current Status and Future Plans Daniel J. Jacob, GEOS-Chem Model Scientist Harvard University.

Arlindo da Silva Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA/GSFC MODIS Science Team Meeting Sheraton Silver Spring 21 May 2015.

Simulation Experiments for GEO-CAPE Regional Air Quality GEO-CAPE Workshop September 22, 2009 Peter Zoogman, Daniel J. Jacob, Kelly Chance, Lin Zhang,

Asian Sources of Methane and Ethane Y. Xiao, D.J. Jacob, J. Wang, G.W. Sachse, D.R. Blake, D.G. Streets, et al. Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group Harvard.

Estimating background ozone in surface air over the United States with global 3-D models of tropospheric chemistry Description, Evaluation, and Results.

Simulation Experiments for TEMPO Air Quality Objectives Peter Zoogman, Daniel Jacob, Kelly Chance, Xiong Liu, Arlene Fiore, Meiyun Lin, Katie Travis, Annmarie.

Using CO observations from space to track long-range transport of pollution Daniel J. Jacob with Patrick Kim, Peter Zoogman, Helen Wang and funding from.

GEOS-CHEM global model of tropospheric chemistry (www-as.harvard.edu/chemistry/trop/geos) assimilated meteorological data from NASA DAO, o.

ORIGIN OF BACKGROUND OZONE IN SURFACE AIR OVER THE UNITED STATES: CONTRIBUTION TO POLLUTION EPISODES Daniel J. Jacob and Arlene M. Fiore Atmospheric Chemistry.

Solène Turquety – AGU fall meeting, San Francisco, December 2006 High Temporal Resolution Inverse Modeling Analysis of CO Emissions from North American.

Potential of Observations from the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer to Constrain Continental Sources of Carbon Monoxide D. B. A. Jones, P. I. Palmer,

ΜΕΤΑΣΥΛΛΕΚΤΙΚΗ ΦΥΣΙΟΛΟΓΙΑ ΕΡΓΑΣΤΗΡΙΟ 3. Μετασυλλεκτική Εργ3-Λιοσάτου Γ.2 ΒΙΟΛΟΓΙΚΟΙ ΠΑΡΑΓΟΝΤΕΣ ΠΟΥ ΕΠΗΡΕΑΖΟΥΝ ΤΗ ΦΘΟΡΑ ΤΩΝ ΟΠΩΡΟΚΗΠΕΥΤΙΚΩΝ Αναπνοή Η λειτουργία.

ECMWF/EUMETSAT NWP-SAF Satellite data assimilation Training Course Mar 2016.

TESTING GLOBAL MODELS OF INTERCONTINENTAL POLLUTION TRANSPORT USING AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS Daniel J. Jacob with Mathew J. Evans, T. Duncan.

INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT EXPERIMENT – NORTH AMERICA (INTEX-NA)

Qiaoqiao Wang, Kevin Wecht, Daniel Jacob

Transport Working Group

INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT: CONCENTRATIONS AND FLUXES

SIMULATED OBSERVATION OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE AND CO WITH TES

A New Tropopause Definition for Use in Chemistry-Transport Models

Global 3-D Model Analysis of TRACE-P HCN and CH3CN Measurements

Daniel J. Jacob Harvard University

evaluation with MOPITT satellite observations for the summer 2004

Capabilities of different satellite observing systems for mapping methane emissions on regional to km scales Daniel Jacob, Jianxiong Sheng, Alex Turner,

Peter Zoogman, Daniel Jacob

Jacob, D. J. , A. J. Turner, J. D. Maasakkers, J. Sheng, K. Sun, X

INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE AND PRECURSORS AT NORTHERN MIDLATITUDES: IMPLICATIONS FOR SURFACE AIR QUALITY AND GLOBAL CHANGE Daniel.

North American Isoprene Emissions Measured from Space

Randall Martin, Daniel Jacob, Jennifer Logan, Paul Palmer

Transport pathways for Asian combustion outflow over the Pacific: Interannual and seasonal variations Hongyu Liu, Daniel J. Jacob, Isabelle Bey, Robert.

