Northern States Power Companies (NSP-MN & NSP-WI)

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Presentation transcript:

Northern States Power Companies (NSP-MN & NSP-WI) Transmission Customer Meeting June 29, 2017 Rate Discussion: Attachment O Actual Costs 2016

Legal Disclosure This document contains certain statements that describe the NSP Companies management’s beliefs concerning future business conditions and prospects, growth opportunities and the outlook for the electric transmission industry based upon information currently available. Such statements are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Wherever possible, NSP Companies have identified these forward-looking statements by words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “intends”, “estimates”, “expects”, “projects” and similar phrases. These forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions management believes are reasonable. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results, performance and achievements to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these statements.

Meeting Purpose / Objective The purpose of today’s meeting is to: Comply with the Formula Rate Protocol requiring a Customer Meeting to discuss the Actual 2016 Attachment O Cost Information Present the 2016 True-Up calculation that will be included in the development of the projected rates that will be effective January 1 through December 31, 2018, and Recap the 2016 Actual Attachment O cost information relative to the budget information upon which the 2016 Attachment O rates were based. The dates and schedules, and even the projects themselves, represent our best estimates for projects to be initiated and completed. Please be aware that many factors could alter those schedules, including regulatory approvals, construction resources, availability of materials, weather, and other unforeseen events.

Attachment O Actual 2016 Revenue Requirement Submitted to MISO and posted to OASIS on June 1, 2017 MISO is still performing their review on this submission The 2016 True-Up plus interest will be included in the development of the 2018 Attachment O Annual Transmission Revenue Requirement (ATRR) and rates The information currently on OASIS is incorporated in this presentation.

Attachment O Actual 2016 Revenue Requirement Unique for 2016: Change in ROE that occurred on September 28, 2016 True-up calculation is a combination of revenue requirements at both 12.38% ROE Jan 1 to Sept 27, and 10.82% ROE Sept 28 to Dec 31, 2016 Monthly revenue data was used to pro-rate the revenue requirements 77.83% at 12.38% ROE 22.17% at 10.82% ROE

Attachment O 2016 True-Up Recap Based upon total blended Revenue Requirements Actual 2016 Budget 2016 Difference Net Revenue Requirement $379.6M $395.7M $(16.1M) A Projected Year Divisor True-Up Divisor 7.241M 7.253M (0.012M) Annual Cost ($/KW/Yr) * $52.433 $54.562 (2.129) Divisor True-Up * (Divisor Difference x Budget Rate) $ (0.7M) B Total True-Up (Revenue Requirement & Divisor True-Up) $(15.4M) (A – B) * Actual calculation performed on whole numbers

Comparison of 2016 True-Up to Prior Years Test Year Rev Req Divisor Total (A) (B) (A-B) 2016 True-Up $(16.1M) $ (0.7M) $(15.4M) 2015 True-Up $(34.5M) $(15.2M) $(19.3M) 2014 True-Up $(18.9M) $(10.0M) $ (8.9M) 2013 True-Up $(16.8M) $ 7.7M $(24.5M) 2012 True-Up $(12.3M) $ (3.2M) $ (9.1M) 2011 True-Up $ 4.3M $ (1.4M) $ 5.7M 2010 True-Up $ 20.6M $ (0.5M) $ 21.1M

Comparison of 2016 Budget Revenue Requirement to 2016 Actual Revenue Requirement Budgeted Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $395.7M Cost Deviations for 2016: Under run in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Lower Return Requirement $ (10.7M) Higher Revenue Credits $ (2.4M) Lower Attachment GG & MM Credits $ 3.9M Actual Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $379.6M

Comparison of 2016 Budget Revenue Requirement to 2016 Actual Revenue Requirement Budgeted Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $395.7M Cost Deviations for 2016: Under run in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Lower Return Requirement $ (10.7M) Higher Revenue Credits $ (2.4M) Lower Attachment GG & MM Credits $ 3.9M Actual Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $379.6M

Change in Operating Costs Detail Budgeted Operating Costs in 2016 Rate $335.2M Higher O&M costs (Transmission and A&G) $ 4.1M Lower depreciation expense $ (1.4M) Lower incurred taxes other than income $ (5.0M) Lower income taxes $ (4.6M) Net Decrease in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Actual Operating costs for 2016 $328.3M

