PERS UAL Paydown Elana Pirtle-Guiney

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Presentation transcript:

PERS UAL Paydown Elana Pirtle-Guiney Elana: Background incl. Senate committee work, Governor’s three step approach, need to address current rate driver before 19-21 and 21-23 rate jumps (somewhat too late for 19-21) E: Task Force structure, who, when, etc. TF Member(s): What they did and learned, their values/principles E: that brings us to the Governor’s bill Elana Pirtle-Guiney

Governor’s PERS Plan 2017 Secure more internal investment officers Redirect excess reserves and investments to pay down the UAL ($533 million) Make side accounts more accessible Ensure every employer understands their rates, effect of side accounts Obtain agreement by 95%+ State Employees to contribute to PERS 2018 Create side account for schools Create Employer Incentive Fund 2019 Convene conversation around employee contributions Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

New Side Account Rules Minimum UAL lump-sum payment required to establish a new side account: 25% of UAL or $250,000 Administration fee: $1,500 for the initial year, $500 per year thereafter Additional deposits: Allowed, limited to no more than two additional payments per side account per calendar year Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Why is the Unfunded Liability the Immediate Problem? Major causes of 2014 UAL growth: Moro decision: $5.1 Reduced rate of return: $1.7 Update mortality assumptions: $1.8 Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Unfunded Liability by Employee Status Retirees and inactive members: 70% Tier 1 (not yet retired): 16% Tier 2 (not yet retired): 9% OPSRP (not yet retired): 5% Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Unfunded Liability by Employer Type Employer group UAL (billions) UAL (% of payroll) Community colleges $0.52 125% Universities $1.09 155% Special districts $1.36 154% Counties $1.96 175% Cities $1.99 162% State $3.26 School districts $5.38 176% Total: $15.56 163% Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Employer Rates Over 20 Years Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

UAL Pay Down Bill Principles Help all employers meet their PERS obligations in the best way possible – allowing flexibility to use side accounts or continue on their current track. Use percent of budget directed to payroll, total UAL as percent of payroll, to gauge impact of increases. 3 biennium time frame Task Force report was very thorough and included a number of interesting ideas. When the Governor sat down to look at what was plausible in the short turn around time we had before next month’s legislative session, though, there was, frankly, limited capacity. The Governor wanted to stick to some key principles, though Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Legislative Focus Education, particularly K-12 Assisting all employers Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Education Side Accounts Unclaimed property Debt collection, lawsuit settlements, and other one-time funds Excess revenues above average Lottery Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Assisting All Employers Employer Incentive Fund Direct deposits into the Benefits in Force Reserve Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

At 35% of total reported since 1996: $139,441,157.20 At 35% of total ever reported: $265,556,033.90 Unclaimed Property Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

One Time Revenue Streams Debt Collection: Established goal to increase 10% above 2017 collection by July 1, 2019 $50 million Lawsuit Settlements $unknown Tax Amnesty Bill– last done in 2009 $19.6 ($39.8) million Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Revenue Upsides $192 million + Focused on volatile revenue streams: capital gains and estate taxes Upside above a multi-year average plus escalator Suspended if the kicker kicks Revenue potential unknown, especially in light of federal tax reforms Retrospectively, once in last ten years, 2011-13 for $192 million from capital gains $192 million + Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Lottery Directed mainly to K12 with some revenue dedicated to Universities and Community Colleges Upsides from growth in users, game types, based on increases above latest projections which include annual escalator After constitutional obligations Governor’s bill will not address lottery policy questions Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

What Does This Add Up To? REALLY ROUGH NUMBERS $200 million deposited in 2017 would lead to .37% rate reduction cross institutions, if amortized over 20 years. With a 16 year amortization period we expect that $500m would reduce rate increases by 1%. We are looking for any way we can increase this number. On average, K-12 districts will see rates rise by 5-6% next biennium. Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Employer Incentive Fund $0.25 on the $1 match Available for asset capital Available to employers with largest debt and smallest budgets first Eventually available to all Commitment of dollars within a short period of time followed by deposits within side accounts within next five years Cap for each individual employer Not currently capitalized, goal of $400m Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Deposits to the Benefits in Force Reserve Additional PERS dollars available to transfer to the BIF Treasurer’s Office study of reinvestments of Short Term Fund Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Will Any of This Help Me? Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18

Questions? Office of Governor Kate Brown – 1/9/18