Economic Outlook 21 st Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference Jack Kyser Sr. VP & Founding Economist, The Kyser Center for Economic.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Wrap-up Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors Manufacturing Summit Jack Kyser LAEDC Chief Economist February 27, 2004.

Advertisements

Research Department 1 Global Economic Crisis and the Israeli Economy Herzliya conference Dr. Karnit Flug Research Director, Bank of Israel February 2009.

The Economic Outlook: A Multi-speed Recovery in a Turbulent World Burlington Economic Development April 28, 2011 Glen Hodgson Senior.

Emerging Growth: Mid- Decade Economic Trends University of North Texas Center for Economic Development and Research December 2014.

Measuring the US Economy Economic Indicators. Understanding the Lingo Annualized Rates Example: GDP Q3 (Final) = $11,814.9B (5.5%) Q2: GDP = $2,

Lynn Reaser, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Point Loma Nazarene University A Look at the Economy in San Diego IFMA San Diego January 13, 2010.

PBCTPBCT 1 Economic Overview “ No Double-Dip?” September 2002 Todd P. Martin 1st VP & Chief Economist People’s Bank

Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Multi-Chamber Economic Outlook Luncheon Westmont,

Laura Kalambokidis One Minnesota Conference January 7, 2015 Minneapolis, MN Economic Outlook Across Minnesota MINNESOTA MANAGEMENT & BUDGET MMB.STATE.MN.US.

Housing Market Outlook Silicon Valley Association of REALTORS® April 1, 2008 Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Deputy Chief Economist California Association of.

21th Annual Southern California Tourism Outlook Conference CIC Research, Inc Vickers St. San Diego, CA Pasadena.

November 2010 The copyright laws of the United States (Title 17 U.S. Code) forbid the unauthorized reproduction of this report by any means, including.

Emerging Growth: Mid- Decade Economic Trends University of North Texas Center for Economic Development and Research April 2015.

Wisconsin is Open for Business October 20, 2011 Stateof Wisconsin’s Economy Wisconsin Freight Rail Day Dennis Winters Chief, Office of Economic.

23 rd Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference Economic Outlook Kimberly Ritter-Martinez Associate Economist The Kyser Center for.

Jack Kyser Chief Economic Advisor October 29, nd Annual Visitor Outlook Conference.

Prince William Chamber of Commerce October 13, 2011 What Kind of Recovery Has It Been and the Outlook for the Economy’s Future Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight.

Agricultural Economics Macroeconomic Situation and Outlook Fall 2003 Craig Infanger Larry Jones.

The Great Recession and Tennessee’s Revenue Outlook Bill Fox and Matt Murray UT’s Center for Business and Economic Research October 29, 2009.

TRI-COUNTY ECONOMIC FORECAST CONFERENCE California Economic Outlook Nancy D. Sidhu, Ph.D. VP & Senior Economist January 11, 2007.

Rosen Consulting Group Real GDP Growth. Rosen Consulting Group U.S. Employment Growth.

Presented by: Steve Nivin, Ph.D. Please contact Steve Nivin with any questions or comments at or ECONOMIC.

GLOBAL RESEARCH AND CONSULTING THE ECONOMY AND REAL ESTATE GARY BARAGONA DIRECTOR, RESEARCH & ANALYSIS JANUARY 2014.

Arizona: After The Housing Boom Arizona: After The Housing Boom ACMA Conference July 24, 2008 Lee McPheters Professor of Economics W. P. Carey School of.

Presented by © 2004 Economy.com Slide 1 The Economic Outlook Mark Zandi Chief Economist.

Economic Outlook 2000 Hawaii Economic Association Annual Conference April 28, 2000.

ECONOMIC INDICATORS. Understanding Economic Indicators  Background Economic Theme: Recognize the stage of the business cycle.

CAR Commercial Forum Meeting – September 2013 (Chicago Metro) Robert Carrillo September2013.

The Great Economic Unraveling of : Impacts on the U.S. and Texas Bernard L. Weinstein, Ph.D. Cox School of Business Southern Methodist University.

2013 Industry Panel: Job Growth... fact or fiction? Thanks to sponsor Alex Hayden ’95 CEO, Cushman and Wakefield and Chair of Career and Industry Partnerships,

Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC The Economy and Poverty in Los Angeles County MENDing Poverty Conference.

“In the Heart of the Storm” Cerritos College 11 th Annual Advisory Committee Member Recognition Breakfast Jack Kyser Sr. VP & Founding Economist, The Kyser.

Bernard L. Weinstein, Ph.D. Presentation to ISM-Dallas January 10, 2008 A Falling Dollar, $100 Oil, and the Sub-Prime Mess: Is a Recession Inevitable?

U.S. Economy based on FRED April 2013 Thank you, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Chicago Association of Spring Manufacturers Rosemont,

Meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee Towson University November 18, 2005.

1 Coping With The Limits of Macroeconomic Policy The Recovery from the Great Recession In this presentation National forecasts are produced by Global Insight,

What’s Happening on Main Street Montana Adapted from the Main Street Montana Project Presentation Helena, Montana June 27, 2013.

