Monitoring and Evaluating Conflict Sensitivity

4 Lines of Inquiry – Programme Level Monitoring of the conflict context (Conflict Analysis) Monitoring of whether the Conflict Sensitive processes are functioning Monitoring of the effects of conflict on the programme Monitoring of the effects of programme on conflict (including the implementation of the programme) November 22, 2018

What are the causes of violence / tension? Sector: 1. Conflict Analysis General: What are the causes of violence / tension? Sector: What are the trends in the sector-related conflict issues? What are the perceptions of the government’s legitimacy and effectiveness in this sector? Programme: What are the trends in conflict / tensions in the project / programme area? What are the opportunities / capacities for peace in the project / programme area? November 22, 2018

When and how regularly was the conflict analysis updated? 2. Process When and how regularly was the conflict analysis updated? How has the operational plan been changed or revised in light of the conflict analysis? What processes are in place to analyse/reflect on how the chosen priorities could escalate tensions or violence? What processes are in place to assess the conflict sensitivity of possible partners and factor this into decision making? November 22, 2018

3. Effects of the conflict on the intervention Have any developments in the conflict made any parts of the intervention ineffective, irrelevant or inappropriate to the conflict context? Are underlying assumptions still valid? How might the conflict affect the safety and security of staff, partners, beneficiaries, and wider stakeholders? What are the perceptions of the beneficiaries and wider stakeholders of our donors and their partners? November 22, 2018

4. Effects of the Intervention on the Conflict Has the distribution of resources exacerbated conflict – does it favour (or is it perceived to favour) one group over another? Does the distribution of resources exacerbate horizontal inequalities or processes (eg exclusion, corruption, elite capture) that fuel conflict? Does the injection of new resources allow existing resources to be freed up to pursue belligerent aims? How effective have mitigation measures been? November 22, 2018

Determining if a problem exists Bad for Indicators… Good for Tracking changes Determining if a problem exists Bad for Understanding causality of problems Uncovering unintended consequences Perception based indicators Understanding perceptions, particularly when they are disaggregated by stakeholder group, is essential for understanding the effects of strategies and programmes on the conflict. They have the potential to yield richer information on whether and to what extent outcomes may be sources of grievance, as well as more opportunity for disaggregation of priority groups. November 22, 2018

Conflict Sensitivity Vs Peacebuilding M&E OECD DAC evaluation criteria application to peacebuilding   OECD DAC evaluation criteria application to conflict sensitivity Key drivers of conflict and Responsive to conflict context Relevance Considers peacebuilding and secondary objectives Effectiveness Considers objectives linked to peace Considers intended or unintended effects on dividers and connectors What are the effects, intended or unintended, medium or long-term, on the wider conflict dynamics, i.e., key drivers of conflict and peace? Impact November 22, 2018