A Simplified Linear Transformation to Calculate N Application Rates in Corn and Wheat In South east NE and NW Missouri a strong interest has developed.

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Presentation transcript:

A Simplified Linear Transformation to Calculate N Application Rates in Corn and Wheat In South east NE and NW Missouri a strong interest has developed for top dressing UREA Fertilizers. The challenge has bee to create a simplified method to predict N ratge

Dr. Brenda Ortiz Who Built The Unique Corn Optical Sensor Data Set Required for This Investigation And Dr. Bill Raun Who Kept this Investigation going Through Hell and High Water Dr. Jim Schepers Whose argument for measuring NDVI at Two Different Locations Caused Me to Modify my approach to the problem.

Corn at three growth stages symmetric sigmoid model The sigmetrig sigmoid requires two parametric equations to predict crop yield. These control the degree of curvature and the location of the inflection point

Difficulty with the symmetric sigmoid for predicting grain yield This equation is Parametric – each parameter is a function of two equations. This means that you cannot directly solve for any value of the yield equation. This isn’t good. We must adjust the parameters until the equation predicts known yield values. Consequently, we can’t solve the yield equation for exact values. We need a simpler approach which replaces parameters with constants and linearizes the relationship between the independent dependent variable (FP ndvi) and the dependent variable yield.

We can make the following assumptions when developing a model to predict grain yield with optical sensors Yield is proportional to Farmer Practice NDVI. NRich NDVI is independent of location within an area in a field where production variables exhibit geostatistical relatedness. Farmer Practice NDVI exhibits a high degree of uniformity within smaller areas because NRndvi and FPndvi tend to be related. A straight line can be constructed between the maximum value of NRich NDVI and the minimum value of Farmer Practice NDVI. Because NDVI is linearly proportional to crop yield, a straight line can be fit through NDVI and crop Yield. (Dr. Jim Schepers) Jim Schepers proposed measuring the highest and lowest values of NDVI in a field, but did not link these values directly to N Rate

Corn and Wheat there is a region where symmetric sigmoid exhibits high linearity

linearization Despite the concerns about using sophisticated non-linear models, agronomist have need to use N-Lin models to describe and predict complex biological phenomena. One of these model is the symmetric sigmoid which is a step function i.e. growth models. Many of these models are parametric requiring input of data to change values of coefficients as inputs change. In effect, two, three, or more additional equations are needed to define the coefficients required to implement the non-linear model. One approach often used by engineers when creating models to control machines and processes, is to break the model up into segments which can be treated as independent models within the range of interest. In the case of symmetric sigmoid, most of the change in the value of the dependent variable occurs for NDVI values ranging form 0.20 and 0.80. Nearly all change occurs between 0.10 and 0.90 NDVI.

Consistently, yield data were linear functions of NDVI

Data Linearization Fit a straight line (linear regression) through the data Fit a straight line through at least two N-Rich reference strips Locate one NRich strip in the highest yielding portion of the field and one from the natural occurring lowest producing area of the field. Exclude alkali spots, pot-holes, abnormally low producing regions, etc. Although only two carefully selected areas are needed to establish the linear regression line, additional N-Rich strips will improve the accuracy and precision of the fitted straight line.

Linearized Generalized N Rate Algorithm AONR Corn Experiment - 2014 AONR – Agrnomic Optimum N Rate.

NDVI Farmer Practice vs NRich NDVI 23 Site Years NRich NDVI is linearly proportional to Farmer Pracitice NDVI

Wheat Yield is highly linear to farmer Practice NDVI, but this same linearity is clearly exhibited in corn

Regression values are high,, but slopes of the regression lines, as well as values of NDVI can vary greatly.

Why Linearize Data Establishes a straight line relationship between NDVI and Grain Yield. Differences between NDVI values are equivalent to differences in yield. Yield goal is the maximum expected yield. Yield = YieldGoal * FPndvi /NRndvi

Additional Steps NDVI of the yield goal for the most productive area and for the least productive area must be determined using an N-Rich reference strip. Although peak yield generally occurs at approximately 0.80 NDVI, there is no guarantee that it will. A second N-Rich reference strip must be established in the least productive area in the field. Yield goals must be established at each location. The literature contains several methods for establishing reasonable yield goals. A linear curve must be fitted to the data with NDVI being the independent variable and yield goal being the dependent variable. Use standard regression equations for linear curves.

Yield Goal MinYld=Yld Goal*0.48/0.81

Defines the yield limit without additional N Defines the yield limit without additional N. Increase in yield will be proportional to increase in NDVI

Appendix – Additional Examples

Wheat Yield is highly linear to farmer Practice NDVI, but this same linearity is clearly exhibited in corn