Human Capital Study in Poland Competences on Changing Labour Market: The Human Capital Study in Poland Prof. Dr. Jarosław Górniak Jagiellonian University in Krakow Centre for Evaluation and Analysis of Public Policies Vienna, 19-20 March 2018

Human Capital Study – policy assumptions To be functional in: narrowing competence gaps at national and regional levels creating evidence based conditions for policy making concerning human capital development disseminating information about situation and trends concerning availability and demand for skills and competences on the labour market providing in-depth insight into emerging trends in selected industries to facilitate cooperation between education and business in elaboration of professional curricula (NEW)

Human Capital Study – research assumptions High methodological standards – statistical validity of data Good research design and implementation Transparent, documented methodology Interesting and important but understandable analysis Access to micro data for analysts conducting own research Broad dissemination of results Policy impact

Human Capital Study – thematic assumptions Identification of the degree to which competencies of employees match the needs of the employers Compatibility between educational profiles at the upper secondary and university level and needs of employers Skill profiles of job seekers and demand of employers Determinants of lifelong learning activities

HCS I Research components 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Employers (sample 16 000; edition I-V) Jobs announcements (sample 20 000; edition I-V) Adults in productive age (sample 17 600; edition I-V) Registered unemployed (sample 8 000; edition I) Students of the last grade (sample 32 000; edition I i IV) of secondary schools Students of BA and MA studies (sample 32 000; edition I i IV) Educational organizations (sample 4 500; edition I-V) Educational specializations (official data; edition I-V)

SHC II (2017- 2023) components Bi-annual Employers (with panel component) Adults in productive age (with panel component) Educational organizations Two waves of sectoral studies in leading industries coordinated with sectoral councils of competencies 3 industries already launched: financial services, tourism, IT

HCS II 2016-2023: Research schedule 2017 Crossectional survey Employers 3500 Population 4000 LLL/Training Sector 1000 2018 Panel Pracodawcy 1000 (panel) Ludność 1500 - panel 2019 Split panel survey Employers 2500 1000 (panel) Population 1500 (panel) LLL/Training Sector 2020 Panel Employers 1000 (panel) Population 1500 (panel) 2021 Split panel survey Employers 2500 1000 (panel) Population 2900 1500 (panel) LLL/Training Sector 1000 (panel) 2022 Panel Employers 1000 (panel) Population 1500 - panel ,

Limitations of the survey approach to measure competences Time and motivation constrains in case of longer questionnaire Diversification of competences across jobs and standardisation of the questionnaire Skills versus motivations How to compare supply with demand of skills and competences

And would you like to have a job demanding such skills? How to measure competences? Testing knowledge and skills (partly used in SHC II) Declarative measurement (basic approach in SHC I & II) Please, assess the level of your skills in organization and conducting office work Low Basic Medium High Very high 1 2 3 4 5 And would you like to have a job demanding such skills? Definitely not Rather not Neither yes, nor not Rather yes Definitely yes 1 2 3 4 5 [12]

Declarative measurement How to measure competences? ADVANTAGES Simplicity Comparability across competences Grasping active competences Compatiblity of measurement on supply and demand side DISADVANTAGES Generality Potential discrepancy between declarations and reality Relativity Comparability across jobs and employers versus employees declarations [13]

Sectoral competence studies Main goals: Define profiles of key jobs in selected business sectors Compare demand and supply of competences in the sectors Indicate challenges concerning competences in relation to socio-economic structural change Contribution to the evidence informed human resource development in analysed sectors

Sectoral competence studies Main components: A business sector situation and future trends Foresight of demand for human capital: competences and qualifications Identification of key business processes in the sector and related jobs Description of key jobs’ competence profiles Comparing demand and supply of competences in the sector

Result deployment and utility Project website: http://bkl.parp.gov.pl Reports Data Methodology Transmissions and reports from conferences Dissemination conferences with important stakeholders Central Regional Input to policy analysis Legal acts and regulations Policy reports (education, labour market, 50+ policy) Public hearings and policy seminars Media attendance For sectoral studies – cooperation with “sectoral competence councils”

Achievements Growing impact on policy making Interest among important stakeholders Utilisation by media in public discourse International presence Impact on other research and policy analysis Influence on thematic reports of the Central Statistical Office Project selected to the Mutual Learning Programme of the DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion of the European Commission

Thank you! jaroslaw.gorniak@uj.edu.pl www.ceapp.uj.edu.pl Jarosław Górniak jaroslaw.gorniak@uj.edu.pl www.ceapp.uj.edu.pl http://bkl.parp.gov.pl