Preliminary Analysis Sam Lim
Exxon-Mobil 871,640 observations 2264 days from Dec 21, 1999 to Jan 7, 2009
Chevron Corporation Intraday Split 694,540 observations 1804 days from Oct 10, 2001 to Jan 7, 2009
XOM – Volatility Signature Plot
CVX – Volatility Signature Plot
Wells Fargo
Pepsi
Apple
XOM – Daily Realized Volatility
CVX – Daily Realized Volatility
XOM – Daily Bipower Variation
CVX – Daily Bipower Variation
XOM – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level October 10, 2008 Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.03%, 1% level – 1.28%, .1% level - .80%
CVX – Jump Test Results Red Line is at the 99.9% significance level Jumps Detected at: 95% level – 2.44%, 1% level – 1.55%, .1% level – 1.05%
XOM – Jump Test Results, Axes Set
CVX – Jump Test Results, Axes Set
Question Idiosyncratic Jumps? Industry Specific Jumps? Plotted 2002 Jump Test Results
Exxon-Mobil
Chevron Corporation
Pepsi
Coca-Cola
Bank of America
Goldman Sachs
JP Morgan
Pfizer
Johnson and Johnson
Further Research Expand scope Systematic approach? Look at qualitative data to find reasons behind jumps