Historical Perspectives and Pathways to an Attractive Power Plant

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Presentation transcript:

Historical Perspectives and Pathways to an Attractive Power Plant Farrokh Najmabadi UC San Diego 23rd Symposium on Fusion Engineering May 31- June 5, 2009 San Diego, CA You can download a copy of the paper and the presentation from the ARIES Web Site: ARIES Web Site: http://aries.ucsd.edu/ARIES/

The ARIES Team Has Examined Many Fusion Concepts As Power Plants Focus of the talk is on Tokamak studies: ARIES-I first-stability tokamak (1990) ARIES-III D-3He-fueled tokamak (1991) ARIES-II and -IV second-stability tokamaks (1992) Pulsar pulsed-plasma tokamak (1993) Starlite study (1995) (goals & technical requirements for power plants & Demo) ARIES-RS reversed-shear tokamak (1996) ARIES-AT advanced technology and advanced tokamak (2000)

ARIES Research Aims at a Balance Between Attractiveness & Feasibility Top –Level Requirements for Commercial Fusion Power Have an economically competitive life-cycle cost of electricity: Low recirculating power; High power density; High thermal conversion efficiency; Less-expensive systems. Gain Public acceptance by having excellent safety and environmental characteristics: Use low-activation and low toxicity materials and care in design. Have operational reliability and high availability: Ease of maintenance, design margins, and extensive R&D. Reasonable Extension of Present Data base Physics: Solid Theoretical grounds and/or experimental basis. Technology: Demonstrated at least in small samples.

Power Plant Physics Needs and Directions for Burning Plasma Experiments

For the same physics and technology basis, steady-state devices outperform pulsed tokamaks Physics needs of pulsed and steady-state first stability devices are the same (except non-inductive current-drive physics). ARIES-I’ Pulsar Non-inductive drive Expensive & inefficient PF System Very expensive but efficient Current-drive system High Low Recirculating Power High Bootstrap, High A, Low I Optimum Plasma Regime Yes, 65-%-75% bootstrap fraction, bN~ 3.3, b ~ 1.9% No, 30%-40% bootstrap fraction bN~ 3, b ~ 2.1% Current profile Control Higher (B ~ 16 T on coil) Lower because of interaction with PF (B ~ 14 T on coil) Toroidal-Field Strength Medium Low Power Density Medium (~ 8 m major radius) High (~ 9 m major radius) Size and Cost

Directions for Improvement Increase Power Density (1/Vp) What we pay for,VFPC r D r > D r ~ D r < D Improvement “saturates” at ~5 MW/m2 peak wall loading (for a 1GWe plant). A steady-state, first stability device with Nb3Sn technology has a power density about 1/3 of this goal. Big Win Little Gain High-Field Magnets ARIES-I with 19 T at the coil (cryogenic). Advanced SSTR-2 with 21 T at the coil (HTS). High bootstrap, High b 2nd Stability: ARIES-II/IV Reverse-shear: ARIES-RS, ARIES-AT, A-SSRT2 Decrease Recirculating Power Fraction Improvement “saturates” about Q ~ 40. A steady-state, first stability device with Nb3Sn Tech. has a recirculating fraction about 1/2 of this goal.

Reverse Shear Plasmas Lead to Attractive Tokamak power Plants Second Stability Regime Requires wall stabilization (Resistive-wall modes) Poor match between bootstrap and equilibrium current profile at high b. ARIES-II/IV: Optimum profiles give same b as first-stability but with increased bootstrap fraction Reverse Shear Regime Requires wall stabilization (Resistive-wall modes) Excellent match between bootstrap & equilibrium current profile at high b. ARIES-RS (medium extrapolation): bN= 4.8, b=5%, Pcd=81 MW (achieves ~5 MW/m2 peak wall loading.) ARIES-AT (aggressive extrapolation): bN= 5.4, b=9%, Pcd=36 MW (high b is used to reduce peak field at magnet)

