North Carolina State Emergency Operations Center Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT North Carolina State Emergency Operations Center Hurricane Florence Thursday, 13 September 2018 – 0700 November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT State EOC Schedule Thursday, September 13, 2018 0700 Shift Brief 1000 Executive Summary Published 1130 Lunch 1600 Executive Summary & Situation Report Published Operational Planning Meeting 1730 Dinner 1900 November 30, 2015

Administrative Details Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Administrative Details Event Name: 20180907 Hurricane Florence Reported Costs to Date: $6,325,008 Reminders: Document all costs in Finance Board Document all activities in Sig. Events Board Update ESF/Situation Report Board Check In/Out Room to Room November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Incident Objectives State EOC Respond to resource requests and tasking within 30 minutes of assignment. Be prepared to support county response activities. Conduct an active public awareness campaign throughout the severe weather event. Develop a plan for post-event impact assessment and recovery activities. Monitor resource use and develop a demobilization plan for the release of resources as the situation allows. RCC’s Support local government preparation, response, and recovery efforts for the duration of the event.  Mission priorities are life saving, rescue, evacuation, life sustaining power generation  and transportation and traffic control. Review and validate assignment of mission requests received by RCC from the State EOC. Execute missions within prescribed timelines. Track all RCC resources and expenditures. Manage conference calls, produce branch tactical plan, situation reports and manage resources. Emergency Services Coordinate with SERT partners to mobilize life safety resources when requested throughout event. Maintain catalog of available state law enforcement mission packages to support local safety and security measures throughout the event. Business EOC Maintain situational awareness of state and private sector partner status and actions throughout the event. Process Re-Entry Certifications within 30 minutes throughout the event. November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Incident Objectives Communications Efficiently manage statewide talkgroups for effective allocation in support of anticipated local, regional, and state level operations. Proactively evaluate primary and auxiliary operational communications needs based on forecasted weather, anticipated communication degradations, and anticipated surges in operations. Coordinate with SERT partners to quickly mobilize communication resources when requested throughout the event. Risk Management Develop and disseminate impact forecast and analysis products for impacted areas. Monitor and maintain WebEOC for resource requests. Logistics Respond to resource requests and tasking within 30 minutes of assignment. Provide equipment and commodities in support of impacted communities as quickly as possible. Coordinate travel, lodging and meals for State EOC staff as needed. Infrastructure Monitor and disseminate information to SERT partners and counties regarding power outages/disruptions/restorations and road closures throughout the event. Coordinate with Risk Management to evaluate impacts to structures and disseminate relevant information to SERT partners and county officials throughout the event. Human Services Execute plans for mass care and sheltering of evacuees, affected persons, pets and commercial animals. November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Weather November 30, 2015

hurricane Florence September 13, 2018 – 5AM Hurricane Florence [5AM THU] Location: Approx. 205 miles ESE of Wilmington, NC Max Sustained Winds: 110 MPH Movement: NW at 15 MPH Min Central Pressure: 28.23” (956 mb) The NHC Track Forecast Cone is NOT an Impact Cone Significant impacts will be felt far from the center of the storm

arrival of ts force winds September 13, 2018 – 5AM

arrival of ts force winds September 13, 2018 – 5AM

Tropical Storm Warning Tropical Storm Warning Current watches/warnings September 13, 2018 – 5AM Tropical Storm Warning Tropical Storm Warning Hurricane Warning

Storm surge warning/WATCH September 13, 2018 – 5AM Storm Surge Watch Potential Storm Surge Amounts: 6-9’ South of Cape Fear 9-13’ Cape Fear - Cape Lookout and along the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, & Bay Rivers 6-9’ Cape Lookout - Ocracoke Inlet 4-6’ Ocracoke Inlet – Salvo 2-4’ North of Salvo Storm Surge Warning A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving from the coastline during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. Storm surge is not just an ocean-front phenomenon. Surge impacts can occur away from the coast, especially along/near any tidally connected streams, creeks, rivers, waterways, and bays.

High Risk Days are Rare, Dangerous, Significant, and Impactful Flash flooding potential September 13, 2018 – 5AM NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC High Risk Days are Rare, Dangerous, Significant, and Impactful Thursday Friday Saturday

7-day rainfall forecast 8AM September 13, 2018 to 8AM September 20, 2018 4-5” 3-4” 5-7” 5-7” 7-10” 7-10” 15-20” 5-7” 10-15” 20-30”+ Rainfall amounts shown are averages, meaning locally higher amounts likely. Higher rainfall amounts will result in extreme flooding. Heaviest rain across eastern NC expected Thursday – Saturday Night. Heaviest rain across western NC expected Saturday – Monday Night.

