The Theory of Change Carwyn Gravell, Julie Muir, Andy Logan, Andy Williams, Ian Barnett 9th May 2018

Forward today 410 employees – 34% with lived experience Working in 18 prisons and 10 community hubs 16,000 service users across England “I completed the programme in 2008 at HMP Send and was released in 2014. Since then, I’ve opened my own business and become a mother. Forward has given me more opportunities than I ever could have imagines and they are still here for me, still supporting me”. Former Forward client

Our Theory of Change Enablers Belief in change - For anyone, whatever their past Peer role models - Living proof that change is possible Clear progression pathways - Incremental steps towards lasting change Networks of support - Providing positive encouragement and affirmation

Drug & alcohol recovery The problem “I never thought it would be possible to change my ways of crime and addiction. But I now live free from drugs, alcohol and crime in a beautiful flat, with a full time job and a girlfriend. I feel so positive about my future”. Former Forward client Reoffending costs the public £15 billion each year 55% of prisoners have committed crimes related to drug use 76% of ex-offenders with addiction problems re-offend within 1 year Our reach & impact 65% reduction in the volume of crime 15,000 clients seen every year 18% lower re-offending rate

Health & wellbeing The problem Our reach & impact “Because of the meditation and things I’ve learnt, like the breathing technique, helps in managing the negative thoughts and feelings”. Former Forward client 71% of prison clients present with mental health symptoms Substance dependent offenders with depression are 9% more likely to re-offend A prisoner commits suicide every 3 days Our reach & impact 50% reduction in severity of symptoms of depression 25% reduction in severity of symptoms of anxiety Range of new interventions delivered in prison including IAPT

Connections The problem Our reach & impact “I can’t believe how much the family service has helped me. It’s given me the tools I need to stay strong, as well as to support my husband in his recovery”. Former Forward client 40% of prisoners say support from family would stop re-offending Only 1 in 3 prisoners are supported to maintain family ties 88,000 children have a parent in prison. Our reach & impact Prisoners who receive family visits are 39% less likely to re-offend We now support over 3,000 clients to improve their relationships

Employment services The problem Our achievements “Being at Blue Sky helped my become more confident and made it easier to integrate back into society and support my growing family.” Former Forward client Ex offenders and people in recovery are the two groups organisations are least likely to employ 15% of prisoners have never worked legally 75% of prisoners have no job on release Our achievements 2,000 ex-offenders and people in recovery employed 43% move directly into permanent jobs 23% reduction in re-offending

Our achievements 2,000 ex-offenders and people in recovery employed 43% move directly into permanent jobs 23% reduction in re-offending

Our Theory of Change

Our Theory of Change

The Theory of Change Expert Panel