Elections and Campaigns

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Presentation transcript:

Elections and Campaigns Chapter Ten Elections and Campaigns

Presidential v. Congressional Campaigns There is more voter participation in presidential campaigns Presidential races are more competitive than House races Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Presidential v. Congressional Campaigns Lower turnout in off years means that candidates must appeal to more motivated and partisan voters Members of Congress can do things for their constituents that the president cannot Members of Congress can distance themselves from the “mess in Washington” Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Funding for Congressional Elections Most money comes from individual small donors ($100–$200 a person) $2,000 maximum for individual donors $5,000 limit for PACs, but most give just a few hundred dollars Challengers must supply much of their own money Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Figure 10.1: The Cost of Winning Insert 10.1 (formerly 8.1 in 9e) Updated from Federal Election Commission report, May 15, 2001. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Federal Election Commission. Figure 10.2: Growth of PACs Insert Figure 10.2 (formerly 8.2 in 9e) Federal Election Commission. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Congressional Elections Incumbents have an extraordinary advantage – and no terms limits in Congress Each state has two senators; number of House representatives based on state population, as determined by the census House members are now elected from single-member districts Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Table 10.2: Sources of Campaign Funds: All House and Senate Candidates in 2001-2002, by Party (in Millions) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Drawing District Boundaries Malapportionment: districts have very different populations, so the votes in the less-populated district “weigh more” than those in the more-populated district Gerrymandering: boundaries are drawn to favor one party rather than another, resulting in odd-shaped districts Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Staying in Congress Members gear their offices to help individual constituents Committee members secure pork for the district Members must decide to what extent to be delegates ( to do what the district wants) versus trustees ( to use their independent judgment) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

1974 Campaign Finance Reform 1972: Watergate and illegal donations from corporation, unions, and individuals catalyzed change Brought about the 1974 federal campaign reform law and Federal Election Commission (FEC) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Raising Money Individuals can give $2,000; PACs can give $5,000 in each election to each candidate Candidates must raise $5,000 in twenty states in individual contributions of $250 or less to qualify for federal matching grants to pay for primary campaigns Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Problems with Campaign Financing Independent expenditures: an organization or PAC can spend as much as it wishes on advertising, so long as it is not coordinated with a candidate’s campaign Soft money: unlimited amounts of money may be given to a political party, so long as a candidate is not named Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act Banned soft money contributions to national parties from corporations and unions after the 2002 election Raised the limit on individual donations to $2,000 per candidate per election Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act Sharply restricted independent expenditures Corporations, unions, trade associations, nonprofit organizations cannot use their own money for an advertisement referring to a candidate by name 30 days before a primary and 60 days before a general election Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

527 Organizations A new source of money under the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act Designed to permit the kind of soft money expenditures once made by political parties They can spend their money on politics so long as they do not coordinate with a candidate or lobby directly for that person Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Money and Winning Presidential candidates have similar funds because of federal funding During peacetime, presidential elections are usually decided on the basis of three factors: Political party affiliation The economy Character Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Figure 10.3: The Economy and Vote for President, 1948-2004 Insert Figure 10.3 (formerly 8.3 in 9e) Updated from Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin, American Public Opinion, 5th ed., p. 271. Copyright © 1995 by Allyn & Bacon/Longman. Reprinted by permission of Pearson Education, Inc. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Voter Behavior V. O. Key: most voters who switch parties do so in their own interests Prospective voting is used by relatively few voters Retrospective voting is practiced by most voters, and decides most elections Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Coalitions Democratic coalition: African Americans, Jews, Hispanics (not Cuban) Catholics, southerners and union members are leaving the Democrats Republican coalition: business and professional people who are very loyal, farmers Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Figure 10.4: Partisan Division of Presidential Vote, 1856-2004 Insert Figure 10.4 (formerly 8.4 in 9e) Updated from Historical Data Archive, Inter-University Consortium for Political Research, as reported in William H. Flanigan and Nancy H. Zingale, Political Behavior of the American Electorate, 3rd ed., 32. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

Do Elections Make a Difference in Policy? Many American elections do make differences in policy But the constitutional system generally moderates the pace of change Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.