Cost Sharing Under Part D: Impact on Beneficiaries with the Standard Benefit Bruce Stuart, PhD Director, Peter Lamy Center on Drug Therapy and Aging University of Maryland Baltimore Invitational Summit for State Policy Makers Medicare Part D Implementation Issues Philadelphia, October 8, 2004
Why States Should be Concerned about Beneficiaries with the Standard Benefit Part D low income subsidies Full-benefit dual eligibles or <135% FPL and meets MMA asset tests (no premium, small copays) 136% -150% FPL and meets asset tests (phased out subsidy) Who won’t qualify for the subsidies… > 150% of the FPL (varies by household size) < 150% of FPL but fails to sign up or fails asset tests
Assessing the Impact of Gaps in the Part D Standard Benefit Given the cost sharing features of the standard benefit… What is the relationship between drug spending and the generosity of the Part D benefit? How persistent is drug spending over time? How will beneficiaries respond to benefit gaps in the face of persistent need for medication therapy?
Coverage Gaps under the Part D Standard Benefit in 2006 Annual Drug Spending Months in Coverage Gap (assuming steady spending) % of Total Annual Drug Spending Paid Out of Pocket $1,000 3.0 44 $2,000 1.5 34 $3,000 4.0 50 $4,000 6.0 63 $5,000 7.2 70 $6,000 6.2 61 $7,000 5.3 53
Riding the Part D Rollercoaster Research shows that drug spending is highly persistent Beneficiaries hit with high cost sharing in one year are likely to be hit year after year Our study projected Rx spending to 2006-2008 for 3 groups of beneficiaries: Typical Part D enrollee (>150% FPL, without stable Rx coverage from an employer or a public program) with average drug spending Typical Part D enrollee with Rx spending above $2,250 Typical Part D enrollee with Rx spending above $5,100
Estimated Drug Spending (2006-2008) for Typical Enrollee with Average Spending in 2006 Year Mean Annual Total Prescription Drug Spending % Out-of-Pocket (OOP) Drug Spending 2006 $2,608 42% 2007 $2,880 46% 2008 $3,230
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending $250 deductible
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending $25% coinsurance
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending hits donut hole
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending $275 deductible
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending 25% coinsurance
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending hits donut hole
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending $300 deductible
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending 25% coinsurance
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Enrollee with Average Spending hits donut hole
Estimated Drug Spending (2006-2008) for Typical “High Spender” in 2006 (38% of enrollees with >$2,250 in 2006) Year Mean Annual Total Prescription Drug Spending % Out-of-Pocket (OOP) Drug Spending 2006 $5,534 65% 2007 $5,289 69% 2008 $5,562 67%
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “High Spender” note change in scale
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “High Spender” enters donut hole
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “High Spender” passes catastrophic threshold
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “High Spender” higher OOP spending due to rise in catastrophic threshold
Estimated Drug Spending (2006-2008) for Typical “Catastrophic Spender” in 2006 (14% of enrollees with >$5,100 in 2006) Year Mean Annual Total Prescription Drug Spending % Out-of-Pocket (OOP) Drug Spending 2006 $9,106 42% 2007 $7,663 53% 2008 $7,328 60%
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “Catastrophic Spender” note change in scale
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “Catastrophic Spender” enters donut hole
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “Catastrophic Spender” passes catastrophic threshold
Estimated Quarterly OOP Drug Spending for Typical “Catastrophic Spender” higher OOP spending due to rise in catastrophic threshold
How Will Beneficiaries React to Multiple Benefit Gaps of Varying Duration? Research shows that beneficiaries will cut back on drug use Cut-backs are proportional to level of spending (higher spending = greater cutbacks) Beneficiaries with certain chronic conditions will cut back more
Estimated Impact of Drug Benefit Gaps on Drug Use by Beneficiaries with Selected Diseases (Impact relative to no gap and 25% coinsurance) Gap in months Average beneficiary Diabetes COPD Mental Illness 1 -2% -3% -4% 2 -6% -8% -9% 3 -12% -13% 4 -11% -16% -17% 5 -10% -14% -21% 6 -25% -26% 7 -20% -29% -30%
Implications for the States States need to consider the needs of vulnerable Medicare beneficiaries ineligible for subsidized prescription coverage under Part D. Risk factors are: Annual drug spending deep in the donut hole (e.g. >$4,000) Chronic illness (e.g., diabetes, COPD, mental disorders) Poor with modest assets Near poor (e.g., 150%-250% FPL)