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Presentation transcript:

Disclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation, please contact India Meteorological Department.

Verification of Extended range prediction during 2014 season Using CFS based Grand Ensemble Prediction System (CGEPS) Working group on Extended Range Prediction Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India

Monsoon Onset over Kerala IMD Declared MOK: 06 June Predicted MOK : 03 June from 16 May IC

Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa IC: 0516 OBS MME

Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa IC: 0521 OBS MME

Spatial evolution of rainfall MME OBS OBS

Spatial evolution of rainfall

Verification of area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME MZI

Verification of area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME CEI

Verification of area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME NEI

Verification of area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME NWI

Verification of area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME SPI

MISO monitoring for next 25 days

MISO monitoring for next 25 days

Thanks…..