COLOMBO DEFENCE SEMINAR 2018 ‘Climate Change: Future of Warfare’ Syndicate Discussions Group C

COLOMBO DEFENCE SEMINAR 2018 ‘Climate Change : Future of Warfare’ Brigadier Jonathan Beesley Australia Colonel J Chipili Zambia Group C

CLIMATE CHANGE INTRODUCTIONS Differences Perspectives Developed countries Developing Countries

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE Positive Effects New shipping routes New agricultural land Negative Effects Urbanization of warfare Scarcity of resources political instability Social instability Economical instability Mass external migration New forms of conflicts ( Land, Water etc)

CHALLENGES De – urbanization Effects are cross border Difficult to control Different levels of commitment from countries Different perspectives Different threat models

FUTURE WARFARE - What Role of military Combating climatic change causes Accessing recourses to enable military operations / capability Operations to secure, access and protect resources Reaction to climatic events HADR – internal and Support to other nations Control of Population Movement Mitigating the effect of climate change

FUTURE WARFARE – So What Whole of nation Increase number of actors in the future operating environment – poachers! Legal framework to support ‘Climate Intervention Operations’ Multi-national regional frameworks to protect shared resources (eg rivers transiting numerous countries) Doctrine, concepts, training, equipping Increase importance of operating in other domains – space and cyber Access to sensors S&T – alternate and renewable resources Autonomous systems