How might Climate Change affect the Great Lakes Region?

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Presentation transcript:

How might Climate Change affect the Great Lakes Region? Peter J. Sousounis Geography Department Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI http://www.geo.msu.edu/glra

Why Should Precipitation Increase…? More frequent storms Slower storms Stronger storms Moister storms More efficient storms

Annual Precip Category Changes for Detroit, MI CAN 1900 CAN 2000 CAT (mm) DAYS PCN (MM) DAYS PCN (MM) D DAYS D PCN 0.25-1.25 88 58.08 84 56.77 1.26-6.35 101 303.97 98 299.61 6.36-12.7 31 269.35 30 257.92 -7 -17 12.8-25.4 18 326.14 20 345.89 > 25.4 8 337.07 11 471.97 5 155 HAD 1900 HAD 2000 CAT (mm) DAYS PCN (MM) DAYS PCN (MM) D DAYS D PCN 0.25-1.25 67 45.18 62 40.64 1.26-6.35 90 270.91 81 246.57 6.36-12.7 31 276.86 30 264.85 -15 -41 12.8-25.4 19 314.12 23 401.92 > 25.4 2 59.79 6 178.28 8 206

Summary Climate change in the Great Lakes region will be manifested by changes in winds and storm tracks as well as by changes in temperature and precipitation. Extreme hot days will occur at least twice as frequently, extreme precipitation events will increase in frequency and intensity. The number of cyclones will decrease by ~15% and windspeeds will decrease by 10%. Interannual variability will also likely increase. The magnitudes of the climate changes will likely have significant impacts on ecosystems in the region.