Resilience and Reliability in PJM’s Competitive Markets

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Presentation transcript:

Resilience and Reliability in PJM’s Competitive Markets Stu Bresler SVP - Operations & Markets PJM Interconnection, LLC www.pjm.com

Generator Reliability Attributes in Changing Portfolios – Individual Reliability Attribute Ratios

Natural Gas Generation by Region FUEL TYPE ERCOT FRCC ISO-NE MISO NYISO PEAK PJM SOCO SPP TVA VACAR-S Coal 24% 16% 6% 37% 5% 14% 33% 28% 30% Hydro 1% 0% 10% 2% 25% 4% 9% 12% Natural Gas 66% 65% 43% 39% 55% 40% 35% 49% 38% 34% Nuclear 11% 7% 3% 18% 8% 22% Wind 15% Oil 21% Solar www.pjm.com

Prepare + Operate + Recover = Resilience www.pjm.com

ERCOT CAISO SPP ISO-NE PJM NYISO MISO The proposed rule applies to: Every RTO that has energy and capacity markets; Electric generation resource located within an RTO; and that has a 90-day fuel supply on site; Not subject to cost of service regulation; It is clear from the DOE NOPR that the target is coal and nuclear generation. Each RTO must: Purchase electricity from such resource; and Provide for recovery of costs and a return of and on equity. Not ERCOT, not CAISO, not SPP MISO not clear – questionable if it has a “capacity market”; significant amount of generation is cost of service. NYISO – has ZECs for nukes; no coal left. ISONE – nukes are profitable; no coal left. NYISO SPP MISO www.pjm.com

Focused on reliability and resilience DOE NOPR Summary Positives Focused on reliability and resilience Recognizes unique attributes of resources Recognizes current market limitations Negatives No clear problem statement Misuses industry facts including PJM’s Polar Vortex Report Undermines benefits of competitive markets www.pjm.com

High Level PJM Response Problem to Resolve: Not all resources are being appropriately compensated for the reliability value they are providing PJM agrees with goals of reliability and resilience Market solutions are best #3 PJM agrees with some and disagrees with some points in the DOE report – We have a better way! www.pjm.com

Proposed Price Formation Enhancements 1 2 Utilize a separate pricing run of the Dispatch software to calculate LMPs Enhance the price calculation to better reflect the actual cost of serving load 3 4 Explicitly compensate resources for following dispatch Enhance shortage pricing Improved Incentives Would correct incentive pitfalls of current model Improve performance incentives, especially during tight system conditions Values all resources needed to serve load Flexible resources can compete for infra-marginal rents Incentivizes flexibility Current method promotes inflexible bidding www.pjm.com

Benefits of Price Formation Enhancements Uplift Reduction Include more operator actions in LMP Reduce revenue shifts caused by uplift Improved Incentives: Correct incentive pitfalls of current model Value all resources needed to serve load Induce competition for flexibility Improve performance incentives, especially during tight system conditions www.pjm.com