Flash flood watch In Effect Until 8PM Saturday *As of 5AM Thursday

River Flood Outlook September 13, 2018 – 5AM

Hazards summary Hurricane Florence September 13, 2018 – 5aM HAZARD DETAILS IMPACTS THREAT Storm Surge S of Cape Fear: 6-9’ Cape Fear-Cape Lookout: 9-13’ (Neuse, Pamlico, Bay, Pungo Rivers) Cape Lookout-Ocracoke Inlet: 6-9’ Ocracoke Inlet-Salvo: 4-6’ N of Salvo: 2-4’ Very dangerous inundation amounts are expected along the NC coast Thu-Sat. Extreme Inland Flooding Coastal NC: 20-30” (Isolated 40”) Central, Western, NE NC: 6-12” (Isolated 24”) Sig. threat to life and property; impassable roads; road wash-outs. Heaviest rain across E NC Thurs – Sat night and across W NC Sat –Mon night. Longer-term river flooding likely, and mountain landslides possible. Damaging Winds Hurricane-Force winds are likely near the coast Tropical Storm-Force winds possible across much of state Significant downed trees and widespread/prolonged power outages across the state; significant structure damage possible as Florence near the coast Tornadoes A few tornadoes are possible Thu and Fri, across eastern NC. Tornadoes in tropical systems are typically short-lived and weak, but offer very little lead time. Moderate Marine & Coastal Life-threatening surf and rip currents will continue for much of the week. Threat Levels: None Low Moderate High Extreme

THURSDAY’s severe storm threat Storm prediction center (Valid 8am 9/13/18 – 8am 9/14/18) A few tornadoes are possible Thursday and Thursday night across portions of Eastern NC. Tornadoes in tropical systems are typically weak and short-lived, but often do not offer much warning time.

Tornado potential extends into Friday and expands westward. friDAY’s severe storm threat Storm prediction center (Valid 8am 9/14/18 – 8am 9/15/18) Tornado potential extends into Friday and expands westward. Tornadoes in tropical systems are typically weak and short-lived, but often do not offer much warning time.

HURRICANE FLORENCE Key Takeaways: September 13, 2018 – 5AM Key Takeaways: Life-Threatening Impacts Will Extend Far From The Storm’s Center: The forecast is very similar to previous updates as widespread & extreme impacts from heavy rain, storm surge, and wind are still expected. Rain: Coastal NC: 20-30”; isolated totals to 40” Remainder of NC: 6-12”; isolated totals to 24” Storm Surge: Cape Fear – Cape Lookout (Pamlico, Neuse, Pungo, Bay Rivers): 9-13’ South of Cape Fear and Cape Lookout – Ocracoke Inlet: 6-9’ Ocracoke Inlet - Salvo: 4-6’ North of Salvo: 2-4’ Wind: Hurricane-force winds are expected across portions of Coastal NC Tropical Storm-force winds are possible across much of the state

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Situation Report November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT County Impacts State of Emergency (64 of 100 counties): - 32 in Eastern Branch - 27 in Central Branch - 5 in Western Branch School Closings: 56 Districts closed, 2 have an early release. November 30, 2015

Evacuations

Shelters Shelters opened or opening today: 108 Pet Friendly: 29 Clients: 6,962 Capacity: 34,717

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Overall SERT Response Location/Resource Status Level State EOC Activated 1 Business EOC Y Recovery EOC Joint Information Center RCC East RCC Central RCC West EMAC Federal Activated FEMA IMAT Y FEMA Liaison Officer FEMA Incident Support Base FCO Federal Declaration 9/10/2018 – FEMA-3401-EM Date Executive Orders 9/7/2018 #51 - State of Emergency Declaration #52 - Temporary Suspension of Motor Vehicle Regulations 9/10/2018 #53 – Fuel Transportation Waiver 9/11/2018 #54 – Mandatory Evacuation for Coastal Islands November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT Around the Room Operations Logistics Recovery Risk Management Resiliency Administration/Finance Joint Information Center Business EOC FEMA November 30, 2015

Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT SERT Leader Guidance Respond to Resource Requests w/in 30 Minutes Share Information Let Us Know if you See a Gap in the Response Have Faith in the Team! November 30, 2015

North Carolina State Emergency Operations Center Updated SERT/SEOC Shift Change Brief Format DRAFT North Carolina State Emergency Operations Center Hurricane Florence Thursday, 13 September 2018 – 0700 November 30, 2015