Xiaoning Gong Chief, Economic Statistics and National Accounts Section

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Presentation transcript:

Session 2 Report on the survey of the current status and needs assessment for SNA in Africa Xiaoning Gong Chief, Economic Statistics and National Accounts Section African Centre for AGNA Meeting on SNA 12-15 May 2015 UNCC Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Outline of the Presentation Main findings Functions of the survey results Participating countries Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA Status of country action plans and follow-up actions Number of countries planning to transition to the 2008 SNA per year Training needs Technical assistance needs Financial needs Summary table

Main Finding (I) 44 African countries that have responded to the survey 38 countries indicated that they have formulated or are in the process of formulating national actions plans for implementing the 2008 SNA. Most of the countries with completed national action plans have begun taking concrete follow-up actions for implementation. 34 countries have identified a timeframe for transitioning towards the 2008 SNA 12 countries have selected a timeframe between 2010 and 2014 and the remaining 22 counties will begin transitioning towards the 2008 SNA between 2015 and 2018

Main Finding (II) At the same time, countries have expressed the needs for on-site training, technical assistance, and financial supports. The most cited activities for these assistance and supports are as follows: Collection and processing of source data (Pre-SNA) SNA 2008 compliance for production and assets boundaries (Pre-SNA) Compilation of employment matrix (Milestone 1) Compilation of supply and use table (Milestone 1) Calculation of GDP by expenditure approach (Milestone 1) Calculation of quarterly GDP (Milestone 2) Institutional sector accounts to be compiled up to financial accounts (Milestone 5)

Function of the survey results Provide useful information for development partners, international, regional, and sub-regional organizations to design plans, programs, and projects; and For them to coordinate their efforts in support of African countries in the area of national accounts.

Participating countries Algeria Côte d'Ivoire Liberia Senegal Angola Djibouti Madagascar Sierra Leone Benin Egypt Mali South Africa Botswana Ethiopia Morocco South Sudan Burkina Faso Gabon Mauritius Swaziland Burundi Gambia Mauritania Tanzania Cameroon Ghana Mozambique Togo Cape Verde Guinea Niger Tunisia Chad Guinea-Bissau Nigeria Uganda Comoros Kenya Central African Republic Zambia Congo Lesotho Seychelles Zimbabwe

Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA (I) Short Title Long Version Milestones 1 ISIC rev4 and CPC ver2 Implementation of ISIC rev4 and CPC ver2: Adaptation in national level of ISIC rev 4 and CPC ver2 Pre-SNA 2 Data collection and processing Collection and processing of source data: e.g. Survey of intermediate consumption; Survey of informal sector; Survey of household consumption, etc. 3 SNA boundaries SNA 2008 compliance -- for production and asset boundaries: The SNA 2008 conceptual compliance questionnaire is achieved; especially important in this is covering non-observed economy and more specifically the informal sector. This requires action on many areas. 4 IT tool for compilation IT tool for compilation of national accounts: Use of the tools like assistance to the compilation of the national accounts 5 Employment matrix Employment matrix: Labor input matrix is compiled for these categories and institutional sectors. This is important in the context of achieving GDP exhaustiveness (e.g. taking into account the informal sector). 6 SUT Supply and use table: Compiled and GDP estimated through this framework

Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA (II) Short Title Long Version Milestones 7 GDP (P) by industries Production approach GDP – by industrial economic activities: Identify the industry groups (compilation categories) according to ISIC Rev 4 classification that are relevant for the country for which estimates of GO, IC and GVA and GVA components would be compiled. These can be at 1/2/3/4 digit ISIC 4 or a combination of these depending on the relevance to the country. 1 8 GDP (P) by institutions Production approach GDP-- by institutions: The GO, IC, GVA and GVA components estimated for these categories would be compiled separately for (a) general government (within this separately for administrative departments and departmental enterprises), (b) financial corporations, (c) non-financial corporations, (d) households and if possible also for (e) NPISHs; 9 GDP (E) Expenditure approach GDP: Expenditure side estimates are compiled for various categories for the overall economy; HFCE and GFCE will be according to purpose classifications of COICOP and COFOG, respectively, but it should be possible to convert these data to compilation categories.

Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA (II) Short Title Long Version Milestones 10 Quarterly GDP Quarterly GDP: estimated from production and expenditure and also at current and constant prices. 2 11 Production and generation of income accounts Production and generation of income accounts are compiled for institutional sectors: This is possible if GVA is estimated by institutional sectors as above. 3 12 Sector accounts up to capital account Institutional sector accounts are compiled until capital account: For the overall economy, rest of the world and general government. The accounts of overall economy will give estimates of GNI, gross national disposable income and savings. 4 13 Sector accounts up to financial accounts Institutional sector accounts up to financial accounts: Change in net worth is compiled for institutional sectors. 5

Status of country action plans and follow-up actions on the 2008 SNA (by activity)

Number of countries planning to transition to the 2008 SNA per year Period Number of countries Percentage (%) 2010-2013 6 14 2014 2015 11 25 2016 7 16 2017 2 5 2018 To be decided 10 23 Total 44 100

Training needs of countries (by activity and planned date for moving to 2008 SNA)

Technical assistance needs of countries (by activity and planned moving date)

Financial assistance needs of countries (number of countries by activity)

Summary table: Implementation status and needs assessment by activity (I) Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA (a) Included in the National action plan % (b)Follow-up actions undertaken (c1) Training needs (c2) Technical assistance (TA) (d) Financial support Implementation of ISIC rev4 and CPC ver2 38 86 21 48 19 43 16 36 15 34 Collection and processing of source data 24 55 18 41 27 61 Production approach GDP – by industrial economic activities 23 52 14 32 12 Production approach GDP-- by institutions 37 84 28 64 20 45 17 39 Employment matrix 22 50 26 59 Expenditure approach GDP 25 57 11 SNA 2008 compliance -- for production and asset boundaries 30 68 29 66

Summary table: Implementation status and needs assessment by activity (II) Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA (a) Included in the National action plan % (b)Follow-up actions undertaken (c1) Training needs (c2) Technical assistance (TA) (d) Financial support Supply and use table 36 82 27 61 19 43 20 45 14 32 Production and generation of income accounts are compiled for institutional sectors 30 68 28 64 10 23 Institutional sector accounts are compiled until capital account 73 26 59 21 48 Quarterly GDP 34 77 52 29 66 Institutional sector accounts up to financial accounts 31 70 IT tool for compilation of national accounts 18 41 17 39

Thank you