Economic Outlook: Here We Grow Again? Matt Croucher PhD Chief Economist Arizona Public Service Co.

PBCTPBCT Connecticut Economic Overview “Recovery Underway?” May 2002 Todd P. Martin 1st VP & Chief Economist People’s Bank

Housing market intelligence you can count on Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Housing Market Outlook Third Quarter 2012 October 27, 2012 Mathieu.

West Alabama Real Estate Summit Tuscaloosa, AlabamaAugust 24, 2012 Ahmad Ijaz Center for Business and Economic Research Culverhouse College of Commerce.

U.S. Economy based on FRED *Some data not updated due to gov’t shutdown in Oct. October 25, 2013 Thank you, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Economic and Manufacturing Outlook Presented by: Dan Meckstroth, Ph.D. Vice President and Chief Economist

Economic Assessment Wade Rousse Economic Outreach Specialist Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago IASET Chicago, IL December 12, 2008.

IREM Forecast January 26, 2011 The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University.

Wisconsin is Open for Business November 4, 2011 Sizing up Today’s Economy Wisconsin Economics Association 1 Dennis Winters Chief, Office of Economic Advisors.

2015 Labor Day Report: Annual Report on the State of Montana’s Economy Barbara Wagner Chief Economist State Workforce Investment Board Meeting September.

US Economic Overview James F. Smith, Ph.D. SIOR Chief Economist MIPIM 2004.

St. Croix Quarterly Workforce Partners River Falls, WI

Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC The Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach: Links in a Chain 22 nd Annual.

Economic Outlook: Continued Growth: How Much Longer? San Rafael, CAOctober 29, 2015 Robert Eyler, Ph.D. CEO and Chief Economist Marin Economic Forum

SAME/ACEC Conference June 14, 2012 The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University.

2000 Economic Outlook Hawaii Economic Association Annual Conference April 28, 2000.

Presented by Harry M. Davis, Ph.D NCBA Professor of Banking and Economist Appalachian State University October 29, 2015.

Fiscal Cliff and Economic Indicators By: Nolan Wurm Matthew Schweikart.

2013 Economic Outlook Professor Martin Shields CSU Regional Economics Institute.

The Recovery from the Great Recession In this presentation National forecasts are produced by Global Insight, Inc. State and Metropolitan forecasts are.

Noncompetitive division charts and policy questions The following pages provide a range of indicators (listed in alphabetical order) that you can use to.

Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC LAEDC Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Office of the City Controller,

Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Lakewood Chamber of.

Economic Trends.

2017 Economic Outlook IREM Los Angeles

The Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook for

Economic Update & Outlook Arizona State Board of Equalization

Regional Overview and Outlook 2018

Economic Outlook Lake County Chamber of Commerce William Strauss

Economic Trends.

DAVID ECCLES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS

Professor and George R. Ruff Chair in Real Estate Studies

Presentation transcript:

Economic Outlook 21 st Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference Jack Kyser Sr. VP & Founding Economist, The Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC Friday October 30, 2009

They say the recession is over…

JOBLESS RATES HIGH AND RISING Sources: BLS, CA EDD Percent Unemployed (SA)

JOB COUNTS HAVE BEEN DROPPING Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, CA EDD Q3 2009

Are there green shoots?

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Spot Energy Prices $/ Mcf $/Barrel Sources: EIA, Natural Gas Weekly Latest Month Plotted: September 2009

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Corporate Profits With Inventory and Capital Consumption Adjustments Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Department of Commerce

U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH Q/Q Change (Annual Rate) Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, forecast by LAEDC You are here!

U.S. LABOR MARKET Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, forecasts by LAEDC Forecast Millions of Jobs Unemployment Rate (%)

California Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: California Employment Development Dept. (EDD) September 2009 NSA

Los Angeles County Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: California Employment Development Dept. (EDD) September 2009 NSA

San Francisco Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: California Employment Development Dept. (EDD) September 2009 NSA

San Diego Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: California Employment Development Dept. (EDD) September 2009 NSA

Phoenix Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: Arizona Workforce, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) September 2009 NSA

Chicago Fundamentals Unemployment Rate Change in Nonfarm Jobs Year/Year (000s) Source: Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES), BLS September 2009 NSA

Mexico GDP Growth % Change in Real GDP, Year-Over-Year Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2009

Canada GDP Growth % Change in Real GDP, Year-Over-Year Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2009

U.K. GDP Growth % Change in Real GDP, Year-Over-Year Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2009

Japan GDP Growth % Change in Real GDP, Year-Over-Year Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2009

Value of U.S. Dollar Since 2000 Japanese Yen Euro Index (2000 = 100) Source: Federal Reserve Board

Wrap Up A slow jobless recovery Consumers & business still hesitant to spend Health of the airlines still shaky Lots of debate over the economy – 2010 is an election year Times are tough, but pay attention to the customer experience

THANK YOU and STAY INFORMED Keep up with economic news and major developments by subscribing to e-EDGE, our free weekly economic newsletter. Check out the current issue at