Assessing Transition of Security Operations in Afghanistan Status Report 25 February 2010

Agenda Problem Description System Requirements System Design Diagrams Value Structure Earned Value Management

Problem Description Deputy Director, Force Integration and Training (CJ7) / CSTC-A defined five lines of operation (LOOs) that support the goal of transferring security operations Accelerate ANSF growth Achieve security for the Afghan population Marginalize malign actors Achieve legitimate, responsive, and accountable governance Facilitate community development Develop metrics and an accompanying decision support tool to measure progress against the five LOOs Stakeholders Force Integration and Training cell of NTM-A/CSTC-A (sponsor) NTM-A/CSTC-A Coalition military leadership U.S. government leadership

System Requirements General Requirements Functional Requirements Data Processing Station Input Functional Requirements Primary System Functions Input Station Data

System Analysis Diagram

Functional Decomposition

Functional Architecture

Transition Assessment Value Structure (1 of 5) Transition Assessment Accelerate Growth of ANSF Force Size Training Capability Number of Units Fielded Average Assigned Strength Availability of Equipment Weapons Communication Equipment Vehicles Unit Facilities Training and Leadership Unit Rating Leader to Soldier Ratio Advanced Training Staff Training ETT Availability Confidence Assigned to NATO Partner Present for Duty Win/Lose Ratio Kill Rates Engagements Access to Combat Multipliers Access to MEDEVAC Access to Fire Support Access to Intelligence Access to Supplies Ministry and HQ Capability Force Management Acquisition Operations Training Plan and Goals Force Sustainment Force Development Resource Management Security for Afghan People Marginalize Malign Actors Accountable Governance Community Development

Transition Assessment Value Structure (2 of 5) Transition Assessment Accelerate Growth of ANSF Security for Afghan People Economic Indicators Price of Exotic Foods New Business Formations New Construction Capital Flight Kinetic Indicators % of Security Forces Affected by Insurgency ISAF+ANSF KIA Voluntary Reporting Afghan-on-Afghan Violence Assassination and Kidnapping Rate Wound/Capture vs. Kill Rate Marginalize Malign Actors Accountable Governance Community Development

Transition Assessment Value Structure (3 of 5) Transition Assessment Accelerate Growth of ANSF Security for Afghan People Marginalize Malign Actors # Districts w/ Functioning Governance Officials Sleep in District Detainee Guilt Ratio Captured Insurgent Health Religious Leaders’ Attitude Media Access to Internet #Shadow Governments Accountable Governance Community Development

Value Structure (4 of 5)

Value Structure (5 of 5)

Project Website http://mason.gmu.edu/~dugarte/index.html

Earned Value Management

Cost Index

Questions?