Evolution of ARIES Tokamak Designs 1st Stability, Nb3Sn Tech. ARIES-I’ Major radius (m) 8.0 b (bN) 2% (2.9) Peak field (T) 16 Avg. Wall Load (MW/m2) 1.5 Current-driver power (MW) 237 Recirculating Power Fraction 0.29 Thermal efficiency 0.46 Cost of Electricity (c/kWh) 10 High-Field Option ARIES-I 6.75 2% (3.0) 19 2.5 202 0.28 0.49 8.2 ARIES-RS 5.5 5% (4.8) 16 4 81 0.17 0.46 7.5 Reverse Shear Option ARIES-AT 5.2 9.2% (5.4) 11.5 3.3 36 0.14 0.59 5 COE insensitive of current drive COE insensitive of power density

Estimated Cost of Electricity Our Vision of Magnetic Fusion Power Systems Has Improved Dramatically in the Last Decade, and Is Directly Tied to Advances in Fusion Science & Technology Major radius (m) Estimated Cost of Electricity (1992 c/kWh) Approaching COE insensitive of power density High Thermal Efficiency High b is used to lower magnetic field

Continuity of ARIES Research Has Led to the Progressive Refinement of Plasma Optimization Pulsar (pulsed-tokamak): Trade-off of b with bootstrap Expensive PF system, under-performing TF For the same physics & technology basis, steady-state operation is better Improved Physics ARIES-I (first-stability steady-state): Trade-off of b with bootstrap High-field magnets to compensate for low b ARIES-RS (reverse shear): Improvement in b and current-drive power Approaching COE insensitive of current drive Need high b equilibria with aligned bootstrap ARIES-AT (aggressive reverse shear): Approaching COE insensitive of power density High b is used to reduce toroidal field Better bootstrap alignment More detailed physics

There has been Substantial changes in our predications of Edge Plasma Properties Pulsar (pulsed-tokamak): Trade-off of b with bootstrap Expensive PF system, under-performing TF (1900-1993) L-mode edge, high-recycling divertor, 5MW/m2 peak heat load He-cooled with W armor ARIES-I (first-stability steady-state): Trade-off of b with bootstrap High-field magnets to compensate for low b (1996) L-mode edge, Detached 5MW/m2 peak heat load He-cooled with W armor ARIES-RS (reverse shear): Improvement in b and current-drive power Approaching COE insensitive of current drive (1999) H-mode edge, high radiation in core and edge plasma 5MW/m2 peak heat load PbLi-cooled with W armor ARIES-AT (aggressive reverse shear): Approaching COE insensitive of power density High b is used to reduce toroidal field

There has been substantial changes in our predications of edge plasma properties Current expectation of much higher peak heat and particle flux on divertors: Scrape-off layer energy e-folding length is substantially smaller. Elms and intermittent transport Gad-cooled W divertor designs with capability of 10-12MW/m2 has been produced. More work is needed to quantify the impact of the new physics predictions on power plant concepts. ARIES-CS T-Tube concept

Continuity of ARIES Research Has Led to the Progressive Refinement of Plasma Optimization Pulsar (pulsed-tokamak): Trade-off of b with bootstrap Expensive PF system, under-performing TF “Conventional” Pulsed plasma: Explore burn physics (ITER) ARIES-I (first-stability steady-state): Trade-off of b with bootstrap High-field magnets to compensate for low b Demonstrate steady-state first-stability operation. (ITER) ARIES-RS (reverse shear): Improvement in b and current-drive power Approaching COE insensitive of current drive Explore reversed-shear plasma Higher Q plasmas At steady state ARIES-AT (aggressive reverse shear): Approaching COE insensitive of power density High b is used to reduce toroidal field Explore envelopes of steady-state reversed-shear operation

Fusion Technologies Have a Dramatic Impact of Attractiveness of Fusion

ARIES-I Introduced SiC Composites as A High-Performance Structural Material for Fusion SiC composites are attractive structural material for fusion Excellent safety & environmental characteristics (very low activation and very low afterheat). High performance due to high strength at high temperatures (>1000oC). Large world-wide program in SiC: New SiC composite fibers with proper stoichiometry and small O content. New manufacturing techniques based on polymer infiltration or CVI result in much improved performance and cheaper components. Recent results show composite thermal conductivity (under irradiation) close to 15 W/mK which was used for ARIES-I.

