Chapter 10 Dividend Policy Ms. Faith Moono Simwami

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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 10 Dividend Policy Ms. Faith Moono Simwami Mo.simwami@gmail.com

Dividends After studying DIVIDEND POLICY, you should be able to know: Dividend Policy and Shareholder Wealth Dividend Decision in Practice Stock Dividend/Split/Repurchase Dividends What are Dividends? Dividends are distribution from the firm’s assets to the shareholders. Firms are not obligated to pay dividends or maintain a consistent policy with regard to dividends. Dividends could be paid in: cash or stocks 1 - 2

Stability of dividends over time Dividend Policy A firm’s dividend policy includes two components: Dividend Payout ratio Indicates amount of dividend paid relative to the company’s earnings. Example: If dividend per share is $1 and earnings per share is $2, the payout ratio is 50% (1/2) dividend per share is the ratio of the dividend declared divided by the number of outstanding shares. Example: A company declares K200, 000,000.00 dividend payment and has 200,000,000 shares outstanding. Dividend per share = K200, 000,000/200,000,000 = K1 per share. Stability of dividends over time

Dividend Policies vary General Electric (GE) Has paid dividends continuously since 1899 Microsoft (MSFT) Went public in 1986 but did not pay dividends until June, 2003. However, it distributed $115 billion to shareholders in dividend and share repurchases over the next five years. Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) has not yet paid dividend Dividend policy trade-offs If management has decided how much to invest and has chosen the debt-equity mix, decision to pay a large dividend means retaining less of the firm’s profits. This means the firm will have to rely more on external equity financing. A smaller dividend payment will lead to less reliance on external financing.

Impact on Stock Price: Three Views There are three basic views with regard to the impact of dividend policy on share prices: Dividend policy is irrelevant High dividends will increase share prices Low dividends will increase share prices View #1 Dividend policy is irrelevant Irrelevance implies shareholder wealth is not affected by dividend policy (whether the firm pays 0% or 100% of its earnings as dividends). This view is based on two assumptions: (a) Perfect capital markets; and (b) Firm’s investment and borrowing decisions have been made and will not be altered by dividend payment.

View #2 High dividends increase stock value This position in based on “bird-in-the-hand theory”, which argues that investors may prefer “dividend today” as it is less risky compared to “uncertain future capital gains”. This implies a higher required rate for a dollar of capital gain than a dollar of dividends. View #3 Low dividend increases stock values current dividends are taxed immediately while the tax on capital gains can be deferred until the stock is actually sold. Thus, capital gains have definite financial advantage for shareholders. Stocks that allow tax deferral (i.e. low dividends and high capital gains) will possibly sell at a premium relative to stocks that require current taxation (i.e. high dividends and low capital gains).

Some other explanations Residual Dividend theory Clientele effect Information effect Agency costs Expectations theory Residual Dividend Theory Determine the optimal capital budget Determine the amount of equity needed for financing First, use retained earnings to supply this equity If retained earnings still available, distribute dividends. Dividend Policy will be influenced by: (a) investment opportunities or capital budgeting needs (b) availability of internally generated capital.

The Information Effect The Clientele Effect Different groups of investors (clients) have varying preferences towards dividends. Some investors may prefer a fixed income stream so would prefer firms with high dividends Some investors, such as wealthy investors, would prefer to defer taxes and will be drawn to firms that have low dividend payout. The Information Effect Evidence shows that large, unexpected change in dividends can have a significant impact on the stock prices. A firm’s dividend policy may be seen as a signal about firm’s financial condition. High dividend could signal expectations of high earnings in the future and vice versa.

The Expectations Theory Agency Costs Dividend policy may be perceived as a tool to minimize agency costs. Dividend payment may require managers to issue stock to finance new investments. New investors will be attracted only if they are convinced that the capital will be used profitably. Thus, payment of dividends indirectly monitors management’s investment activities and helps reduce agency costs, and may enhance the value of the firm. The Expectations Theory If the amount of dividend paid is equal to the dividend expected by shareholders, the market price of stock will remain unchanged. However, market will react if dividend payment is not consistent with shareholders expectations.

Conclusions on Dividend Policy What are we to conclude? Here are some conclusions about the relevance of dividend policy: As a firm’s investment opportunities increase, its dividend payout ratio should decrease. Investors use the dividend payment as a source of information of expected earnings. Relationship between stock prices and dividends may exist due to implications of dividends for taxes and agency costs. Based on expectations theory, firms should avoid surprising investors with regard to dividend policy. The firm’s dividend policy should effectively be treated as a long-term residual.

