Systemwatch in NHS Lothian Andrew Jackson Strategic Planning

What we did, how we did and what we’ll do now next time…. Systemwatch for medium term forecasts The Results The Learning

Systemwatch

What We Did Reflect on current plans Identify shortfalls Address them Extra Bed capacity Bed Alternatives Alternatives to Admission Discharge schemes

Revised Position Reached the holy grail of 140 …for January peak

What could possibly go wrong….

What We Learnt… Systemwatch promoted the realistic view on what was going to happen 148 actual v 140 projection But add local intelligence as well Timing? Adequate account of 4 hour standard? Elective phasing? Flu?

What we’re doing now (4 hours)

What we’re doing now (Electives) Inpatients over 15 weeks (04/08=100)

What we’re doing now (Flu)