Situation Analysis After 2016 Election

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Presentation transcript:

Situation Analysis After 2016 Election (c) 2017 CollinGOP

Republican Presidential Vote 2000 – 2016 Countywide Vote Totals Year Republican Vote Democrat Vote Percent 2000 128,179 42,884 72.14% 2004 174,435 68,935 70.73% 2008 184,897 109,047 61.91% 2012 196,888 101,415 66.00% 2016 201,014 140,624 54.65% (c) 2017 CollinGOP

(c) 2017 CollinGOP

2016 Presidential Vote Republican Percentage by City City Precincts Percent Rural Collin County 58 66.00% McKinney 35 58.02% Allen 18 53.34% Murphy 6 52.87% Frisco 14 52.72% Plano 64 49.01% Richardson 6 46.28% Dallas 13 44.96% (c) 2017 CollinGOP

Republican Voting Strength by Precincts 2008 – 2016 Presidential or Gubernatorial Vote Republican Strength 2016 2014 2012 2010 2008 70.00% or Greater 35 75 73 39 37 60.00-69.99% 44 77 66 78 58 50.00-59.99% 69 45 46 52 40.00-49.99% 47 6 7 11 9 30.00-39.99% 8 3 2 Less Than 30.00% 5 Zero Voter Precincts 1 Total Precincts 214 202 179 162 (c) 2017 CollinGOP

(c) 2017 CollinGOP

CHANGE IN PRECINCT VOTING Party 2014 Precinct 2016 Precincts % Change Republican 199 148 -25.63% Democrat 9 60 566.67% (c) 2017 CollinGOP

2016 State Representative Vote By District Representative District Percent Justin Holland HD 33 62.59% Matt Shaheen HD 66 57.39% Jeff Leach HD 67 56.63% Scott Sanford HD 70 67.08% Jodie Laubenberg HD 89 63.53% All Collin County Reps. 61.58% (c) 2017 CollinGOP

Down Ballot Races 2010 – 2016 Republican Vote Percentage Office 2016 2014 2012 2010 Congress 63.23% 81.07% 71.02% 70.64% Railroad Comm. 59.69% 66.50% 79.81% 68.50% Supreme Court 61.23% 71.31% 74.94% 70.07% 5th District COA 63.93% 68.98% 66.79% 72.48% JP Precinct 3 58.97% 66.02% --% 71.28% (c) 2017 CollinGOP

2016 Presidential Election Turnout 2016 Percent Turnout: 67.86% Record Turnout: 70.11% (2008) Total Votes: 366,483 Previous Record: 304,421 (2012)

2016 Presidential Election Registrations and Early Voting Percent 2016 Voter Registration: 540,084 2012 Voter Registration: 462,102 2016 Early Voting Percent: 82.38% Previous Record: 73.56% (2008)

Top Ten National Counties Net Republican Votes for President 2016 and 2012 2016 Election 2012 Election County Name Net Votes County Name Net Votes Montgomery (TX) 104,444 Maricopa (AZ) 147,577 Ocean (NJ) 88,258 Salt Lake (UT) 139,669 El Paso (CO) 70,699 Montgomery (TX) 105,049 Lee (FL) 66,416 Tarrant (TX) 95,849 Waukesha (WI) 66,321 Collin (TX) 95,473 St. Tammany (LA) 63,198 Waukesha (WI) 84,019 Brevard (FL) 62,095 Denton (TX) 76,601 Collin (TX) 60,558 Davis (UT) 74,972 York (PA) 59,505 Orange (CA) 69,892 Denton (TX) 59,175 Tulsa (OK) 62,318

Top Ten Texas Counties Net Republican Votes for President 2016 and 2012 2016 Election 2012 Election County Name Net Votes County Name Net Votes Montgomery 104,444 Montgomery 105,049 Collin 60,558 Tarrant 95,849 Denton 59,175 Collin 95,473 Tarrant 57,689 Denton 76,601 Parker 38,104 Lubbock 37,198 Lubbock 37,610 Brazoria 36,441 Smith 36,503 Smith 35,875 Randall 35,039 Williamson 35,131 Johnson 33,394 Randall 33,873 Comal 30,830 Parker 31,390