VERIFICATION – DAY 1 - 68 - CLD: 9/10 (5)
FORECAST TECHNIQUES (TMP) CLIMO = 80F PERSISTENCE (YESTERDAY) = 73 MODIFIED PERSISTENCE …..
- svr reports = MA/NY/CT RADAR LOOP VERIFICATION – DAY 1 - 68 - CLD: 9/10 (5) - SC Rain = no ( but …) - svr reports = MA/NY/CT WINNERS, WINNERS …… CHICKEN DINNERS …
NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES
H PA NAM MODEL FCST – 500 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES. Trough Axis H
NAM MODEL FCST – 500 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES.
OLDER MODEL RUN - NAM
NEWER MODEL RUN - NAM
OLDER MODEL RUN - GFS
NEWER MODEL RUN - GFS
OLDER MODEL RUN - NAM
NEWER MODEL RUN - NAM
OLDER MODEL RUN - GFS
NEWER MODEL RUN - GFS
Penn State Weather Camps Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL
NAM MODEL FCST – 4 PANEL map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED. SVR. WX. TRIANGLE
NAM MODEL FCST – 700 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED. E-WALL
MOS – Model Output S … Accu Friends Wx Channel Friends NWS Friends
RISING AIR = CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION Ways to produce rising motion: FRONTS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS MOUNTAINS (ORAGRAPHY) CONVECTION
Cloud top Height ? (50,000 ft. vs. 20,000 ft.) 500 mb -15C -10C -15C