Understanding of volcano-tectonic seismic activity on the example of the Virunga Volcanic Province, DR Congo ECGS Meeting of Directors, EUR-OPA Major Hazards.

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Understanding of volcano-tectonic seismic activity on the example of the Virunga Volcanic Province, DR Congo ECGS Meeting of Directors, EUR-OPA Major Hazards Agreement 6-7 November 2017

Context of the study region Kivu Rift: home to two of most active volcanoes in Africa, Nyiragongo & Nyamulagira Major threat to city of Goma with ∼1 million inhabitants Nyamulagira Nyiragongo Nyiragongo Nyamulagira September 2011 Goma: pop. ∼1 million 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

KivuSNet: a new monitoring tool KivuSNet: broadband seismic network deployed gradually since 2013 At present 17 operational stations Allows for unprecedented scientific insights into the volcano-tectonic characteristics of this region Major contribution to volcanic risk management through improved monitoring capabilities 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Results 2017

Seismicity of nearly 2 years (10/2015–07/2017) Automatic source scanning for event detection and location Modern, cross-correlation based approach (written report) 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Seismicity of nearly 2 years (10/2015–07/2017) Number of events Automatic source scanning for event detection and location Modern, cross-correlation based approach (written report) 33,023 events in total, 30,409 of which are located in volcanic field Tectonic seismicity around Lake Kivu, source region of 2016 Walikale M 4.9 earthquake highlighted Space-time distribution shows several volcanic swarm events Walikale 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Tremor, Seismicity & Degassing SO2 Magma movements can be inferred through combined analysis of variations in long- period seismicity (tremor, LP events) and SO2 degassing Long-term time series of total daily SO2 mass in the Virunga using the space instrument OMI (Theys et al., JGR Atmo., 2015) Tremor (Example: January 2015) 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Seismic velocity model for better location Seismic velocity model crucial for appropriate earthquake location and magnitude estimation No dedicated model existed thus far for this region We use 107 well-recorded events to derive a calibrated 1D velocity model Relocation of all catalogue events with new model 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Seismic velocity model for better location Find best 1D model with additional station corrections (stations slower or faster than average model) Stations in volcanic field are slower (expected for volcanic rocks & presence of fluids) Article planned for submission in Frontiers in Earth Sciences 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Planned work for 2018

Focus on Luxembourg WLF KLB VIA WILW LBB04 PNBR LBB01 LBB08 LBB02 WMG Luxembourg: low seismicity region, but small-magnitude natural and anthropogenic activity not yet well studied due to lack of network until recently Over the past few years, development of a broadband network of 10 stations (4 temporary, 6 permanent thus far) Will apply expertise and techniques developed in strongly active Kivu region to characterize small-scale seismic activity 6-7 November 2017 ECGS

Focus on Luxembourg Started implementing some routines already Example: M1.1 event on Luxembourgish-German border Will be made systematic and automatized in the 2018 work programme Expected result: catalogue of small-magnitude natural & anthropogenic seismicity 6-7 November 2017 ECGS