Defense Wins Championships

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Presentation transcript:

Defense Wins Championships Luke Ivey, Daniel Levine, Riley McCracken

5 Year NFL Offense Stats vs. Super Bowl Champion Defensive Averages Year Avg. Avg. Avg. Avg. Pts Yards Air Ground 2007 21.7 325.2 214.3 110.9 2005 20.6 315.9 203.5 112.5 2003 20.8 318.3 200.4 117.9 2001 20.2 317.6 205.8 111.8 1999 20.8 318.8 212.3 106.5 Super Bowl Defense 17.7 291.99 192.41 99.58

Difference Between Means Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 5 0 20.820 0.246 0.550 20.200 20.400 20.800 Variable Q3 Maximum NFL Avg. Pts. Scored 21.250 21.700 …Remember, the Super Bowl Champion holds their opponent to an average of 17.7 points. If you were to use the standard deviation from the data above, you find that this number is almost six standard deviations below the regular season mean.

Box Plots

Defensive Team Rankings YR Team PA YA PYA RYA AVG Rank Rank Rank Rank Rank 7 NYG 5 5 8 9 6.75 6 IND 7 11 6 24 12.00 5 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 4 PIT 1 1 1 2 1.25 3 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 2 TB 10 9 4 19 10.50 1 NE 8 10 11 15 11.00 0 BLT 3 2 2 3 2.50 99 STL 4 6 20 1 7.75

Comparing Overall Rankings Offense

…vs Defense

Predicting ‘09 Pittsburgh Steelers Arizona Cardinals Points Allowed: 13.9 (1st) Yards Allowed: 237.2 (1st) Pass Yards Alwd: 156.9 (1st) Rush Yards Alwd: 80.2 (2nd) PA: 26.6 (28th) YA: 331.5 (19th) PYA: 221.2 (22nd) RYA: 110.2 (16th)