Item #7: Indices Sea Surface Temperature indices

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
The effect of doubled CO 2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon- ENSO system Andrew Turner, Pete Inness, Julia Slingo Walker Institute / NCAS-Climate.
Advertisements

The effect of doubled CO 2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon- ENSO system: the mean response and interannual variability Andrew Turner, Pete.
3 Reasons for the biennial tendency: The biennial tendency in HadCM3 2xCO 2 is in contrast with observed basinwide El Niño events which are often of 4-5.
Factors that influence the interannual variability of hurricane frequency in the NE Pacific Dr. Jennifer Collins Geography Department USF May 19-21, 2008.
Operational NCEP Global Ocean Data Assimilation System: The Link, Validation, and Application Part I Yan Xue, Boyin Huang Climate Prediction Center, NCEP/NOAA.
Evolution of the El Niño : The Role of Intraseasonal to Interannual Time Scale Dynamics Michael J. McPhaden NOAA/PMEL Seattle, Washington CLIVAR.
Experiments with Monthly Satellite Ocean Color Fields in a NCEP Operational Ocean Forecast System PI: Eric Bayler, NESDIS/STAR Co-I: David Behringer, NWS/NCEP/EMC/GCWMB.
ENSO-Monsoon relationships in current and future climates Andrew Turner, Pete Inness and Julia Slingo The University of Reading Department of Meteorology.
Assessment of CFSv2 hindcast (seasonal mean) CPC/NCEP/NOAA Jan 2011.
Ocean and Atmosphere Coupling El-nino -- Southern Oscillation
Interannual Variability in Summer Hydroclimate over North America in CAM2.0 and NSIPP AMIP Simulations By Alfredo Ruiz–Barradas 1, and Sumant Nigam University.
Contemporaneous and Antecedent Links of Atlantic and Pacific Circulation Features with North American Hydroclimate: Structure and Interannual Variability.
The relationship between post 1997/1998 Westerly Wind Events (WWEs) and recent lack of ENSO related cold-tongue warming D.E. Harrison and A.M. Chiodi (presenting)
The dominant periodicities are the same as those from astronomical calculations of changes in the Earth’s orbital parameters.
Yukio Masumoto (RIGC, JAMSTEC). Outline  Indian Ocean Observing System - Background and present status  Examples of key phenomena observed by IndOOS.
Genesis Potential Index and ENSO Suzana J. Camargo.
1 Assessment of the CFSv2 real-time seasonal forecasts for 2013 Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA.
1 Assessment of the CFSv2 real-time seasonal forecasts for Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA.
Ocean buoys collect data over many years – changes in the atmosphere and ocean over many years provide clues to climate variability. We need to look at.
SST Diurnal Cycle over the Western Hemisphere: Preliminary Results from the New High-Resolution MPM Analysis Wanqiu Wang, Pingping Xie, and Chenjie Huang.
Characterization and causes of variability of sea level and thermocline depth in the tropical South Indian Ocean Laurie Trenary University of Colorado.
The Caribbean Low Level Jet variability during August and September and its relation with the regional hydroclimate Ernesto Muñoz.
Intraseasonal TC prediction in the southern hemisphere Matthew Wheeler and John McBride Centre for Australia Weather and Climate Research A partnership.
The La Niña Influence on Central Alabama Rainfall Patterns.
Changes in the Seasonal Cycle of Sea Surface Salinity from Jim Reagan 1,2, Tim Boyer 2, John Antonov 2,3, Melissa Zweng 2 1 University of Maryland.
Interannual Time Scales: ENSO Decadal Time Scales: Basin Wide Variability (e.g. Pacific Decadal Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation) Longer Time Scales:
Seasonal Change in the Upper Ocean (The Annual Cycle)
State of the Oceans Albert Fischer OOPC-12 Paris, France, 2-5 May 2007.
Mean 20 o C isotherm (unit: meter) The thermocline zone is sometimes characterized by the depth at which the temperature gradient is a maximum (the “thermocline.
1 Using Satellite Data for Climate Modeling Studies: Representing Ocean Biology-induced Feedback Effect in the Tropical Pacific Rong-Hua Zhang CICS-ESSIC,
CLIVAR/GODAE Synthesis Evaluation CLIVAR/GODAE Synthesis Evaluation.
Typical Distributions of Water Characteristics in the Oceans.
1 Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions Prepared by Climate Prediction Center, NCEP November 7, 2008
Global Ocean Circulation (2) 1.Wind-driven gyre-scale circulation of the surface ocean and upper thermocline 2.Global heat and freshwater water transport,
Hurricane Frequency and Sea Surface Temperature EAS 4803 Sheliza Bhanjee.
