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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 3

Create histogram for the data Create histogram for the data. Specifically probability density histogram. Unlike frequency histogram (refer to figure 3.4.6 and figure 3.4.7.) to make sure that area under the histogram is 1.

3.13 Interpreting MEAN In Chapter 3 - the notion of the expected value (or mean) of a random variable reflects the “center” of a pdf. questions—How much will I win or lose, on the average, if I play a certain game? Today, it would not be an exaggeration to claim that the majority of all statistical analyses focus on either (1) the expected value of a single random variable or (2) comparing the expected values of two or more random variables.

In the lingo of applied statistics, there are actually two fundamentally different types of “means”—population means and sample means. “population mean” is a synonym for what mathematical statisticians would call an expected value— that is, a population mean (μ) is a weighted average of the possible values associated with a theoretical probability model, either pX (k) or fY (y), depending on whether the underlying random variable is discrete or continuous.

A sample mean is the arithmetic average of a set of measurements A sample mean is the arithmetic average of a set of measurements. If, for example, n observations— y1, y2, . . ., yn—are taken on a continuous random variable Y , the sample mean is denoted as , where

Conceptually, sample means are estimates of population means, where the “quality” of the estimation is a function of (1) the sample size and (2) the standard deviation(σ) associated with the individual measurements. Intuitively, as the sample size gets larger and/or the standard deviation gets smaller, the approximation will tend to get better.

Interpreting means (either or μ) is not always easy Interpreting means (either or μ) is not always easy. To be sure, what they imply in principle is clear enough—both and μ are measuring the centers of their respective distributions.