Residential Mortgage Types and Borrower Decisions

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Presentation transcript:

Residential Mortgage Types and Borrower Decisions Chapter 10: Residential Mortgage Types and Borrower Decisions Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Mortgage Types and Borrower Decisions: Overview Role of the secondary market Mortgage types: Conventional mortgages FHA mortgages VA mortgages Home equity Loans Other Role of mortgage insurance Mortgage decisions Mortgage choice Amount of leverage (loan size) Refinancing Default Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Primary Mortgage Market Where loans are created (originated) Retail or street market Players Mortgage bankers Mortgage brokers Banks Thrifts On-line lenders (Quicken, Lendingtree, etc.) Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Secondary Mortgage Market Where existing home loans are resold Wholesale market among lenders Importance of loan securitization Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA or “Ginnie Mae”) Wholesale mortgage bankers Other loan securitizers Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Conventional Mortgage Loans Oldest form Any standard home mortgage loan not insured by FHA or guaranteed by Department of Veterans Affairs Revolutionized in 1940s by private mortgage insurance Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

The Language of Conventional Mortgage Loans Conforming conventional home loan: Meets the requirements for purchase by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae: Standard note Standard mortgage Standard appraisal Size limit: Currently $424,100 in 2017(higher for high cost areas) Interest rate advantage due to liquidity (at least .25%, over 1.00 percent during Great Recession) Nonconforming loan: Does not meet GSE requirements in some respect Jumbo: Nonconforming in size Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) Protects lender against losses due to default Generally required for loans over 80% of value Protects lender for losses up to 25% - 35% of loan Example terms: 2.5 percent of loan in single up-front premium No up-front premium and 0.5 percent annual premium (0.041 per month) See MGIC website for variation in PMI programs and terms: http://www.mgic.com/rates/index.html Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Private Mortgage Insurance (continued) Insurer may allow termination if: Loan falls below 80% of current value And borrower is in good standing Must allow termination when: loan falls to 80% of original value (Homeowner’s Insurance Act of 1999) Must terminate when: loan falls to 78% of original value Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Private Mortgage Insurance: Example House price: $200,000 Loan amount: $190,000 PMI, insuring “top 30%”: First $57,000 in losses Borrower pays down loan to $188,000 Defaults: Foreclosure sale at $180,000 (net proceeds) Lender’s loss: $188,000 – $180,000 = $8,000 With loss less than $57,000, PMI covers it completely Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

FHA Mortgages (Federal Housing Administration) Goals of the National Housing Act of 1949: Decent home and suitable living environment Implemented mainly through mortgage markets More efficient Allows government agencies to concentrate on extreme needs Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

FHA Mortgages (Federal Housing Administration) FHA is strictly a loan insurance program Loans are from private lenders Set the precedent for private mortgage insurance (PMI) Through 2013 had never needed government funding: In Sept. 2013 $1.7B transferred to FHA insurance fund. Fees (January 2017): Front-end premium (UFMIP): 1.75 percent Annual MPI: 0.45 pct – 0.85 pct. For loans under $625,500, depending on loan-to-value and maturity. Loan covers UFMIP but not closing costs. Base loan limit: $271,050; (Florida: $271,050 - $442,500, except for Florida Keys) FHA Loan Limits Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

How FHA Insurance Works Insures 100% of loan After foreclosure, title is transferred to Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

FHA Insurance Many FHA insurance programs Importance of FHA 203b: Standard LPM insurance 245: Insurance for graduated payment mortgages ARM insurance (“1 and 3” caps required) 203k Rehab program for single family houses Home equity conversion mortgage (HECM) Importance of FHA Created the level payment mortgage Influenced housing and subdivision standards Continues to innovate: HECM program Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

