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TOWARDS COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE REDUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR A “KNOCK OUT DISASTER” More lectures at Disasters Supercourse - http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/collections/collection52.htm Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA

CREATING A COMMON AGENDA

EVERY TIME ANOTHER DISASTER OCCURS, WE’RE ARE WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE “GLOBAL BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE” ON DISASTER RESILIENCE

KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And Change

EDUCATION FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE REGIONAL BLUEPRINTS PACIFIC EUROPE ASIA LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA MEDITERRANEAN NORTH AMERICA TOPICAL BLUEPRINTS BLUEPRINTS FOR LIVING WITH … BLUEPRINTS FOR BUILDING TO WITHSTAND… BLUEPRINTS FOR LEARNING FROM… BLUEPRINTS FOR IMPLEMENTATION...

EDUCATION FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE KNOWLEDGE MUNICH RE ANNUAL REPORTS, “TOPICS” PROCEEDINGS OF WCDR, JANUARY 2005 PROCEEDINGS OF INCEED, JULY 2005 PROCEEDINGS OF DAVOS, 2006, 2008, 2012 EDUCATION INTEGRATED CURRICULA GENERIC MODELS MODELS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS MODELS FOR SPECIFIC HAZARDS TRAINING

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE GOAL: TO FIND THE COMMON AGENDA (CA) OF TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS CA

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE FACT: THE COMMON AGENDA IS BASED ON EACH COMMUNITY’S STAPLE FACTORS POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS STAPLE FACTORS P T S O CA

ELEMENTS OF RISK IN EVERY COMMUNITY HAZARDS EXPOSURE RISK VULNERABILITY LOCATION

HAZARDS, EXPOSURE, VULNERABILITY AND RISK DIFFER IN EVERY COMMUNITY

SO DO THE THE STAPLE FACTORS, WHICH VARY WITH TIME PLACE CIRCUMSTANCES

SOCIAL (ARE THE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT THEY NEED?) SOCIAL SYSTEMS SOCIAL (ARE THE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT THEY NEED?) TECHNICAL (IS THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AND PRACTICE BEING APPLIED?) ADMINISTRATIVE (WHO IS RESPONSIBLE AND ACCOUNTABLE?) POLITICAL (ARE PUBLIC POLICIES RELEVANT IN TERMS OF THE THREAT?) COMMUNITY STAPLE FACTORS LEGAL (ARE EXISTIN LEGAL MANDATES ENFORCED?) ECONOMIC (WILLINGNESS AND CAPACITY TO PAY FOR SAFETY?) GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE GOAL: TO UNDERSTAND THE DIFFERENCES IN TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL THINKING POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS CA

DIFFERENCES IN PERSPECTIVES OF POLITICAL AND TECHNICAL PROFESSIONALS BASED ON “NOT WELL ADVISED,” SZANTON (1981)

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THE GUIDING PRINCIPLE FOR THE POLITICAL DECISION IS TO HAVE THE “LEAST REGRETS” TECHNICAL THE GUIDING PRINCIPLE FOR THE TECHNICAL DECISION IS TO HAVE THE “BEST SCIENCE”

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THE DESIRED OUTCOME IS APPROVAL OF THE DECISIONMAKER’S CONSTITUENTS (ELECTORATE, STOCK HOLDERS) TECHNICAL THE DESIRED OUTCOME IS RESPECT OF THE SCIENTIST’S OR ENGINEER’S PEERS

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THE TIME HORIZON IS SHORT AND A SOLUTION IS WANTED NOW TECHNICAL THE TIME HORIZON IS LONG AND “THE SOLUTION” TAKES A LITTLE MORE TIME

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THE MOST VALUED OUTCOME IS A RELIABLE SOLUTION WITH UNCERTAINTIES SUBMERGED TECHNICAL THE MOST VALUED OUTCOME IS SCIENTIFIC INSIGHT WITH UNCERTAINTIES EMPHASIZED

MYTH VERSUS REALITY MYTH IN EVERY COMMUNITY, THERE IS A GENERAL PUBLIC, WHICH HAS A COMMON PERCEPTION OF THE PROBLEM REALITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY, THERE ARE MANY PUBLICS, WHICH HAVE DIFFERENT PERCEPTIONS OF THE PROBLEM

MYTH VERSUS REALITY MYTH E-MAILING A REPORT IS EFFECTIVE IN INFLUENCING THE COMMUNITY’S PUBLICS AND THE POLITICAL PROCESS REALITY E-MAILING A REPORT IS INEFFECTIVE IN INFLUENCING THE COMMUNITY’S PUBLICS AND THE POLITICAL PROCESS

MYTH VERSUS REALITY MYTH FOR A SCIENTIFIC DECISION, SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS IS A NECESSARY AND SUFFICIENT CONSIDERATION REALITY FOR A POLITICAL DECISION, SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS IS ONLY ONE OF AT LEAST SIX CONSIDERATIONS

DECISIONS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE INTEGRATE THE STAPLE FACTORS BALANCE THE COMMUNITY’S STAPLE FACTORS DETERMINE BENEFIT/COST

RESULTS OF A COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE REDUCTION OF VULNERABILITY REDUCTION OF UNACCEPTABLE RISK NO “KNOCK OUT DISASTERS” POLITICAL ENABLEMENT ENHANCED TECHNICAL CAPACITY