Statistics Process Control

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Presentation transcript:

Statistics Process Control https://www.123rf.com/photo_6622261_statistics-and-analysis-of-data-as-background.html

Process Control Objective to learn how to construct and interpret control charts used to monitor changing characteristics of data over time

Process Control These are used by businesses trying to improve the quality of their goods and services

Process Control Process data are arranged according to time sequence They measure characteristics of goods or services resulting from equipment, people, materials, methods, and other business conditions Process data typically change over time

Process Control Control charts allow us to monitor data over time These charts allow us to determine whether some process is statistically stable (or within statistical control)

Process Control Definition A control chart is a sequential plot of individual data values over time The vertical axis is used for the data values The horizontal axis is used for the time sequence

Process Control Example: Control Chart of Earth’s Temperatures Decade 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1880s 13.88 14.00 13.96 13.59 13.77 13.75 13.55 14.04 1890s 13.78 13.44 13.60 13.61 13.68 13.73 13.85 13.79 13.76 1900s 13.95 13.70 13.64 13.58 13.69 1910s 13.74 13.67 13.72 13.98 14.06 13.80 13.54 13.91 1920s 13.84 13.89 14.12 14.15 1930s 13.97 14.03 14.05 13.92 14.01 1940s 14.14 14.11 14.10 13.99 1950s 13.83 13.82 14.08 1960s 13.65 13.93 1970s 13.90 14.18 13.94 14.16 14.07 14.13 1980s 14.27 14.40 14.34 14.19 14.35 14.42 14.28 1990s 14.49 14.44 14.31 14.47 14.36 14.71 2000s 14.41 14.56 14.70 14.64 14.60 14.77 14.66 14.68

Process Control

Process Control A process is statistically stable (or within statistical control) if it has natural variation, with no patterns, cycles, or any unusual points

Process Control Only when a process is statistically stable can we assume the population has a constant mean, standard deviation, distribution, and other characteristics

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is an upward trend Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is an upward trend

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is a downward trend Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is a downward trend

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is an upward shift Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is an upward shift

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is a downward shift Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is a downward shift

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

The process is stable except for one exceptionally high value Process Control PROJECT QUESTION The process is stable except for one exceptionally high value

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is one exceptionally low value Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is one exceptionally low value

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

There is a cyclical pattern (repeating cycle) Process Control PROJECT QUESTION There is a cyclical pattern (repeating cycle)

How is this not stable? Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Processes That Are Not Statistically Stable How is this not stable?

The variation is increasing over time Process Control PROJECT QUESTION The variation is increasing over time

Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Is it stable?

Process Control The goal of quality control is to: reduce variation in a product or a service

Process Control Random variation is due to chance; it is inherent in any process – it would be impossible to produce every good or service exactly the same way every time

Process Control Assignable variation results from causes that can be identified (such as defective machinery, untrained employees, and so on)

Process Control A control chart of a process characteristic consists of values plotted sequentially over time, and it includes a center line as well as a lower control limit (LCL) and an upper control limit (UCL)

Process Control When IS a Process Out of Statistical Control? 1. There is a pattern, trend, or cycle that is obviously not random

Process Control When IS a Process Out of Statistical Control? 2. Run of 8 Rule: There are eight consecutive points all above or all below the center line

Process Control When IS a Process Out of Statistical Control? 3. There is a point lying beyond the upper or lower control limits

Is there is a pattern, trend, or cycle that is obviously not random? Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Is there is a pattern, trend, or cycle that is obviously not random?

Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Run of 8 Rule: Are there eight consecutive points all above or all below the center line?

Is there is a point lying beyond the upper or lower control limits? Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Is there is a point lying beyond the upper or lower control limits?

Is this process in control? Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Is this process in control?

Applying the three criteria: There IS an obvious trend Process Control PROJECT QUESTION Applying the three criteria: There IS an obvious trend There are eight consecutive points all above or all below the centerline Points lie outside of the region between the upper and lower control limits

Process Control We conclude that this process is not within statistical control

Questions?