FHA Loan Example House price: $203,000 Appraised value: $200,000 Non-FHA closing costs: $5,000 Implies “maximum” loan: $193,000 (200,000 x .965) UFMIP: 0.0175 x $193,000 = $3,377.50 Total loan: $193,000 + $3,377.50 = $196,377.50 Actual down payment: $203,000 – 193,000 = $10,000 Cash required: $5,000 + $10,000 = $15,000 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Veterans Affairs Guarantees Limited to qualified veterans of military service. Maximum guarantee: One-fourth of the GSE loan limit. Loan can be up to 100% of value Fee is based on loan-to-value ratio and service status: 1.5 percent to 2.4 percent. Loan covers funding fee, but not closing costs Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Other Mortgage Types Purchase money mortgage: Mortgage given by a property buyer simultaneous with receipt of title Among real estate brokers: refers to a second mortgage loan from a seller to reduce the buyer’s down payment Amounts to installment payments with interest Among government agencies: any loan that finances a purchase Piggyback loan: A second mortgage paired with an underlying 1st mortgage to keep the 1st below 80 percent LTV, thus avoiding required mortgage insurance. Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Other Mortgage Types: Home Equity Loans Some home equity loans are closed-end, fixed-term loans Mostly open-end or line-of-credit loans (HELOC) Tax deductible interest Strength of the house as security provides favorable rate and longer term Usually limited to total mortgage debt (sum of all mortgage loans) of 75% to 80% of value Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Other Mortgage Types: Reverse Mortgage Many older households are income constrained Over 80% own their home Most have little or no mortgage debt Most do not want to sell Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

How the Reverse Mortgage Works Converts home equity to income without requiring borrower to move Requires no payment Regular annuity disbursement Lump sum disbursement Credit line Mortality risk: Risk that loan will grow beyond value of mortgaged property FHA’s HECM program and private insurance protect lender No foreclosure Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Traditional Mortgage $ $ $ Building equity through amortization Time  Principal payments reduce loan balance Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Liquidating equity through regular disbursements Reverse Mortgage Liquidating equity through regular disbursements $ $ $ Time  Periodic loan draws plus accruing interest increase the loan, and reduce the owner’s equity. Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Reverse (HECM) Loans Insured by FHA Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Recent Mortgage Forms Interest-only Mortgage I-O with balloon has interest-only payments for five to seven years, ending with a full repayment of principal. I-O amortizing has interest-only payments for up to fifteen years, then converts to a fully amortizing payment for the remainder of the term. Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Recent Mortgage Forms: Hybrid ARM Interest rate is fixed for some years, then becomes adjustable Payment is set to be fully amortizing Fixed rate period ranges from two to ten years Fixed rate is higher as its term is longer Successfully blends Need of borrowers for predictable payments Need of lenders for market level interest rates Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Recent Mortgage Forms: Hybrid ARM Inherently superior design: Blends borrower’s need for predictable payments with lender’s need for market interest rate. Allows a rate between fixed and ARM rate. Became infamous in sub-prime lending due to abuses. Under Dodd-Frank, has become the primary form of ARM loan 5-year version is most prominent. Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Recent Mortgage Forms Options ARM Example Borrower could select among three types of payments: fully amortizing, interest-only, and minimum Minimum payment based on a very low rate: say, 1.5 percent Minimum payment increases 7.5 percent per year Interest rate charged was adjustable, usually deeply reduced for the first few months With minimum payment, the loan balance grew due to “negative amortization” At the end of five years, or when the balance reaches 125 percent of the original loan, the payment is recast to fully amortize the loan over its remaining term. Most borrowers, unfortunately, chose the minimum payment Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Payment and Balance of Alternate Loans Fixed Rate ARM I-O Option Arm Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Payment and Balance of Alternate Loans Option ARM I-O Fixed Rate ARM Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Payment and Balance of Alternate Loans ARM Fixed Rate I-O Option Arm Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Payment and Balance of Alternate Loans Option ARM I-O Fixed Rate ARM Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Subprime Loans Not a unique design, but a high-risk use Mostly 2-28 hybrid, I-O, or option ARM Almost all were adjustable rate Low initial payment, large negative amortization Started at very high loan-to-value ratio Designed so that refinancing would become necessary due to severe payment increases Wide-spread abandonment of prudent underwriting Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Alt-A Loans Even more “standard” in type than sub-prime Usually relaxed one standard loan underwriting requirement: Low or no cash down payment Weak credit score No documentation of borrower’s finances Majority were “no-doc” or “low-doc” loans Became referred to as “liar loans.” Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Comparing Cost of Loans Using APR APR: Annual Percentage Rate APR converts regular interest expense and up-front loan fees into a single equivalent interest expense APR is far superior to interest rate alone in comparing the cost of loans APR has a bias for most applications: APR assumes that up-front fees are spread over the full maturity of the loan Since most loans are prepaid before maturity, APR will tend to understate the true cost of borrowing when up-front fees are charged Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Using APR to Compare Loan Costs If loans A and B are never prepaid, APR accurately gives the cost of each. If loans A and B are prepaid before maturity, loan B, with higher fees, will be the more costly of the two Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Mortgage Decisions: How Much Mortgage Debt APR rises when LTV exceeds 80% Mortgage insurance required Above 90% rates often increase Above 95%, still higher Rational persons borrow if the usefulness of the money exceeds its cost Young households commonly cash short (borrow heavily) Established households less cash short (borrow less) Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Mortgage Decisions: Refinancing Refinancing is an investment decision, comparing benefits to cost. Net Benefit = Benefit of Interest Reductions – Cost of Refinancing First approximation of benefits: sum of all future monthly interest payment reductions Replicate your current loan in a calculator (Balance, term, interest rate) – solve for your current payment. Change only the interest rate to the current market rate and solve for a new payment. Calculate the resulting reduction in payment Multiply reduction by number of expected future pmts. Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

