Traffic LightTM Weekly

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Presentation transcript:

Traffic LightTM Weekly Crystal Clear Indicator, L.L.C. July 20th, 2018 Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. Disclaimer Traffic LightTM and Capital Appreciation PointTM are the results of proprietary risk analysis models and should be used as a part of your due diligence process. Crystal Clear Indicator is not a licensed financial advisor. Investing involves risks. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. Agenda Review Traffic Lights (TL) TL S&P 500, a long-term indicator, is bullish. TL Dow Jones and TL NASDAQ, the intermediate indicators, are showing red spikes. New bullish strategies should be deployed cautiously. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Application of Traffic Lights The introduction of Traffic Lights can be accessed at the blog section: http://crystalclearindicator.com/2017/07/02/application-traffic-lights/ “New in Starter B” blog is also a good resource http://crystalclearindicator.com/2018/02/01/new-starter-b/ The session will focus on the current situation. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Traffic Light S&P 500 (Long Term Indicator) July 20, 2018 Current light is in yellow. When there is a pull back like CAP events or TL DOW and/or NASDAQ shows preferred bullish traits (started on Feb 26 , 2018 and April 16, 2018), it could be a good entry for long positions. Consider using S&P 500 CAP, TL Dow Jones and NASDAQ for intermediate entries. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Current Daily View July 20, 2018 No 3 white soldiers in this 4 synchronizations correction yet. The pattern is likely to emerge at a major support. Notice higher above average volume on down day and below average volume on up day. Not a strong bullish sign. The index is still in the trading range. Resistant (red rectangles) is 280 to 285 area. Support is 253 to 260 (green rectangle) area near the last low. Volatility has been decreasing. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Current Weekly View July 20, 2018 10 W EMA is higher than 30 W SMA- a long term bullish stance Weekly resistant at 280 to 285 remains. Weekly support at 253-260 is holding and the index has bounced from 30 W SMA. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Candle Pattern: Three White Soldiers In the last 7 preferred bullish traits with S&P 500 CAP, 3 white soldiers candle pattern has always occurred prior to a solid bullish run. The pattern has not emerged this time. 3 white soldiers: 3 consecutive up days with average 1 % gain per day and a full bar per day. At least 1 of 3 days has a positive volume greater than moving average (50 D). The pattern often starts at the major support of a correction. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. 1/29/2016 event

Intermediate signal: Traffic Light Table July 20, 2018 Without continuous green spikes, S&P 500 and NASDAQ might not ascend robustly. S&P 500 closed below 10 D EMA on May 29 and NASDAQ composite on June 22, indicating the recent short term burst bullish posture should come to an end and leverage positions should be exited. On June 25, red spikes reached above 10. The red spikes crossed above 10 and indices are below 10 D EMA, it is better to take a conservative position for intermediate bullish (6 months or less) strategies. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. TL NASDQ Zoom In July 20, 2018 Money flow out is ascending and money flow out has been descending, a short term bearish sign. The bearish tone is stronger when money flow out is above money flow in. It is possible that the index might re-test the Feb low while money flow out is above money flow in. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. TL NASDQ spike July 20, 2018 Recent green spikes are not as high as the former green spikes when accounting the amount of recent correction. The recent emerging red spikes are high. Bullish strategies should be deployed cautiously. Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.

Confidential. Do not replicate without approval. Summary Confidential. Do not replicate without approval.