THE POST-CRISIS GLOBAL ECONOMY

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Presentation transcript:

THE POST-CRISIS GLOBAL ECONOMY DECEMBER 1, 2009 THE POST-CRISIS GLOBAL ECONOMY By Jeffrey E. Garten Yale School of Management

POINTS TO COVER OVERALL REPORT CARD PROBLEMS AHEAD STRATEGIC ISSUES STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS

RESCUE A REGULATION I REBALANCING I REFORM B RECOVERY C+ OVERALL REPORT CARD RESCUE A REGULATION I REBALANCING I REFORM B RECOVERY C+

HOW STRONG IS THE RECOVERY? V U W L J

PROBLEMS AHEAD DEFICITS DEBT DELEVERAGING DOLLAR DISENGAGE DILEMMAS

STRATEGIC ISSUES SHIFT OF GRAVITY TO ASIA AND OTHER BIG EMERGING MARKETS DOLLAR-CENTERED SYSTEM IN DECLINE GLOBAL “COMMONS” UNDER SEVERE STRESS

STRATEGIC ISSUES GLOBAL RULES IN REMISSION RESURGENCE OF NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS RETURN OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY

STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS UNDERSTANDING AND CONSTANTLY RE-EVALUATING TRENDS ELEVATING POLITICAL RISK ASSESSMENT EXTREME INNOVATION

STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS EXTREME ADAPTABILITY REDUCING ORGANIZATIONAL COMPLEXITY ENHANCING CLEAR ACCOUNTABILITY SELECTION OF PEOPLE EXTREME CUSTOMER ORIENTATION

THE POST-CRISIS GLOBAL ECONOMY DECEMBER 1, 2009 THE POST-CRISIS GLOBAL ECONOMY By Jeffrey E. Garten Yale School of Management