LNG as an ecological fuel: from idea to implementation

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Presentation transcript:

LNG as an ecological fuel: from idea to implementation Gazprom export LLC Igor Maynitskiy Head of LNG Exports Division March 2016

Commercial and regulatory drivers are responsible for market growth Lower fuel costs compared to Diesel and tax reductions in most European countries enable a realistic payback period of the higher investments for LNG client applications (e.g. ships, trucks, buses) Reduced Emissions (i.e. CO2, NoX, SoX) are attractive for green company image campaigns (intangible value but increasing importance for market acceptance of clients = better competition position with more sales will lead to tangible value) Diversification of Diesel fuel dependency for fleet owners and differentiation of vehicle manufacturer Commercial Increasing interest in LNG as a fuel for ships, trucks and buses EU 2030 targets: -30% Greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2005 TEN-T: EU transport infrastructure policy aims to close gaps between Member States' transport networks, remove bottlenecks and overcome technical barriers SECA: Sulphur Emission Control Areas within the Baltic Sea and North Sea set new sulphur emission limits (only fuels with >0.1% sulphur mass fraction) EU directive for alternative fuel infrastructure: MS are asked to identify an appropriate number of refueling points until 2025: approx. 400km, undefined number for maritime and inland ports until 2030 Regulatory 1

retail infrastructure in progress Development of project opportunities: Gazprom Group‘S position today Development of LNG production and retail infrastructure in progress European Gazprom companies extending CNG presence in Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic from 49 to > 60 CNG stations by mid of 2016 Gazprom export & European Gazprom companies together with partners developing LNG for European road and maritime transport Active communication, education and stakeholder management at national, European and international level How far will EUR 10.00 of the following fuels take you?* 100 km /petrol 166 km /LPG 169 km /diesel 201 km /CNG Gazprom Group CNG/LNG stations in Europe 35 2 14 2 * Erdgas mobil data for an Opel Zafira Tourer at German CNG prices and average fuel consumption for engine with 130-150 HP in July 2015

Сosts of different types of energy Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

LNG projects portfolio Finland CS Portovaja 2018 1-2 mtpa Vysotsk 2018 Peterhof 11 ktpa 660 ktpa Estonia Baltic LNG 10 mtpa Kingisepp 11 ktpa Latvia Pskov 3Q 2016 23 ktpa 23 ktpa Lithuania Poland design stage construction operating Bunkering Off-grid customers

Operating principles of LNG/LCNG filling stations LNG production / Terminal Distribution Refuelling End use

Launch OF LNG city buses in the Polish Cities OF Olsztyn and Warsaw October 2013: launch of Europe’s first LNG city buses in the Polish city of Olsztyn 11 x 12m solo LNG buses up to later 50 LNG buses by 2016/2017 Operations 7 days per week / 65.000 km per bus p.a. Since Oct 2013: refueling by GPG’s mobile LNG station Implementation and operation of fixed skidded station in Q4/2014 January 2015: launch of 35 LNG city buses in Warsaw and construction of the first LCNG station in Poland 35 x 18m articulated LNG buses up to later 200 LNG buses by 2016/2017 as well as LCNG-add-on for 30 CNG buses Operations 7 days per week / 80.000 km per bus p.a. From Q1/2015: refueling by mobile LNG station Implementation of fixed station in Q3/2015

LNG lessons learned (Market) LNG pricing with diesel indexation reduces client risk, but increases supplier risk Main interest for potential LNG clients (buses and trucks) are cheaper but also more projectable TCO costs, ecology comes second 1 Financing of LNG vehicles as bottleneck for LNG projects due to a low/non-existing risk appetite of banks with respect to uncertainties about resale values Differences in national and local permitting and operational requirements (e.g. safety standards) create challenges for speedy project implementation and standardization Fuel savings are not the only decision criteria for fleet owners; noise (city traffic at night/morning hours) and operational improvements like faster refueling or no fuel losses/theft become more important Reliability and profitability of LNG station projects strongly depends on the availability of small scale LNG volumes (e.g. reasonable distances from LNG source, qualified logistics) Currently low choice of LNG vehicle models with sufficient horsepower, which results in lower competition (higher price mark ups and inferior after sales service) Concepts for 2nd hand market for LNG vehicles needed 2 Create standards by creating facts / need for EU harmonization 3 4 Listen to what the client’s real concerns are 5 Additional ssLNG sources in Europe are needed 6 Additional LNG models & economies of scale crucial

LNG lessons learned (Technical) Different LNG qualities and temperatures (cold/warm LNG) are challenging for the station operation Few sources of LNG / station to be able to handle different qualities 1 Boil-off is unavoidable even during normal operation (especially heat intake from vehicles and vacuum insulated pipelines if very long) Boil-off handling to be foreseen from beginning / sufficient throughput 2 Mobile stations enable fast realization of LNG projects and are required as backup for the start-up phase 3 Availability of mobile station is crucial Combination of LNG and CNG demand increases project profitability and stabilize operations (boil-off management) Add LCNG from the beginning if demand can be generated 4 LNG clients (buses and trucks) are very sensitive to outages/failures of the LNG station (no refueling alternatives, delicate load, time pressure, etc.) 5 Redundancy of key components is crucial Modular approach if possible / mobile refuelling can be good option for pilot phase Base load demand and conservative expectations on fleet size growth and additional clients influence sizing of station 6

Some practical remarks to the market situation for the Natural gas for transport business Currently low oil/Diesel pricing delays investment decision and challenge a change towards LNG But,… very volatile oil/Diesel pricing have recovered and are assumed to increase again within next years investors keep investing into refueling stations (subsidies with deadlines, lead time) investment cost “Premium“ for NGV and refueling stations (especially for LNG) is expected to decrease Gas for transport infrastructure is slightly growing but still limited across Europe (especially for LNG) CNG station network development extended by LCNG station (for off-grid areas/customers) Increasing SSLNG applications at LNG import terminals enlarges LNG for transport availability. EU and regional programs for clean mobility are in place (e.g. Clean Package for Transport, Ten-T, LNG Blue Corridors, …) and facilitate the infrastructure development by financial support, regulation and standardization Even with an increased awareness for NGV prejudices and wrong information block the change New, improved and additional NGV models become available on the European market Awareness campaigns for transparent price information for alternative fuels started the political decision process

Key messages to remember Natural gas is clean, abundant and affordable Vehicles and refuelling technology are proven, safe and reliable Market potential for natural gas as fuel for road transport and marine fuel is significant CNG and LNG are complimentary fuels covering almost all transport sectors As market is still developing, policy measures are required to motivate investors and end users to switch to natural gas as fuel Gazprom is ready to contribute to market development by providing reliable supplies of natural gas 10

Thank you for attention! Gazprom export LLC Maynitskiy Igor Head of LNG Exports Division Ostrovskogo Sq. 2a, Letter “A” Saint-Petersburg, 191023, Russia Tel. +7-812-646-16-21 Mail i.maynitskiy@gazpromexport.com Web www.gazpromexport.com 11