The Dividend Decision in Practice Legal Restrictions Statutory restrictions may prevent a company from paying dividends. Debt and preferred stock contracts may impose constraints on dividend policy. Liquidity Constraints A firm may show earnings but it must have cash to pay dividends. The Dividend Decision in Practice Earnings Predictability A firm with stable and predictable earnings is more likely to pay larger dividends. Maintaining Ownership Control Ownership of common stock gives voting rights. If existing stockholders are unable to participate in a new offering, control of current stockholders is diluted and issuing new stock will be considered unattractive.

Dividend Payout Policies Alternative Dividend Policies Constant dividend payout ratio The percentage of earnings paid out in dividends is held constant. Since earnings are not constant, the dollar amount of dividend will vary every year. Stable dollar dividend per share A small regular dividend plus a year-end extra This policy maintains a constant dollar of dividend every year. Management will increase the dollar amount only if they are convinced that such increase can be maintained. The company follows the policy of paying a small, regular dividend plus a year-end extra dividend in prosperous years.

Dividend Payment Procedures Generally, companies pay dividend on a quarterly basis. The final approval of a dividend payment comes from the firm’s board of directors. For example, On February 6, 2009 GE announced that it will pay $1.24 per share in annual dividend in four equal installments of $0.31 each. Important Dates Declaration date – The date when the dividend is formally declared by the board of directors. (Ex. February 6) Date of Record – Investors shown to own stocks on this date receive the dividend. (Ex. February 23) Ex-Dividend date – Two working days prior to date of record (Ex. February 19, since Feb. 23 was a Monday). Shareholders buying stock on or after ex-dividend date will not receive dividends. Payment date – The date when dividend checks are mailed. (Ex. April 27)

Stock Dividends, Stock Splits and Stock Repurchase A stock dividend entails the distribution of additional shares of stock in lieu of cash payment. While the number of common stock outstanding increases, the firm’s investments and future earnings prospects do not change. Stock Split Division of already issued (outstanding) shares of a firm into a larger number of shares, to make them more affordable and thus improve their marketability while maintaining the current stockholders’ proportional ownership of the firm. The aggregate value of the shares remains the same as before the split, but the price (and dividend) per share declines with the split ratio. For example, if the shares are split by a multiple of two (2:1 split), a share with a par value of $10 becomes two shares, each with a par value of $5.

Stock Split A stock split involves exchanging more (or less in the case of “reverse” split) shares of stock for firm’s outstanding shares. While the number of common stock outstanding increases (or decreases in the case of reverse split), the firm’s investments and future earnings prospects do not change. Stock splits and stock dividends are far less frequent than cash dividends. Stock Repurchase A stock repurchase (stock buyback) occurs when a firm repurchases its own stock. This results in a reduction in the number of shares outstanding. From shareholder’s perspective, a stock repurchase has potential tax advantage as opposed to cash dividends.

Stock Repurchase - Benefits A means of providing an internal investment opportunity An approach for modifying the firm’s capital structure A favorable impact on earnings per share The elimination of a minority ownership group of stockholders The minimization of the dilution of earnings per share associated with mergers. The reduction in the firm’s costs associated with servicing small stockholders. Investor’s choice: Dividend or Stock repurchases If there are no taxes, no commission when trading stocks, and no information content assigned to a dividend, the investor should be indifferent.

A Financing or Investment Decision When a firm repurchases stock when it has excess cash, it can be regarded as a dividend decision. If a firm issues debt and then repurchases stock, it alters the debt-equity mix and thus can be regarded as a financing or capital structure decision. If a firm repurchases stock because it feels the prices are depressed, the decision to repurchase may be seen as an investment decision. Of course, no company can survive or prosper by investing only its own stock! Depressed Prices - A price for a stock that is lower than other stocks in the same or similar markets . Investors often bargain and buy securities with depressed prices on the assumption that they are undervalued , which will cause higher prices. A depressed price occurs especially in a buyer's market Stock Repurchase Procedure Open Market – Shares are acquired from a stockbroker at the current market price. Tender Offer – An offer is made by the company to buy a specified number of shares at a predetermined price, set above the current market price. Purchase from one or more major stockholders.