Key Findings from a Survey of 500 Registered Voters January 19-22, 2018 Robert Blizzard, Partner

Methodology On behalf of Progress in Motion, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey of 500 registered voters in Minnesota. Three hundred respondents were contacted via landline and 200 were contacted via cell phone. The survey was conducted January 19-22, 2018 and has a margin of error of +4.38%. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 2

The State’s Roads, Bridges and Highways

The number of accidents on state roads, bridges and highways.^ Voters don’t really believe there’s been an uptick in the "number of accidents." Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same over the past few years? The number of accidents on state roads, bridges and highways.^ Total By Metro Area 59% 57% 55% 23% 21% 18% 15% 13% Better 10% Better Worse Total Worse Inside (57%) Worse Outside (43%) Same Better Same Same ^Asked of Sample B only. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 4

The physical condition of the state's roads, bridges and highways.* There are mixed opinions on the "physical condition" of the state's roads. Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same over the past few years? The physical condition of the state's roads, bridges and highways.* Total By Metro Area 44% 45% 43% 35% 31% 28% 24% 25% 22% Worse Total Worse Inside (60%) Worse Outside (40%) Better Same Better Same Better Same *Asked of Sample A only. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 5

The level of traffic and congestion in your area. And, by a nearly four-to-one margin, Minnesotans say the "level of traffic and congestion" has gotten worse. Now, thinking some more about the state's roads, bridges and highways, do you feel that each of the following has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same over the past few years? The level of traffic and congestion in your area. Total By Metro Area 62% 49% 48% 39% 39% 27% 11% Better 11% Better 11% Better Worse Total Worse Inside (59%) Worse Outside (41%) Same Same Same MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 6

to improve roads, bridges and highways. A strong majority of voters believe the state needs to spend more money to improve roads, bridges and highways. And, do you believe that the state's roads, bridges and highways are funded adequately, or do you believe the state needs to spend more money to improve the state's roads, bridges and highways? Total By Party By Metro Area -24 -4 -28 -33 -23 -26 63% 63% 60% 61% 59% 45% 49% 36% 35% 36% 35% 30% Fund adeq More Total Fund adeq More GOP (22%) Fund adeq More IND (43%) Fund adeq More DEM (33%) Fund adeq More Inside (59%) Fund adeq More Outside (41%) MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 7

A Potential Constitutional Amendment

When voters are provided with some background about a potential Constitutional Amendment… Now, as you may know, Minnesotans currently pay a sales tax of six‐point‐eight‐seven percent when they purchase auto parts like tires, new wiper blades, and so on. Currently, one‐half of the revenue generated from that tax is dedicated to improving the state's roads, bridges and highways, while the other half goes directly to the state's general fund. The State Legislature is discussing a proposal to amend the State's Constitution to dedicate ALL of the money collected from the sales tax on auto parts to go toward improving the state's roads, bridges and highways. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

Fully three-quarters of Minnesotans support the potential Amendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO against it? +57 76% 43% Definitely 19% Yes No Total MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

Voters across the state support the Amendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO against it? By Metro Area By Region +67 +52 +48 82% +51 +66 +63 81% 80% +72 85% 72% 72% 71% 53% Def 55% Def 51% Def 46% Def 38% Def 39% Def 36% Def 23% 21% 20% 15% 17% Yes No 13% No Inside Outside Minn/St. P Collar West/NW Northeast South (59%) (41%) (32%) (26%) (18%) (12%) (11%) MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

Voters in every age cohort strongly support the Amendment. If this Constitutional Amendment were on the ballot today, would you vote YES in favor of it or NO against it? By Age By Gender/Age +49 +50 +43 +63 80% +69 +42 80% +65 +54 80% 74% +67 80% 74% 72% 70% 68% 62% Def 56% Def 59% Def 53% Def 32% Def 32% Def 30% 28% 29% Def 20% 26% 24% 25% Def Def 23% 17% 15% 11% 13% Yes No 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Men Women (18%) (22%) (11%) (25%) (24%) 18-54 55+ (26%) (21%) (28%) MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

Messaging

We tested ten messages in SUPPORT of this Amendment, and five of these messages met the 35% “very convincing” threshold, including two messages which surpassed 40% “very convincing.”