Continuity of ARIES research has led to the progressive refinement of research ARIES-I: SiC composite with solid breeders Advanced Rankine cycle Many issues with solid breeders; Rankine cycle efficiency saturated at high temperature Starlite & ARIES-RS: Li-cooled vanadium Insulating coating Improved Blanket Technology Max. coolant temperature limited by maximum structure temperature ARIES-ST: Dual-cooled ferritic steel with SiC inserts Advanced Brayton Cycle at  650 oC High efficiency with Brayton cycle at high temperature ARIES-AT: LiPb-cooled SiC composite Advanced Brayton cycle with h = 59%

ARIES-AT features a high-performance blanket Outboard blanket & first wall Simple, low pressure design with SiC structure and LiPb coolant and breeder. Innovative design leads to high LiPb outlet temperature (~1,100oC) while keeping SiC structure temperature below 1,000oC leading to a high thermal efficiency of ~ 60%. Simple manufacturing technique. Very low afterheat. Class C waste by a wide margin.

Design leads to a LiPb Outlet Temperature of 1,100oC While Keeping SiC Temperature Below 1,000oC • Two-pass PbLi flow, first pass to cool SiCf/SiC box second pass to superheat PbLi PbLi Inlet Temp. = 764 °C Bottom Top Max. SiC/PbLi Interf. Temp. = 994 °C Max. SiC/SiC Temp. = 996°C PbLi Outlet Temp. = 1100 °C

Modular sector maintenance enables high availability Full sectors removed horizontally on rails Transport through maintenance corridors to hot cells Estimated maintenance time < 4 weeks ARIES-AT elevation view

Radioactivity levels in fusion power plants are very low and decay rapidly after shutdown SiC composites lead to a very low activation and afterheat. All components of ARIES-AT qualify for Class-C disposal under NRC and Fetter Limits. 90% of components qualify for Class-A waste. Ferritic Steel Vanadium After 100 years, only 10,000 Curies of radioactivity remain in the 585 tonne ARIES-RS fusion core. Level in Coal Ash

Fusion Core Is Segmented to Minimize the Rad-Waste Only “blanket-1” and divertors are replaced every 5 years Blanket 1 (replaceable) Blanket 2 (lifetime) Shield (lifetime)

Waste volume is not large 1270 m3 of Waste is generated after 40 full-power year (FPY) of operation. Coolant is reused in other power plants 29 m3 every 4 years (component replacement), 993 m3 at end of service Equivalent to ~ 30 m3 of waste per FPY Effective annual waste can be reduced by increasing plant service life. 90% of waste qualifies for Class A disposal

Some thoughts on Fusion Development

Fusion Development Focuses on Facilities Rather than the Path Current fusion development plans relies on large scale, expensive facilities. This is partly due to our history: To study a fusion plasma, we need to create it, thus a larger facility. This is NOT true for the development of fusion engineering and leads to an expensive and long development path long lead times, $$$ Expensive operation time Limited no. concepts that can be tested Integrated tests either succeed or fail, this is an expensive and time-consuming approach to optimize concepts. It is argued that facilities provide a focal point to do the R&D. This is in contrast with the normal development path of any product in which the status of R&D necessitates a facility for experimentation.

Technical Readiness Levels provides a basis for development path analysis TRLs are a set of 9 levels for assessing the maturity of a technology (level1: “Basis principles observed” to level 9: “Total system used successfully in project operations”). Developed by NASA and are adopted by US DOD and DOE. Provides a framework for assessing a development strategy. Initial application of TRLs to fusion system clearly underlines the relative immaturity of fusion technologies compare to plasma physics. TRLs are very helpful in defining R&D steps and facilities.