Climate Variability and Basin Scale Forcing over the North Atlantic Jim Hurrell Climate and Global Dynamics Division National Center for Atmospheric Research.
Application of T382 CFS Forecasts for Dynamic Hurricane Season Prediction J. Schemm, L. Long, S. Saha and S. Moorthi NOAA/NWS/NCEP October 21, 2008 The.
Dynamic Hurricane Season Prediction Experiment with the NCEP CFS Jae-Kyung E. Schemm January 21, 2009 COLA CTB Seminar Acknowledgements: Lindsey Long Suru.
Discussion groups Goal: Understand interaction between the ITCZ and upwelling zones (Benguela, Guinea, eastern cold tongue) and the implications for predictability.
Tropical cyclone activity in the Minerva T1279 seasonal forecasts. Preliminary analysis Julia Manganello 1, Kevin Hodges 2 1 COLA, USA 2 NERC Centre for.
Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Influences on Failed Consecutive Rainy Seasons over Eastern Africa** Andy Hoell 1 and Chris Funk 1,2 Contact:
Air-Sea Fluxes: A New Approach for Validation and Estimation Huai-Min Zhang NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC/ScSD John M. Toole and Michael J. Caruso Woods Hole Oceanographic.
Impact of TAO observations on Impact of TAO observations on Operational Analysis for Tropical Pacific Yan Xue Climate Prediction Center NCEP Ocean Climate.
Meeting Dates Location Title Author. 2 of 12 Dates Meeting Info Presentation info NASA Aquarius Mission Timeline May SPURS-2 Workshop EOPM OSST Seattle.
1 An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA.
RT5, WP5.2 : Evaluation of processes and phenomena Objectives : Analyse the capability of the models to reproduce and predict the major modes of variations.
1 An Assessment of the CFS real-time forecasts for Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, and Arun Kumar CPC/NCEP/NOAA.
Michael J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL Dongxiao Zhang, University of Washington and NOAA/PMEL Circulation Changes Linked to ENSO- like Pacific Decadal Variability.
1 A review of CFS forecast skill for Wanqiu Wang, Arun Kumar and Yan Xue CPC/NCEP/NOAA.
The impact of lower boundary forcings (sea surface temperature) on inter-annual variability of climate K.-T. Cheng and R.-Y. Tzeng Dept. of Atmos. Sci.
How ENSO influence the Luzon Strait transport 汇报人:叶瑞杰 专业年级: 2016 级物理海洋博士.
Large-eddy Simulation of Tropical Convection over the Indian Ocean: Scale Variability and SST  Atmospheric conditions over the tropical ocean are characterized.
Ocean State Estimation by 4D-VAR Data Assimilation using ARGO Data S
Z. Garraffo, G.Halliwell, L. Smith, G. Peng, E. Chassignet
First look: Arctic Ocean in multi-decadal analyses
Composite patterns of DJF U200 anomalies for (a) strong EAJS, (b) weak EAJS, (c) El Niño and (d) La Niña.
Dynamics of ENSO Complexity and Sensitivity
Can CMIP5 models replicate long-term variability of storm characteristics in the WNP? James Bramante.
Seasonal prediction of South Asian summer monsoon 2010: Met Office
Ocean Sub-Surface Observing Network
Jacki Kinney Climatology December 6, 2005
Rob Wood, University of Washington POST Meeting, February, 2009
Heat Transport by the Atmosphere and ocean
Silvana Buarque, Marie Drévillon, Charles Desportes, Charly Régnier
D1 D2 D3 D4 Figure 2 Initial sea-surface temperature (SST, color) and ocean heat content (OHC, contour) fields for the coupled model simulation of Hurricane.
Case Studies in Decadal Climate Predictability
Rob Wood, University of Washington POST Meeting, February, 2009
Joint Proposal to WGOMD for a community ocean model experiment
Variability of the Fresh water content in the Beaufort Gyre
Lianyi Zhang, Yan Du (SCSIO) Wenju Cai (QNLM/CSIRO)
Presentation transcript:

Item #7: Indices Sea Surface Temperature indices Bermuda-Labrador Sea Transport Index A. Fischer, CLIVAR/GODAE Ocean Synthesis Meeting 31 Aug - 1 Sep 2006, ECMWF, Reading, UK

SST in boxes

Perspective Biases in the seasonal cycle of some of the models (non-SST constrained) In the tropical Pacific interannual variability is stronger than these biases in WTIO the interannual variability on top of the syntheses’ own climatologies are very similar Interannual variability of SST in the tropical Indian Ocean (particularly SETIO) not captured by 2 of the syntheses are subsurface expressions of tropical interannual variability (currents, thermocline depth/heat content) in the Indian Ocean captured as well as SST in the SST-constrained syntheses?

Bermuda-Labrador Basin Transport Index Curry and McCartney, JPO 2001

Perspective Offsets in PEA tend to be the same between Labrador Sea and Bermuda - canceling out in the transport index (vertical integration details?) Some success in capturing the phasing of changes Amplitude variations