Load Forecast and Base Case Development

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Load Forecast and Base Case Development

Load Forecast and Base Case Development To add a photo go to Insert on the task bar, click picture, select photo from file and insert. Photos should be sized no larger than the example on the slide.

Load Forecast and Base Case Development

Load Forecast and Base Case Development

Load Forecast and Base Case Development

Substation Transformer Loading (STL) Program Load Forecast and Base Case Development Substation Transformer Loading (STL) Program Data repository Monthly actual peaks/energy Load projections Growth rates

Populating the database Load Forecast and Base Case Development Populating the database STL Non-coincident values Forecast data “Fitting” the load Conforming vs. Non-conforming ‘Scrunch’ factor

Load level assumptions (e.g., System load) Load Forecast and Base Case Development Load level assumptions (e.g., System load) (SUM / WIN) Historical 1-in-2 (2018 = 1696 / 1658 MW) Proposed 1-in-10 (2018 = 1731 / 1695 MW) Scenarios: 1-in-20 (2018 = 1742 / 1706 MW) 1-in-50 (2018 = 1752 / 1718 MW)