The Idea of Net Benefit Analysis Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Mortgage Refinancing: Example Existing mortgage: Amount: $100,000 Remaining term: 15 years Interest rate: 7.0 percent Monthly payment: $898.83 New mortgage: Term: 15 years Interest rate: 5.5 percent Monthly payment: $817.08 Expected time before paying off new loan: 6 years Cost of refinancing: 5 percent of loan amount Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Mortgage Refinancing: Example (continued) Monthly payment reduction: =$898.83 – 817.08 = $81.75 Number of months for reduction: six years, or 72 months Approximate benefit: 72 x $81.75 = $5,886.00 Cost of refinancing: 0.05 x $100,000 = $5,000 Approximate Net Benefit of refinancing = $5,886 – 5,000 = $886 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

The Effect of Personal Costs on Refinancing Time and stress cost is significant for persons not comfortable with finance and business These costs must be weighed against the financial net benefits This cost probably has fallen significantly in recent years Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

The Effect of Income Taxes on Refinancing Mortgage interest can be deductible for taxes Example: Suppose tax rate on additional income is 25% Then $1.00 of mortgage interest lowers taxes $.25 Net cost of borrowing is 25% lower Interest at 10% costs only 7.5% after taxes Result: Benefit of refinancing is 25% less Example: Reduction from 10% interest to 9%: Old interest cost: 10% − .25 x 10% = 7.50% New interest cost: 9% − .25 x 9% = 6.75% Interest reduction after tax: 7.50% − 6.75% = 0.75% Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Adjusting for Income Tax Effects on Refinancing Assume: All interest saved by refinancing is tax deductible Tax rate on additional income is 25 percent 100 percent of payment reductions are from interest savings Approximate after tax benefit of loan payment reductions for previous example: After tax benefit = 0.75 x $5,886 = $4,414.50 After tax approximate net benefit of refinancing: = $4,414.50 – 5,000 = -$585.50 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Caution about Income Tax Effects on Refinancing Two approaches to deductions under U.S. tax code: Standard deduction (lump sum amount) Itemized deductions Tax deductions only reduce interest costs to the extent that the taxpayer: Itemizes deductions Has total itemized deductions in excess of the standard deduction Otherwise, in computing benefits of refinancing, taxes should be ignored Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Refinancing Rules of Thumb Interest rate spread rule: Refinance if “spread” between old loan interest rate and current rate is, for example, 2.0 percent Payback period rule: Divide cost of refinancing by monthly savings to find “payback period”; then decide if the payback period is short enough Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

Refinancing: Cost of Missing a Better Deal Later Suppose: 50% chance interest rates will fall Note: The bigger the fall, the lower the likelihood Note: Maximum loss = cost to refinance again Thus: Expected cost of missed opportunity (probability x cost) < half the cost to refinance Conclusion: Waiting until benefit exceeds the cost to refinance by, say, one-third probably compensates for the risk of missing a better deal later Example: If refinancing costs 6% of the loan amount, do not refinance until the savings is 8% of the loan amount Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

The Option to Default Historically, few borrowers have defaulted in the absence three conditions: Monthly value of occupancy is less than its cost Equity is zero or negative “Trigger event”: Divorce, death in family, loss of job Borrowers regard cost of default as very high For most households the value of services from their house exceeds the cost of their mortgage payment. (Note, similarly, that many car loans exceed the value of the car, but owners don’t default.) Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

End of Chapter 10 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.