SUMMER 2004 FIELD STUDIES Modeling support by Harvard University

Lu Hu Global budget of tropospheric ozone: long-term trend and recent model advances Lu Hu With Loretta Mickley,

Global Simulation of CH3Cl

EXPORT EFFICIENCY OF BLACK CARBON IN CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GLOBAL BUDGET AND FOR ARCTIC DEPOSITION Rokjin, J. Park, Daniel J. Jacob,

Aura Science Team Meeting

اثرات گرمايش جهاني تغييرات آب و هوا، تأثيرات عميق و شديدي بر بسياري از عوامل اساسي موثر بر سلامت از جمله : آب، غذا، هوا و محيط زيست دارد كه اين مورد خود.

Paul Palmer, D. Jones, C. Heald, D. Jacob

Continental outflow of ozone pollution as determined by ozone-CO correlations from the TES satellite instrument Lin Zhang Daniel.

Transpacific satellite and aircraft observations of Asian pollution: An Integration of MOPITT and TRACE-P Colette L. Heald, Daniel J. Jacob, Arlene M.

FIRST GEOS-CHEM USERS’ MEETING June

Intercomparison of tropospheric ozone measurements from TES and OMI –

The effect of tropical convection on the carbon monoxide distribution in the upper troposphere inferred from Aura Satellite data and GEOS-Chem model Junhua.

Shiliang Wu1 Loretta J. Mickley1, Daniel J

HARVARD GROUP TRACE-P ACTIVITIES (a planned papers)

Global Climatology of Fine Particulate Matter Concentrations Estimated from Remote-Sensed Aerosol Optical Depth Aaron van Donkelaar1, Randall Martin1,2,

SCALE ISSUES IN MODELING INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT

Constraints on Asian Carbon Fluxes using TRACE-P CO2/CO Correlations

Asian outflow and chemical evolution of ozone and nitrogen oxides over the Pacific Mathew Evans, Daniel Jacob, Harvard Group, TRACE-P Science Team et al.

Harvard University and NASA/GFSC

Lin Zhang, Daniel J. Jacob, Jennifer A

MOPITT VALIDATION DURING TRACE-P

Colette Heald Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group Harvard University

SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS OF OZONE PRECURSORS FROM GOME

Daniel Jacob Paul Palmer Mathew Evans Kelly Chance Thomas Kurosu

Using satellite observations of tropospheric NO2 columns to infer trends in US NOx emissions: the importance of accounting for the NO2 background Rachel.

TOP-DOWN ISOPRENE EMISSION INVENTORY FOR NORTH AMERICA CONSTRUCTED FROM SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS OF FORMALDEHYDE COLUMNS Daniel J. Jacob, Paul I. Palmer,

Intercomparison of tropospheric ozone measurements from TES and OMI

Types of Errors And Error Analysis.

Pathways for North American Outflow - Hindcast for ICART2

NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology

Presentation transcript:

Quantifying errors in model chemical forecasts during TRACE-P I Quantifying errors in model chemical forecasts during TRACE-P I. Bey Swiss Federal Institute of Technology D. J. Jacob, R. M. Yantosca, H. Liu Harvard University G. W. Sachse NASA LaRC

GEOS-CHEM CHEMICAL FORECASTING IN TRACE-P 5-day GEOS-3 forecast fields from DAO (2ox2.5o, 2x/day) and daily assimilated fields (1ox1o) were used to drive off-line CO simulation 0Z: start of forecast 14Z: forecast available from DAO DAY -1 0 1 2 16Z: GEOS-CHEM forecast product sent to TRACE-P team GEOS-CHEM update of CO initial condions using assimilated GEOS fields GEOS-CHEM forecast

SUCCESS OF FORECAST AND ASSIMILATED GEOS FIELDS IN REPRODUCING VARIANCE OF OBSERVED CO DURING TRACE-P Forecast Assimilation

SMEARING AND DISPLACEMENT ERRORS IN GEOS-CHEM FORECASTS DURING TRACE-P R2 statistics for forecasts vs. observations DISPLACEMENT ERROR SMEARING ERROR downward displacement upward displacement Increasing vertical smearing Forecast altitude