Example: TRLs for Plasma Facing Components Issue-Specific Description Facilities 1 System studies to define tradeoffs and requirements on heat flux level, particle flux level, effects on PFC's (temperature, mass transfer). Design studies, basic research 2 PFC concepts including armor and cooling configuration explored. Critical parameters characterized. Code development, applied research 3 Data from coupon-scale heat and particle flux experiments; modeling of governing heat and mass transfer processes as demonstration of function of PFC concept. Small-scale facilities: e.g., e-beam and plasma simulators 4 Bench-scale validation of PFC concept through submodule testing in lab environment simulating heat fluxes or particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Larger-scale facilities for submodule testing, High-temperature + all expected range of conditions 5 Integrated module testing of the PFC concept in an environment simulating the integration of heat fluxes and particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Integrated large facility: Prototypical plasma particle flux+heat flux (e.g. an upgraded DIII-D/JET?) 6 Integrated testing of the PFC concept subsystem in an environment simulating the integration of heat fluxes and particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Integrated large facility: Prototypical plasma particle flux+heat flux 7 Prototypic PFC system demonstration in a fusion machine. Fusion machine ITER (w/ prototypic divertor), CTF 8 Actual PFC system demonstration qualification in a fusion machine over long operating times. CTF 9 Actual PFC system operation to end-of-life in fusion reactor with prototypical conditions and all interfacing subsystems. DEMO

Example: TRLs for Plasma Facing Components Issue-Specific Description Facilities 1 System studies to define tradeoffs and requirements on heat flux level, particle flux level, effects on PFC's (temperature, mass transfer). Design studies, basic research 2 PFC concepts including armor and cooling configuration explored. Critical parameters characterized. Code development, applied research 3 Data from coupon-scale heat and particle flux experiments; modeling of governing heat and mass transfer processes as demonstration of function of PFC concept. Small-scale facilities: e.g., e-beam and plasma simulators 4 Bench-scale validation of PFC concept through submodule testing in lab environment simulating heat fluxes or particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Larger-scale facilities for submodule testing, High-temperature + all expected range of conditions 5 Integrated module testing of the PFC concept in an environment simulating the integration of heat fluxes and particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Integrated large facility: Prototypical plasma particle flux+heat flux (e.g. an upgraded DIII-D/JET?) 6 Integrated testing of the PFC concept subsystem in an environment simulating the integration of heat fluxes and particle fluxes at prototypical levels over long times. Integrated large facility: Prototypical plasma particle flux+heat flux 7 Prototypic PFC system demonstration in a fusion machine. Fusion machine ITER (w/ prototypic divertor), CTF 8 Actual PFC system demonstration qualification in a fusion machine over long operating times. CTF 9 Actual PFC system operation to end-of-life in fusion reactor with prototypical conditions and all interfacing subsystems. DEMO Power-plant relevant high-temperature gas-cooled PFC Low-temperature water-cooled PFC

We should Focus on Developing a Comprehensive Fusion Development Path Use modern approaches for to “product development;” (e.g., science-based engineering development vs “cook and look”) Extensive “out-of-pile” testing to understand fundamental processes Extensive use of simulation techniques to explore many of synergetic effects and define new experiments Lessons from industry (e.g., defense, aerospace) Final integration facility should focus on validation and demonstration rather than experimentation

CTF should focus on validation and demonstration rather than experimentation Demo: Build and operated by industry (may be with government subsidy), Demo should demonstrate that fusion is a commercial reality (different than EU definition) There should be NO open questions going from Demo to commercial (similar physics and technology, …) CTF: Integration of fusion nuclear technology with a fusion plasma (copious amount of fusion power but not necessarily a burning plasma). At the of its program, CTF should have demonstrated: Complete fuel cycle with tritium accountability. Power and particle management. Necessary date for safety & licensing of a fusion facility. Operability of a fusion energy facility, including plasma control, reliability of components, inspectability and maintainability of a power plant relevant device. Large industrial involvement so that industry can attempt the Demo.

Can we develop fusion rapidly? Issues: expertise (scientific workforce) Test facilities (small and Medium scale) Industrial involvement Funding Considering the current state of Fusion Engineering, we need 5-10 years of program growth before the elements of a balanced program are in place and we are ready to field a CTF. Such a science-based engineering approach, will provide the data base and expertise needed to field a successful CTF in parallel to ITER ignition campaign and can lead to fielding a fusion Demo within 20-25 years.

Thank you!