Studying AMV Errors With The NWP SAF Monitoring Web Site

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Presentation transcript:

Studying AMV Errors With The NWP SAF Monitoring Web Site Francis Warrick, James Cotton

NWP SAF AMV Monitoring nwpsaf.eu -> Monitoring -> Winds Quality Evaluation -> AMVs AMV usage by NWP centre Monthly monitoring plots versus Met Office and ECMWF models Analysis reports every two years One-off investigations

Speed Histograms Maps Maps with Wind Vectors Zonal Plots

Jet Region Negative Speed Bias High–Level (heights above 400 hPa) Feature 2.10

Heritage Algorithm (Un-edited) Heritage Algorithm (Un-edited) Nested Tracking Nested Tracking

O-B Speed Differences Heritage Algorithm (Un-edited) 9th March 2017 0545 UTC GOES-13 IR

O-B Speed Differences Nested Tracking 9th March 2017 0545 UTC GOES-13 IR

Heritage Algorithm (Un-edited) 9th March 2017 0545 UTC GOES-13 IR

Nested Tracking 9th March 2017 0545 UTC GOES-13 IR

Co-located within 10km, 10 minutes. 9th March 2017 06Z cycle

Positive Speed Bias in Tropics High–Level (heights above 400 hPa) Feature 2.13

OCA Infra-red 10.8 micron December 2016 Data over South Atlantic Operational Heights (CLA) OCA Infra-red 10.8 micron December 2016 Data over South Atlantic Heights above 400 hPa 24th-27th December

Meteosat-10 IR 10.8 26th December 2016 1500-2100 UTC (18Z cycle)

Operational Heights (CLA) Meteosat-10 infra-red 10.8 micron 1815 UTC 26/12/2016

OCA Meteosat-10 infra-red 10.8 micron 1815 UTC 26/12/2016

Operational Heights (CLA) Meteosat-10 infra-red 10.8 micron 1815 UTC 26/12/2016

OCA Meteosat-10 infra-red 10.8 micron 1815 UTC 26/12/2016

Operational Heights (CLA) OCA

MSG Positive Bias over North Africa Low–Level (heights below 700 hPa) Feature 2.6

Below 700 hPa Seen in MSG visible and infra-red over desert Worse in winter (position of jet) Linked with cirrus & semi-transparent cloud Meteosat-10 IR 10.8 Sahara December 2016

Why is this feature only present in the 18Z cycle, and not the 00, 06 and 12Z cycles? Faint cloud is moving north-east ward

Met Office Cloud Product OCA Met Office Cloud Product

Meteosat-8 (IODC) Positive Speed Difference in the Tropics Low–Level (heights below 700 hPa) Feature 8.1

Meteosat-8, visible 0.8 micron channel, August 2017 Feature Background: Peaks June-August AMV minus best-fit pressure averages -100 hPa, suggesting AMVs assigned too high

(also seen versus ECMWF model) AMV profile versus model Lack wind shear ~800-950 hPa (also seen versus ECMWF model)

AMV profile versus sondes Cocos Islands Saint Denis, Reunion AMV profile versus sondes Only 2 sites available in region of interest… Saint Denis: background profiles do not match Cocos Islands: lack of AMV wind shear 700-850 hPa

Other AMVs versus Met Office model

Any questions?