DCF Valuations I.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
 Why is valuing financial institutions different?  How are financial institution valued?
Advertisements

Quiz 2: Review session Aswath Damodaran.
Aswath Damodaran1 Valuation in 60 minutes, give or take a few… Aswath Damodaran
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW MODEL, DIVIDEND DISCOUNT MODELS, & MULTIPLES Valuation MU Investment Club Spring 2013.
4-1 Common Stock Valuation Part I: Difficulties Uncertain cash flows Uncertain cash flows Equity is the residual claim on the firm’s cash flows Equity.
Chapter 8. Security Valuation n In general, the intrinsic value of an asset = the present value of the stream of expected cash flows discounted at an.
Venture Capital and Private Equity Session 3 Professor Sandeep Dahiya Georgetown University.
Valuation Chapter 10. Ch 102 Valuation models –Discounted cash-flow –Market-based (multiples) –Residual income Model DCF and risidual income model are.
Aswath Damodaran1 Valuation: Closing Thoughts All good things come to an end… Updated: September 2011.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter Six.
Aswath Damodaran1 Relative Valuation: Tests. Aswath Damodaran2 Information requirements An analyst tells you that he never does DCF valuation because.
Firm Value 03/11/2008 Ch What is a firm worth? Firm Value is the future cash flow to each of the claimants Shareholders Debt holders Government.
©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS & VALUATION Third Edition Peter D. Mary LeaGregory A.Xiao-Jun EastonMcAnallySommersZhang.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Stock Valuation Adam Yoder Misa Ngo. Valuation methods  Discounted Cash Flow: Dividends  Present Value of Growth Opportunities  P/E ratio: Price/ Earnings.
DCF VALUATION II; TEST. 2 A Corporate Governance Discount You are valuing a company with extremely poor corporate governance. The firm is badly managed.
Stock Valuation. Common Stock Valuation is Difficult Uncertain cash flows –Equity is the residual claim on the firm’s cash flows Life of the firm is forever.
8-0 Stock Valuation Chapter 8 Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Investment Planning Investment Planning Valuation of a Firm April 16, 2015 Vandana Srivastava.
Chapter 9 Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition Risk and the Cost of Capital Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill.
Kelvin Xu Slides prepared by: Asthon Wu, Garrett Kuhlmann.
©Cambridge Business Publishers, 2013 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS & VALUATION Third Edition Peter D. Mary LeaGregory A.Xiao-Jun EastonMcAnallySommersZhang.
Strategic Capital Group Workshop #4: Bond Valuation.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 1 Fundamentals of Investment Management Hirt Block 1 Basic Valuation Concepts.
1 Valuing the Enterprise: Free Cash Flow Valuation Discount estimates of free cash flow that the firm will generate in the future. WACC: after-tax weighted.
GROWTH TESTS. 2 The compounding effect…  Assume that you are looking at Twitter and that the revenues currently are $ 600 million. Assume also that you.
Ch 9. The Cost of Capital. Goals: To understand cost of capitals or hurdle rate To understand how to estimate cost components To understand how to estimate.
Chapter 19 Principles PrinciplesofCorporateFinance Tenth Edition Financing and Valuation Slides by Matthew Will Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies,
Business Valuation What’s an apple tree worth?.
11/1/20151 Key Concepts In Finance Dr. Richard Michelfelder Clinical Assoc. Professor of Finance September 12, 2015 PMBA Program Boot Camp.
CH.11 MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS
Valuation Part 1. Objectives Firm and equity fair valuation methods o Present value DCF methods o Approximate valuation methods Drivers of equity value.
Introduction to Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Nicholas Ramm Finance Sector, Madison Investment Fund October 29, 2007.
Stock Valuation (cont.) Week 3. Beyond the Gordon Growth Model The Gordon Growth model assumes a steady growth rate, g. In addition, it is required that.
BASIC APPROACHES TO VALUATION
1 Loose Ends. 2 Closed End Funds You are investing in a closed end mutual fund that invests in stocks. Given the risk of the stocks it invests in and.
12-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. CHAPTER 12 Equity Valuation.
1 Chapter 11 Corporate Valuation Based on Free Cash Flows (FCF)
SESSION 2: INTRINSIC VALUATION LAYING THE FOUNDATION Aswath Damodaran ‹#› Aswath Damodaran 1.
RELATIVE VALUATION IIIA. 3 Which multiple should you use in relative valuation? You can do relative valuation using a variety of multiples, ranging.
1 Chapter 5: Stock Valuation Topics Determining stock values Efficient markets.
Equity Valuation. Methods Balance Sheet Models Discounted Cash Flow Models Multiplier Models.
Estimating the Value of ACME 1. Steps in a valuation Estimate cost of capital (WACC) – Debt – Equity Project financial statements and FCF Calculate horizon.
Chapter 12 Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Fifth Edition Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Cost of debt = Interest Payments. Debts are the borrowing which company takes to finance the company therefore they have to pay interest on those borrowing.
Discounted Cash Flow Robert Karpinski. What is it? A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is generally considered the best tool to value a company.
1 Free Cash Flow Valuation: Some practical examples.
1 Copyright © 2001 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin CHAPTER 13 VALUATION MODELS IN THE INCOME APPROACH Discounted.
Estimating the Value of ACME
Session 13: dilution and liquidity
M&A Financing.
Varying growth rate application
Introduction to Financial Management FIN 102 – 9th Week of Class
Questions-DCF.
Aswath Damodaran Valuation: The Basics Aswath Damodaran
DCF Valuation III.
Cost of capital (Chapter 9)
Estimating the Value of ACME
Corporate Valuation Workshop
Private Company Valuation
Session 13: dilution and liquidity
Terminal Value The tail the wags the dog?
Valuation Tools webcast: Valuing a patent
CH. 7 PROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS: VALUATION THEORY AND CONCEPTS
Price versus value: Tests
Financing and Valuation
Loose Ends II.
Cross Holdings: The Black Hole of valuation
Investment Banking Bootcamp: Week 6 – DCF Valuation Pt 2
Loose Ends.
Presentation transcript:

DCF Valuations I

The DCF Value: Timing Question Assume that you discount expected cash flows to equity at a cost of equity to get a value per share of $150 for 3M. That value is as of Right now A year from now At the start of this calendar year At the start of the next calendar year

From Value today to Future Value Now assume that you want to estimate the value of 3M a year from now (to put out as a target price). Assuming that you feel confident in your value of $150 per share, what would you estimate the value per share to be

Expected Dilution? Assume that you value a high growth company and that you discount the cash flows to equity back at the cost of equity to arrive at an equity value of $ 100 million. The firm has 10 million shares outstanding but you expect it to have to issue more shares (2.5 million) over the next few years to cover growth needs. The value per share for this company is: $10/share (-$100/10) $ 8 /share (=100/12.5) Between $8 and $10 More than $10 Less than $8