ASSESS Initiative Update Analysis, Simulation and Systems Engineering Software Strategies

Understanding the Simulation Revolution

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Failure Analysis This is where simulation begins Understanding “why it failed” Run by a few “experts” Dominated by test vs analysis comparisons

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Design Validation Checking before it fails The dawn of Virtual Prototyping Broader use of simulation

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Design Decision Support Why not use simulation to make better design decisions Why not ask designers to run simulations

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Design Drivers Simulation Driven Design Simulation making design decisions

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Systems Engineering Driven by growth of embedded software Heavily used in EDA world Design drivers extended to systems

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Engineering Simulation Market Continues to grow and is over $ 5 Bn annually But growth rate is slowing to ~ 8.5% Data courtesy of Cambashi CAE Observatory

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Growth of the Engineering Simulation market is tempered due to lack of expertise available Engineering Simulation is still done primarily by specialized Analysts

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Business Drivers are going to force a “revolution” to overcome the expertise based limitation Engineering Simulation will be forced to find a way A Simulation Revolution will occur

Understanding the Simulation Revolution A Simulation Revolution is occurring: “Model-Based” “Fit for purpose” “Integrated” “Smart” “Transparent” / “Invisible” “Generative” “Digital Twin” CULTURE CHANGE

Bob Tickel’s ASSESS 2017 Congress Keynote illustrated estimated spend on Engineering Simulation at Cummins is very similar to ASSESS demand curve. Biggest growth in the next two decades is expected to be in Systems Engineering “Democratization” - New Tools, Methods and Skills (MDO, MBSE, etc.) Automation, Knowledge Management & Reduced Rework

Understanding the Simulation Revolution The Simulation Revolution is about making Engineering Simulation widely available & appropriate to support improved decision making throughout the entire life-cycle of engineered products and processes

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Approaches Increased emphasis on Model Based Systems Engineering Increased emphasis on purpose built applications Leveraging less accurate near real time approaches Leveraging simulation knowledge capture & reuse Generative Design Digital Twins

Understanding the Simulation Revolution Engineering Simulation is a key enabler to Increased Innovation & Increased Competitiveness

The ASSESS Initiative

The ASSESS Initiative The ASSESS Initiative was formed to bring together key players to guide and influence strategies for software tools for model-based analysis, simulation, and systems engineering.

The ASSESS Vision The ASSESS Initiative “To significantly expand the use and benefit of software tools for model-based analysis, simulation, and systems engineering in the engineering applications domain.”

ASSESS Initiative ASSESS is a broad reaching multi-industry initiative which will interact and collaborate with multiple activities and organizations across the complete spectrum of model-based analysis, simulation and systems engineering including NAFEMS and INCOSE.

ASSESS Initiative Defined 6 key Themes to support the Engineering Simulation revolution Alignment of Commercial, Research and Government Efforts Business Challenges Democratization of Engineering Simulation Engineering Simulation Credibility Generative Design Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations Why is it so hard? History CAE tools developed discipline based Existing Assets Mental Models different discipline create different level of input output and different level of mathematical representations and different characteristics / behavior Data sets not consistent Coupling can introduce error states Sub models are usually built by different suppliers in different mathematical models and fidelity Knowledge and key parameters are not shared across models

Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations What are the major Issues “SILOS” of understanding Lack of a common understanding that makes it possible to understand different silos from a common point of view. Existing standardization efforts (e.g. FMI) are good, but very far from complete Lack of funding / focus / momentum

Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations ASSESS Systems Theme Goals Explore and explain the various different models used and their characteristics related to integration (e.g. parametric or instance based, run times, sizes, assumptions, …) Establish a common understanding, language and terminology for models and simulations across all levels of fidelity and physics Explore improving the understanding of what models should be used, and when and how they should interact

Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations ASSESS Systems Theme Goals Define an understanding of current and future methodologies for integration of the full range of physics performance models from systems to detailed components. Establish consistent expectations between end users and software vendors Develop an applicability and maturity model for different approaches through description and example use cases

ASSESS in Action

ASSESS in Action ASSESS Advisory Committee established 63 thought leaders Working Groups established One for each ASSESS Theme Marketing & Outreach

ASSESS in Action ASSESS 2017 Congress (November 2017, Potomac, MD) “Understanding the Simulation Revolution” 80 industry leading participants 2 Keynote presentations 8 Technology Briefings 8 Working Groups each with a particular ASSESS related theme Democratization of Engineering Simulation Engineering Simulation Confidence / Governance Business Challenges Aligning Commercial, Government and Research Efforts Potential Game Changers Looking Forward Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-Systems Simulations

ASSESS in Action ASSESS 2018 Congress (October 2018, Chateau Elan) “Launching the Simulation Revolution” Targeting 115 industry leading participants 2 Keynote presentations 10 Notes from the Front Briefings 12 Working Session each with a particular ASSESS related theme question Alignment of Commercial, Research and Government Efforts Business Challenges Democratization of Engineering Simulation Engineering Simulation Credibility Generative Design Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

ASSESS in Action Membership Program Launched January 2018 Access to all ASSESS initiative “deliverable documents” at no charge, including: Research Papers as available Survey research Others as appropriate Access to ASSESS Theme status and update reports Working Group Notes Congress Working Session Notes Access to previous ASSESS Congress presentations Access to ASSESS Members Only LinkedIn Group ASSESS Members Only newsletter

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