Comparison of 2016 Budget Revenue Requirement to 2016 Actual Revenue Requirement Budgeted Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $395.7M Cost Deviations for 2016: Under run in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Lower Return Requirement $ (10.7M) Higher Revenue Credits $ (2.4M) Lower Attachment GG & MM Credits $ 3.9M Actual Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $379.6M

Annual Revenue Requirement Determination Function of: Rate Base x Weighted Cost of Capital

Change in Rate Base Total Budgeted Rate Base – 2016 $2,619.5M Lower Average Net plant in service $ (60.7M) Higher Average CWIP $ 4.1M Lower accumulated deferred taxes $ 19.1M (deducted from rate base) Decrease in other working capital $ (5.2M) Net Decrease in rate base $ (80.9M) Total Actual Rate Base – 2016 $2,538.6M

Blended ROE Calculation 2016A 2016B Cost Weight Equity Ratio Wtg Cost Equity Ratio Wtg Cost (A) (B) (C) (A)*(B)*(C) (D) (A)*(B)*(D) ROE 12.38% 77.83% 52.55% 5.06% 53.03 5.11% ROE 10.82% 22.17% 52.55% 1.26% 53.03 1.27% 6.32% 6.38% Rate changed effective September 28, 2016 per FERC Opinion 551 in Docket EL14-12

Change in Cost of Capital Weighted Cost of Capital 2016A 2016B D/E Ratio Cost * D/E Ratio Cost * LTD 47.45% 2.18% 46.97% 2.27% Equity 52.55% 6.32% 53.03% 6.38% 8.50% 8.65% * Actual calculation performed on whole numbers

Reconciliation of Change in Return for 2016 Change in Rate Base* $(80.9M) x 8.50% $ (6.9M) PY Rate base x decrease in WCC* $2,619.5M x (0.15)% $ (3.8M) Net change in return $(10.7M) Overall lower Return was a function of lower Rate Base and the decrease in Weighted Cost of Capital * Actual calculation performed on whole numbers

Comparison of 2016 Budget Revenue Requirement to 2016 Actual Revenue Requirement Budgeted Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $395.7M Cost Deviations for 2016: Under run in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Lower Return Requirement $ (10.7M) Higher Revenue Credits $ (2.4M) Lower Attachment GG & MM Credits $ 3.9M Actual Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $379.6M

(Other revenue received that offsets total revenue requirement) Change in Net Revenue Credits (Other revenue received that offsets total revenue requirement) Estimated Revenue Credits in 2016 Rate $ (9.9M) Actual Revenue Credits in 2016 $(12.3M) Difference which decreased 2016 Revenue Req $ (2.4M) Components of Revenue Credits: Rental Revenues higher than budget $1.3M Point to Point usage higher than budget $1.1M $2.4M

Comparison of 2016 Budget Revenue Requirement to 2016 Actual Revenue Requirement Budgeted Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $395.7M Cost Deviations for 2016: Under run in Operating Costs $ (6.9M) Lower Return Requirement $ (10.7M) Higher Revenue Credits $ (2.4M) Lower Attachment GG & MM Credits $ 3.9M Actual Net 2016 Revenue Requirement $324.7M

Components of Attachment GG & MM Attachment GG Attachment MM Rev Req Budget for 2016 $ 89.3M $ 62.0M Operating expenses (1) $ 0.6M $ 0.6M Depreciation expense $ (0.2M) $ 0.5M Taxes other $ (0.7M) $ (0.5M) Income taxes $ (0.9M) $ (0.4M) Return $ (2.0M) $ (0.9M) Rev Req Actual 2016 $ 86.1M $61.3M Lower 2016 Actual $ 3.2M $ 0.7M $ 3.9M Attachment GG & MM revenue requirements are deducted from Attachment O, lower credits increase Attachment O Requirements (1) Includes Common & General depreciation calculation

Principal Rate Analyst Questions? Contacts: Carolyn M Wetterlin Sr. RTO Manager 612-330-6599 Thomas E Kramer Principal Rate Analyst 612-330-5866