The top scoring messages: % Very Convincing Total Dedicating the sales tax that people are currently paying on auto parts to the Highway Trust Fund is fair because, just like the gas tax and registration fees, it means that those who use the state's roads are paying for improving the roads. 46% 84% By passing this Constitutional Amendment, voters here in Minnesota will be making sure that highway dollars are protected in a lockbox to keep politicians from diverting the money to other areas of government spending.^ 42% 75% ^Asked of Sample B only. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

The next strongest scorers: % Very Convincing Total 39% 83% 73% 35% 74% 34% 71% In the next two decades, Minnesota's population will increase by close to one million new residents. In order to accommodate this population growth, the state needs to invest now in a better transportation system to avoid congestion and safety problems. The revenue collected from motor vehicle fees and taxes, including the sales tax on auto parts, should be Constitutionally dedicated to fixing roads and bridges. That way, no politician in St. Paul can touch it. Dedicating all of the sales tax revenue on auto parts to the Highway Trust Fund will provide significantly more money without raising taxes on hard‐working Minnesota families.* By passing this Constitutional Amendment, voters here in Minnesota will be making sure that highway dollars are protected to keep politicians from diverting the money to other areas of government spending.* Minnesota's roads, bridges and highways across the state are in bad shape and deteriorating. By passing this Constitutional Amendment, we will finally get the dedicated funding needed to invest in fixing crumbling roads and deficient bridges. 34% 77% *Asked of Sample A only. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

These messages failed to really move the needle: % Very Convincing Total Improving the state's highways and public transit will help reduce traffic and congestion, making it easier for people to get around Minnesota, and giving families more time at home and less time waiting in their car.^ 29% 74% In recent years, the number of car accidents has increased and highway fatalities are on the rise. By passing this Constitutional Amendment, the state can spend more on making highways and bridges safer in Minnesota to reduce fatalities and injuries.* 23% 61% If we don't pass this Constitutional Amendment and don't invest more in our transportation infrastructure, Minnesota's economy will suffer as businesses will choose not to expand or to locate elsewhere ‐ taking their jobs and tax revenue with them. 18% 51% *Asked of Sample A only; ^asked of Sample B only. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

We tested nine messages AGAINST this Amendment, and none of these messages met the 35% “very convincing” threshold.

The strongest messages against the Amendment: % Very Convincing Total By passing this Constitutional Amendment, hundreds of millions of dollars that typically go to K‐12 public schools or health care for Senior Citizens will vanish. We shouldn't shortchange our kids' education and the elderly just to benefit rural Minnesota roads.1 29% 60% By passing this Constitutional Amendment, most new transportation funding would end up going to the Twin Cities to pay for bus routes and light rail instead of to help fix crumbling roads and bridges outside of the metro area.2 26% 64% The problem with transportation funding is really how the money is being spent. If State Legislators would just clean up the inefficiencies and bureaucracy in St. Paul, there would be a lot more money to spend on our state's roads, bridges and highways.^ 25% 58% ^Asked of Sample B only; 1Asked inside Metro Area; 2Asked outside Metro Area. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018 31

The rest of the opposition messages: % Very Convincing Total 21% 60% 16% 47% 15% 43% 39% 14% 38% 12% 41% Dedicating all of the motor vehicle sales tax revenue to transportation will result in the loss of hundreds of millions of dollars from the state's general fund which means less money being spent on K‐12 public education, health care for Senior Citizens, and other critical state services.* By passing this Constitutional Amendment, hundreds of millions of dollars would go toward building more highways that are wasteful and harm the environment. The state should invest that money in public transit options near the Twin Cities.1 Dedicating all of the motor vehicle sales tax revenue to transportation will result in the loss of hundreds of millions of dollars from the state's general fund will create a huge budget hole that will give the politicians in St. Paul an excuse to pass a massive tax increase on Minnesota families.^ Too much of the money being spent now on the state's roads, bridges and highways is wasted. The last thing we can do is trust the politicians in St. Paul to spend this new money the right way.* Rather than messing with the State's Constitution, the State Legislature should increase the state gas tax instead of diverting money from the general fund to fix roads.^ This Constitutional Amendment punishes the state's middle class who may need to buy more auto parts than the wealthy who tend to own newer vehicles. Thus, the middle class will be paying the bulk of transportation funding, while wealthy Minnesotans are free riders.* *Asked of Sample A only; ^Asked of Sample B only; 1Asked inside Metro Area. MINNESOTA STATEWIDE – JANUARY 2018

The Money Messages The people get it. They are willing to spend more 75% plus support a “lockbox” for this money. The key messages move the needle. With Voters. Legislators need not fear this vote. WE NEED YOUR HELP. Text “Transportation” to 52886 (do this now).

Questions? www.transportationalliance.com