Optimization II.

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Presentation transcript:

Optimization II

Outline Optimization Extensions Multiperiod Models Network Flow Models Operations Planning: Sailboats Network Flow Models Transportation Model: Beer Distribution Assignment Model: Contract Bidding Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran Most important number: Shadow Price The change in the objective function that would result from a one-unit increase in the right-hand side of a constraint Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sailboat Problem Sailco must determine how many sailboats to produce during each of the next four quarters. At the beginning of the first quarter, Sailco has an inventory of 10 sailboats. Sailco must meet demand on time. The demand during each of the next four quarters is as follows: Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sailboat Problem Assume that sailboats made during a quarter can be used to meet demand for that quarter. During each quarter, Sailco can produce up to 50 sailboats with regular-time employees, at a labor cost of $400 per sailboat. By having employees work overtime during a quarter, Sailco can produce unlimited additional sailboats with overtime labor at a cost of $450 per sailboat. At the end of each quarter (after production has occurred and the current quarter’s demand has been satisfied), a holding cost of $20 per sailboat is incurred. Problem: Determine a production schedule to minimize the sum of production and inventory holding costs during the next four quarters. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Managerial Formulation Decision Variables We need to decide on production quantities, both regular and overtime, for four quarters (eight decisions). Note that on-hand inventory levels at the end of each quarter are also being decided, but those decisions will be implied by the production decisions. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Managerial Formulation Objective Function We’re trying to minimize the total labor cost of production, including both regular and overtime labor. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Managerial Formulation Constraints There is an upper limit on the number of boats built with regular labor in each quarter. No backorders are allowed. This is equivalent to saying that inventory at the end of each quarter must be at least zero. Production quantities must be non-negative. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Managerial Formulation Note that there is also an accounting constraint: Ending Inventory for each period is defined to be: Beginning Inventory + Production – Demand This is not a constraint in the usual Solver sense, but useful to link the quarters together in this multi-period model. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Mathematical Formulation Decision Variables Pij = Production of type i in period j. Let i index labor type; 0 is regular and 1 is overtime. Let j index quarters; 1 through 4 Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Mathematical Formulation Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Mathematical Formulation Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology It is optimal to have 15 boats produced on overtime in the third quarter. All other demand should be met on regular time. Total labor cost will be $76,750. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Investigate changes in the holding cost, and determine if Sailco would ever find it optimal to eliminate all overtime. Make a graph showing optimal overtime costs as a function of the holding cost. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis Conclusions: It is never optimal to completely eliminate overtime. In general, as holding costs increase, Sailco will decide to reduce inventories and therefore produce more boats on overtime. Even if holding costs are reduced to zero, Sailco will need to produce at least 15 boats on overtime. Demand for the first three quarters exceeds the total capacity of regular time production. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Gribbin Brewing Regional brewer Andrew Gribbin distributes kegs of his famous beer through three warehouses in the greater News York City area, with current supplies as shown: Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

On a Thursday morning, he has his usual weekly orders from his four loyal customers, as shown : Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Tracy Chapman, Gribbin’s shipping manager, needs to determine the most cost-efficient plan to deliver beer to these four customers, knowing that the costs per keg are different for each possible combination of warehouse and customer: Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

What is the optimal shipping plan? How much will it cost to fill these four orders? Where does Gribbin have surplus inventory? If Gribbin could have one additional keg at one of the three warehouses, what would be the most beneficial location, in terms of reduced shipping costs? Gribbin has an offer from Lu Leng Felicia, who would like to sublet some of Gribbin’s Brooklyn warehouse space for her tattoo parlor. She only needs 240 square feet, which is equivalent to the area required to store 40 kegs of beer, and has offered Gribbin $0.25 per week per square foot. Is this a good deal for Gribbin? What should Gribbin’s response be to Lu Leng? Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Managerial Problem Formulation Decision Variables Numbers of kegs shipped from each of three warehouses to each of four customers (12 decisions). Objective Minimize total cost. Constraints Each warehouse has limited supply. Each customer has a minimum demand. Kegs can’t be divided; numbers shipped must be integers. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Mathematical Formulation Decision Variables Define Xij = Number of kegs shipped from warehouse i to customer j. Define Cij = Cost per keg to ship from warehouse i to customer j. i = warehouses 1-3, j = customers 1-4 Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Mathematical Formulation Objective Minimize Z = Constraints Define Si = Number of kegs available at warehouse i. Define Dj = Number of kegs ordered by customer j.   Do we need a constraint to ensure that all of the Xij are integers? Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Where does Gribbin have surplus inventory? The only supply constraint that is not binding is the Hoboken constraint. It would appear that Gribbin has 45 extra kegs in Hoboken. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

If Gribbin could have one additional keg at one of the three warehouses, what would be the most beneficial location, in terms of reduced shipping costs? Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

According to the sensitivity report, One more keg in Hoboken is worthless. One more keg in the Bronx would have reduced overall costs by $0.76. One more keg in Brooklyn would have reduced overall costs by $1.82. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Is this a good deal for Gribbin? Gribbin has an offer from Lu Leng Felicia, who would like to sublet some of Gribbin’s Brooklyn warehouse space for her tattoo parlor. She only needs 240 square feet, which is equivalent to the area required to store 40 kegs of beer, and has offered Gribbin $0.25 per week per square foot. Is this a good deal for Gribbin? What should Gribbin’s response be to Lu Leng? Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Assuming that the current situation will continue into the foreseeable future, it would appear that Gribbin could reduce his inventory in Hoboken without losing any money (i.e. the shadow price is zero). However, we need to check the sensitivity report to make sure that the proposed decrease of 40 kegs is within the allowable decrease. This means that he could make a profit by renting space in the Hoboken warehouse to Lu Leng for $0.01 per square foot. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Lu Leng wants space in Brooklyn, but Gribbin would need to charge her more than $1.82 for every six square feet (about $0.303 per square foot), or else he will lose money on the deal. Note that the sensitivity report indicates an allowable decrease in Brooklyn that is enough to accommodate Lu Leng. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

A possible response from Gribbin to Lu Leng: As for the Bronx warehouse, note that the allowable decrease is zero. This means that we would need to re-run the model to find out the total cost of renting Bronx space to Lu Leng. A possible response from Gribbin to Lu Leng: “I can rent you space in Brooklyn, but it will cost you $0.35 per square foot. How do you feel about Hoboken?”   Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Contract Bidding Example A company is taking bids on four construction jobs. Three contractors have placed bids on the jobs. Their bids (in thousands of dollars) are given in the table below. (A dash indicates that the contractor did not bid on the given job.) Contractor 1 can do only one job, but contractors 2 and 3 can each do up to two jobs. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Formulation Decision Variables Which contractor gets which job(s). Objective Minimize the total cost of the four jobs. Constraints Contractor 1 can do no more than one job. Contractors 2 and 3 can do no more than two jobs each. Contractor 2 can’t do job 4. Contractor 3 can’t do job 1. Every job needs one contractor. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Formulation Decision Variables Define Xij to be a binary variable representing the assignment of contractor i to job j. If contractor i ends up doing job j, then Xij = 1. If contractor i does not end up with job j, then Xij = 0. Define Cij to be the cost; i.e. the amount bid by contractor i for job j. Objective Minimize Z = Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Formulation for all j. Constraints for i = 1. for i = 2, 3. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Notice the very large values in cells B4 and E3. These specific values (10,000) aren’t important; the main thing is to assign these particular contractor-job combinations costs so large that they will never be in any optimal solution. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Solution Methodology Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Optimal Solution Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Conclusions The optimal solution is to award Job 4 to Contractor 1, Jobs 1 and 3 to Contractor 2, and Job 2 to Contractor 3. The total cost is $182,000. Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Sensitivity Analysis What is the “cost” of restricting Contractor 1 to only one job? How much more can Contractor 1 bid for Job 4 and still get the job? Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Conclusions The sensitivity report indicates a shadow price of –2 (cell E29). (Allowing Contractor 1 to perform one additional job would reduce the total cost by 2,000.) The allowable increase in the bid for Job 4 by Contractor 1 is 3. (He could have bid any amount up to $43,000 and still have won that job.) Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Network Representation Con. 1 Con. 2 Con. 3 Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4 Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Optimal Solution Con. 1 Con. 2 Con. 3 Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4 44 51 40 47 Job 1 Job 2 Job 3 Job 4 Operations Management -- Prof. Juran

Summary Optimization Extensions Multiperiod Models Network Flow Models Operations Planning: Sailboats Network Flow Models Transportation Model: Beer Distribution Assignment Model: Contract Bidding Operations Management -- Prof. Juran 2